MODEL VERDICT
Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.53 | $14.94 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.53 | $14.03 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.53 | $14.97 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.53 | $14.82 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.59 | $13.53 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 6 industry peers | $0.76 | -94.9% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 6 industry peers | $0.42 | -97.2% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $47.14 | +215.5% | 100% | 42 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/TBV | 3.89 | 3.70 | 2.18 | 5.08 | 1.07 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.89 | 3.70 | 2.18 | 5.08 | 1.07 |
| P/S Ratio | 3000.11 | 60.07 | 14.20 | 11866.08 | 5910.70 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 5 valuation metrics, the model estimates UEC's fair value at $47.14 vs the current price of $14.94, implying +215.5% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 42/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $47.14 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%).
UEC's current P/E of -74.7x compares to the industry median of 37.6x (2 peers in the group). This represents a -298.9% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
8 analysts cover UEC with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $18.67 (range: $17.00 — $21.00), implying +25.0% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (7), Hold (1), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 42/100, based on: data completeness (0), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: --10 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for UEC.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.