Vistance Networks, Inc. (VISN)
Valuation Overview•Is Vistance Networks, Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a discount across both intrinsic cash flow and relative peer multiples, indicating a strong margin of safety.
Fragile underlying quality score of 42/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Analysts remain cautious, with consensus price targets indicating limited room for upside expansion.
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Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant profitability concerns.
Wall Street is cautious, forecasting potential downside alongside robust expected earnings growth. This is paired with healthy capital returns, driven predominantly by aggressive share repurchases.
VISN struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. However, the balance sheet carries elevated leverage, requiring careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities.
The company is facing top-line contraction (-36.4% 3Y CAGR) paired with stable bottom-line earnings. However, profitability remains a major concern with severely compressed operating margins (4.6%).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $319.7M | -54.1% | -36.4% | -25.5% | -6.6% | |
| EBITDA | $45.1M | — | -35.9% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $1.0B | +548.4% | — | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $4.54 | +428.7% | — | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$57.7M | +1.9% | +41.7% | -4.3% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 38.5% | 36.5% | 32.6% | 30.9% |
| Operating Margin | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% |
| Net Margin | 72.9% | 10.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| FCF Margin | -6.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'26Latest | $0.45 | $0.15 | -66.7% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.37 | $0.62 | +67.6% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.24 | $0.44 | +83.3% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.08 | $0.14 | +75.0% | ||
| Q1'25 | $0.18 | $0.18 | +0.0% | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.33 | $-0.05 | -115.2% | ||
| Q3'24 | $0.37 | $0.34 | -8.1% | ||
| Q2'24 | $-0.23 | $-0.08 | +65.2% |
Total return is +70.6% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +60.9%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +52.4% | +44.7% | — |
| 1Y | +70.6% | +60.9% | +61.3% |
| 3YCAGR | +159.1% | +140.0% | +625.0% |
| 5YCAGR | +23.2% | +13.8% | +101.9% |
| 10YCAGR | -1.7% | -14.8% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 29.9x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Vistance Networks, Inc. (VISN) valuation, health, and returns.
Vistance Networks, Inc. is estimated to be undervalued under our discounted cash flow framework. relative multiples indicate the stock is Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers. undervalued (implying +93.2% upside to DCF intrinsic value of $34.43)
Vistance Networks, Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $34.43 | Peer Relative Fair Value: $77.13 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $16.57 (implying -7.0% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Vistance Networks, Inc. displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 42/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of -0.9 (distress zone), Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 0.7%.
Vistance Networks, Inc. pays a 1.4% dividend yield, covered by a 1% payout ratio with 0 years of growth, supplemented by a 2.5% buyback yield.
Vistance Networks, Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved -54.1% 1Y revenue growth and +428.7% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of -36.4%.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 19 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 42% of recent quarters with a -1-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a -7.0% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Vistance Networks, Inc. include: -16.3% 1-year max drawdown, high beta (1.92x market volatility), elevated distress risk. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 1.92x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.