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Skyworks Solutions, Inc. (SWKS)
Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Current$58.50
→
Intrinsic$129.19
+121%
$88.32$129.19$206.89
Market implies 1% growth for 5 years
DCF analysis suggests SWKS could have 121% upside at 8% growth — verify assumptions match your view.
At $59, the market prices in only 1% growth — below historical 8%, suggesting low expectations.
Range: Bear $88 → Bull $207. Current price implies expectations below the bear case — very conservative expectations.
| Discount ↓Growth → | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | $153 | $167 | $182 | $198 |
| 10% | $109 | $119 | $129 | $140 |
| 12% | $85 | $92 | $100 | $108 |
| 14% | $69 | $75 | $81 | $88 |
Bull Case
- Bull case ($207) offers 254% upside at 10% growth, 9% discount
- Price below even worst-case scenario — strong margin of safety
- Market-implied growth (1%) ≤ historical CAGR (8%)
Bear Case
- Bear case ($88) with 6% growth, 12% discount rate
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5-Year Free Cash Flow Projection
Year 1$1.19B
Year 2$1.29B
Year 3$1.39B
Year 4$1.50B
Year 5$1.62B
Terminal$23.91B
📐 Model Inputs
Growth Rate8.0%5Y CAGR (cascade: 5Y→3Y→TTM)
Discount Rate10.0%WACC estimate
Terminal Growth3.0%Perpetuity rate
Base Free Cash Flow$1.11BTTM actual
Bear g×0.8, r+2%
Base Historical CAGR
Bull g×1.2, r−1.5%
DCF estimates based on historical growth rates extrapolated forward. See FAQ below for full methodology.