MODEL VERDICT
XPLR Infrastructure, LP (XIFR)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.52 | $10.71 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.60 | $10.05 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.60 | $10.19 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.60 | $10.32 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.59 | $10.24 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA 8 industry peers | $2.36 | -78.0% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| Dividend Yield 6 industry peers | $81.89 | +664.6% | 18% | B | Supplementary |
| Forward P/E 6 analyst estimates | $6.32 | -41.0% | 12% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV To Revenue 8 industry peers | $10.56 | -1.4% | 4% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $34.14 | +218.8% | 100% | 49 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 7 valuation metrics, the model estimates XIFR's fair value at $34.14 vs the current price of $10.71, implying +218.8% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 49/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $34.14 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $1.81 (P10) to $9.90 (P90), with a median of $4.88.
XIFR's current P/E of -35.7x compares to the industry median of 15.7x (7 peers in the group). This represents a -327.8% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
13 analysts cover XIFR with a consensus rating of Hold. The consensus price target is $11.80 (range: $10.00 — $14.00), implying +10.2% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (2), Hold (8), Sell (3), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 49/100, based on: data completeness (11), peer quality (25), historical depth (5), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (3). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for XIFR.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.