MODEL VERDICT
Veritone, Inc. (VERI) — Relative Valuation
Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.63 | $3.33 | CURRENT | — |
| Jan 11, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.37 | $4.69 | Below threshold | -27.7% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | NEUTRAL | 0.21 | $5.69 | Below threshold | -40.4% |
| Nov 12, 2025 | NEUTRAL | 0.30 | $5.06 | Below threshold | -33.0% |
| Oct 13, 2025 | NEUTRAL | 0.31 | $5.23 | Below threshold | -10.3% |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 87 industry peers | $6.39 | +91.9% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 87 industry peers | $8.85 | +165.8% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $7.38 | +121.6% | 100% | 60 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/TBV | 5.10 | 2.23 | 1.95 | 11.13 | 5.22 |
| P/B Ratio | 4.74 | 2.39 | 1.08 | 9.27 | 3.96 |
| P/S Ratio | 3.85 | 1.35 | 0.67 | 13.60 | 4.74 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 5 valuation metrics, the model estimates VERI's fair value at $7.38 vs the current price of $3.33, implying +121.6% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 60/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $7.38 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $3.50 (P10) to $12.88 (P90), with a median of $7.89.
VERI's current P/E of -3.4x compares to the industry median of 24.4x (47 peers in the group). This represents a -113.9% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
13 analysts cover VERI with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $9.50 (range: $9.00 — $10.00), implying +185.3% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (6), Hold (6), Sell (1), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 60/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (4). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for VERI.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.