Tennessee Valley Authority (TVC)
Valuation Overview•Is Tennessee Valley Authority Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a relative discount to industry peers, suggesting a specific risk premium is applied.
Fragile underlying quality score of 36/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Verdict: Mixed fundamental profile with offsetting strengths and weaknesses.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral. The company currently retains all capital for reinvestment and growth rather than returning it to shareholders.
TVC struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. This is paired with a moderately leveraged but stable balance sheet.
The company maintains stable top-line performance paired with stable bottom-line earnings. The company maintains healthy operational efficiency with a 18.8% operating margin.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.9B | +11.0% | — | — | +2.2% | |
| EBITDA | -$362.0M | — | -19.0% | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$745.0M | +19.8% | +7.1% | — | +2.0% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-1419.05 | +19.8% | +7.1% | +0.1% | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.6B | +102.3% | -65.0% | -62.0% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | — | 38.8% | 41.2% | 43.8% |
| Operating Margin | 18.8% | 17.0% | 19.5% | 21.4% |
| Net Margin | — | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% |
| FCF Margin | 0.1% | -1.7% | 1.2% | 5.4% |
Total return is +3.7% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -17.1%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +0.7% | -6.7% | — |
| 1Y | +3.7% | -17.1% | +2.3% |
| 3YCAGR | +5.4% | -14.0% | +7.3% |
| 5YCAGR | +0.2% | -11.5% | +10.1% |
| 10YCAGR | +1.8% | -12.0% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 30.6x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Tennessee Valley Authority (TVC) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, Tennessee Valley Authority appears Limited: Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers.
Tennessee Valley Authority has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $49629.66. A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Tennessee Valley Authority displays weak financial health with a composite quality score of 36/100, supported by a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 16.9%.
Tennessee Valley Authority does not return material capital to shareholders via dividends or share repurchases, electing to retain earnings to fund internal growth.
Tennessee Valley Authority's current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved +11.0% 1Y revenue growth and +19.8% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of N/A.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 0 analysts. The consensus price target represents a N/A change from current levels.
Investment risks for Tennessee Valley Authority include: -2.7% 1-year max drawdown. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.13x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.