United Security Bancshares (UBFO)
Valuation Overview•Is United Security Bancshares Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a relative discount to industry peers, suggesting a specific risk premium is applied.
Moderate quality score of 61/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Verdict: Solid fundamental quality, though growth presents a headwind.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral alongside robust expected earnings growth. This is paired with healthy capital returns, anchored by a strong, well-covered dividend yield.
UBFO demonstrates strong business quality with robust profitability and healthy margins. This is backed by a fortress balance sheet, holding significant net cash ($108M) and minimal debt risk.
The company maintains stable top-line performance however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. This growth is supported by elite operational efficiency, sustaining an impressive 26.0% operating margin.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $16.2M | +0.7% | — | — | +7.4% | |
| EBITDA | $4.3M | — | -11.4% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $3.4M | -16.9% | -7.8% | — | +6.1% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.19 | -18.6% | -8.7% | +5.7% | +5.8% | |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.6M | +6.3% | -2.8% | +9.3% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 75.1% | 76.2% | 81.7% | 87.6% |
| Operating Margin | 26.0% | 32.7% | 34.7% | 37.6% |
| Net Margin | 19.1% | 23.7% | 25.3% | 26.1% |
| FCF Margin | 30.8% | 29.9% | 33.8% | 30.1% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'26Latest | — | $0.19 | — | ||
| Q4'25 | — | $0.23 | — | ||
| Q3'25 | — | $0.13 | — | ||
| Q2'25 | — | $0.16 | — | ||
| Q1'25 | — | $0.14 | — | ||
| Q4'24 | — | $0.22 | — | ||
| Q3'24 | — | $0.25 | — | ||
| Q2'24 | — | $0.24 | — |
Total return is +28.9% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +8.1%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +7.1% | -0.2% | — |
| 1Y | +28.9% | +8.1% | +4.3% |
| 3YCAGR | +22.4% | +2.7% | +20.5% |
| 5YCAGR | +9.4% | -1.8% | +27.2% |
| 10YCAGR | +10.5% | -2.7% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 30.6x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about United Security Bancshares (UBFO) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, United Security Bancshares appears Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers.
United Security Bancshares has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $19.32. A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
United Security Bancshares displays good financial health with a composite quality score of 61/100, supported by a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 8.4%.
United Security Bancshares pays a 4.6% dividend yield, covered by a 68% payout ratio with 3 years of growth, supplemented by a 0.0% buyback yield.
United Security Bancshares's current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved +0.7% 1Y revenue growth and -18.6% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of N/A.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 0 analysts. The consensus price target represents a N/A change from current levels.
Investment risks for United Security Bancshares include: -13.2% 1-year max drawdown. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.86x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.