Yalla Group Limited (YALA)
Valuation Overview•Is Yalla Group Limited Overvalued or Undervalued?
Commands a premium valuation multiple over its peers, likely pricing in superior execution.
High-quality fundamentals with a strong composite quality score of 90/100, backed by robust profitability and solvency.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Verdict: Elite compounder with fortress-level fundamentals across every core pillar.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral. This outlook is strongly supported by highly attractive capital returns, driven predominantly by aggressive share repurchases.
Returns capital exclusively via buybacks — no active dividend
YALA exhibits elite business quality, driven by exceptional capital efficiency and highly lucrative margins (highlighted by a massive 37.8% ROIC). This is backed by a fortress balance sheet, holding significant net cash ($527M) and minimal debt risk.
The company exhibits steady, low-single-digit revenue growth paired with highly explosive earnings growth (22.6% EPS 3Y CAGR). This growth is supported by elite operational efficiency, sustaining an impressive 35.7% operating margin.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $83.9M | +0.7% | +4.0% | +20.4% | — | |
| EBITDA | $26.6M | — | +15.3% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $34.9M | +10.4% | +23.4% | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.20 | +12.2% | +22.6% | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | $0.00 | -21.4% | +9.4% | +16.2% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 67.3% | 65.3% | 64.7% | 64.1% |
| Operating Margin | 35.7% | 33.9% | 31.6% | 31.8% |
| Net Margin | 43.8% | 40.2% | 35.4% | 34.1% |
| FCF Margin | — | 44.4% | 43.9% | 46.3% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | — | $0.16 | — | ||
| Q1'26 | — | $0.20 | — | ||
| Q4'25 | — | $0.23 | — | ||
| Q3'25 | — | $0.20 | — | ||
| Q2'25 | — | $0.20 | — | ||
| Q1'25 | — | $0.18 | — | ||
| Q4'24 | — | $0.22 | — | ||
| Q3'24 | — | $0.17 | — |
Total return is -17.0% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -42.0%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -25.2% | -34.5% | — |
| 1Y | -17.0% | -42.0% | — |
| 3YCAGR | +7.2% | -12.0% | — |
| 5YCAGR | -21.7% | -34.5% | — |
| 10YCAGR | -2.8% | -16.3% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Yalla Group Limited (YALA) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, Yalla Group Limited appears Limited: Expensive versus peers compared to industry peers.
Yalla Group Limited has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $2.87. A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Yalla Group Limited displays excellent financial health with a composite quality score of 90/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 7.8 (safe zone), Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 37.8%.
Yalla Group Limited returns capital via buybacks instead of dividends, carrying a 6.9% buyback yield and reducing outstanding shares by -1.7% in the last 12 months.
Yalla Group Limited's current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved +0.7% 1Y revenue growth and +12.2% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +4.0%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 2 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 44% of recent quarters with a 1-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a N/A change from current levels.
Investment risks for Yalla Group Limited include: -41.9% 1-year max drawdown. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.90x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.