MODEL VERDICT
SUI Group Holdings Limited (SUIG)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Median P/E 41 industry peers | $4.23 | +208.8% | 30% | A | Peer Data |
| Price / Book 52 industry peers | $9.72 | +609.5% | 25% | B | Model Driven |
| Price / Tangible Book 48 bank peers | $12.12 | +784.7% | 20% | B+ | Bank Primary |
| Earnings Yield 42 industry peers | $4.25 | +210.2% | 8% | B | Data |
| Forward P/E 40 analyst estimates | $0.36 | -73.7% | 7% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $6.52 | +376.1% | 100% | 62 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
| EPS Growth ↓ | P/E Multiple → | 4× | 6× | 8× (Current) | 10× | 12× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Case (4%) | $1 | $1 | $1 | $2 | $2 |
| Conservative (7%) | $1 | $1 | $2 | $2 | $2 |
| Base Case (10.0%) | $1 | $1 | $2 | $2 | $2 |
| Bull Case (14%) | $1 | $1 | $2 | $2 | $2 |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 11 valuation metrics, the model estimates SUIG's fair value at $6.52 vs the current price of $1.37, implying +376.1% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 62/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $6.52 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $4.28 (P10) to $10.46 (P90), with a median of $7.27.
SUIG's current P/E of 7.6x compares to the industry median of 23.5x (41 peers in the group). This represents a -67.6% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
No analyst coverage data is available for SUIG.
The model confidence score is 62/100, based on: data completeness (24), peer quality (25), historical depth (5), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (3). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for SUIG.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.