MODEL VERDICT
Wipro Limited (WIT)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.70 | $2.03 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.70 | $2.04 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.70 | $2.19 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.70 | $2.27 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.70 | $2.17 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 8 analyst estimates | $141.71 | +6880.8% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV/EBITDA 8 industry peers | $130.86 | +6346.3% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| Industry Median P/E 8 industry peers | $182.49 | +8889.7% | 15% | A | Peer Data |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 8 industry peers | $162.48 | +7903.9% | 15% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/EBIT 8 industry peers | $139.48 | +6770.9% | 8% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/FCF 8 industry peers | $137.88 | +6692.1% | 7% | B | Model Driven |
| Peg Ratio 6 industry peers | $154.28 | +7500.0% | 5% | B | Data |
| EV To Revenue 8 industry peers | $89.30 | +4299.0% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 8 industry peers | $106.84 | +5163.1% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Earnings Yield 8 industry peers | $182.44 | +8887.2% | 2% | B | Data |
| FCF Yield 8 industry peers | $161.76 | +7868.5% | 1% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $113.57 | +5494.4% | 100% | 85 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
| EPS Growth ↓ | P/E Multiple → | 11× | 13× | 15× (Current) | 17× | 19× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Case (3%) | $143 | $168 | $194 | $220 | $246 |
| Conservative (6%) | $145 | $172 | $198 | $225 | $251 |
| Base Case (8.6%) | $150 | $177 | $204 | $231 | $259 |
| Bull Case (12%) | $154 | $182 | $210 | $238 | $266 |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 0.31 | 0.27 | 0.21 | 0.51 | 0.10 |
| EV/EBIT | 0.62 | 0.63 | 0.52 | 0.70 | 0.08 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.66 | 0.05 |
| P/FCF | 0.30 | 0.26 | 0.19 | 0.43 | 0.10 |
| P/FFO | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.16 | 0.42 | 0.09 |
| P/TBV | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| P/AFFO | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.19 | 0.49 | 0.10 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 0.02 |
| Div Yield | 0.58 | 0.21 | 0.10 | 2.11 | 0.75 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 0.02 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 28 valuation metrics, the model estimates WIT's fair value at $113.57 vs the current price of $2.03, implying +5494.4% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 85/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $113.57 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $90.18 (P10) to $117.46 (P90), with a median of $103.78.
WIT's current P/E of 15.4x compares to the industry median of 14.6x (8 peers in the group). This represents a +5.7% premium to the industry. The historical average P/E is 0.3x over 7 years. Signal: Fair Value.
21 analysts cover WIT with a consensus rating of Hold. The consensus price target is $7.35 (range: $7.00 — $7.70), implying +262.1% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (4), Hold (10), Sell (7), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 85/100, based on: data completeness (30), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (8), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Multiple compression: WIT trades at the 4150th percentile of its historical P/E range. A reversion to median (0.3×) would imply significant downside. (2) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk refers to the possibility that WIT's current profitability is above its sustainable long-term trend. The model detects a margin Z-score of +0.2σ, meaning margins are 0.2 standard deviations above their historical average. If margins revert to the 7-year mean (14.6%), the model estimates fair value drops by 8370.0% to approximately $4. This isn't a prediction — it's a scenario analysis.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.