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AER vs FLY
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Aerospace & Defense
AER vs FLY — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Rental & Leasing Services | Aerospace & Defense |
| Market Cap | $25.21B | $5.54B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $8.11B | $185M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $3.93B | $-335M |
| Gross Margin | 52.9% | 21.7% |
| Operating Margin | 45.2% | -153.5% |
| Forward P/E | 8.8x | — |
| Total Debt | $43.57B | $309M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.48B | $793M |
Quick Verdict: AER vs FLY
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AER carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.74, yield 0.7%
- 276.1% 10Y total return vs FLY's -42.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.74, current ratio 0.61x
FLY is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 163.0%, EPS growth -161.0%
- 163.0% revenue growth vs AER's 2.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 163.0% revenue growth vs AER's 2.4% | |
| Quality / Margins | 48.4% margin vs FLY's -181.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.74 vs FLY's 2.73 | |
| Dividends | 0.7% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs FLY's 0.2% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +41.3% vs FLY's -42.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 5.4% ROA vs FLY's -26.6%, ROIC 5.2% vs -26.2% |
AER vs FLY — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AER vs FLY — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AER leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AER is the larger business by revenue, generating $8.1B annually — 43.9x FLY's $185M. AER is the more profitable business, keeping 48.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FLY's -181.1%. On growth, FLY holds the edge at +44.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $8.1B | $185M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $5.7B | -$263M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $3.9B | -$335M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $405M | -$257M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +52.9% | +21.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +45.2% | -153.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +48.4% | -181.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +5.0% | -139.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.1% | +44.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +42.5% | -21.2% |
Valuation Metrics
AER leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $25.2B | $5.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $67.3B | $5.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 7.09x | -7.15x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 8.79x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.76x | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.08x | 34.63x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.45x | 2.01x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
AER leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AER delivers a 21.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $22 in annual profit, vs $-58 for FLY. FLY carries lower financial leverage with a 0.26x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AER's 2.38x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AER scores 8/9 vs FLY's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +21.6% | -57.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.4% | -26.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.2% | -26.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +6.2% | -26.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.38x | 0.26x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $42.1B | -$484M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.5B | $793M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $43.6B | $309M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.42x | -36.78x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AER leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AER five years ago would be worth $25,787 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,725 for FLY. Over the past 12 months, AER leads with a +41.3% total return vs FLY's -42.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AER at 40.7% vs FLY's -17.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +4.7% | +45.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +41.3% | -42.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +178.5% | -42.8% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +157.9% | -42.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +276.1% | -42.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +40.7% | -17.0% |
Risk & Volatility
AER leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AER is the less volatile stock with a 0.74 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FLY's 2.73 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AER currently trades 97.5% from its 52-week high vs FLY's 46.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.74x | 2.73x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $154.94 | $73.80 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $105.65 | $16.00 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +97.5% | +46.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 55.4 | 42.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.3M | 5.8M |
Analyst Outlook
AER leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates AER as "Buy" and FLY as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 14.3% upside for FLY (target: $40) vs 9.2% for AER (target: $165). For income investors, AER offers the higher dividend yield at 0.72% vs FLY's 0.21%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $165.00 | $39.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 25 | 7 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.7% | +0.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.09 | $0.07 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
AER leads in 6 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Valuation Metrics.
AER vs FLY: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AER or FLY a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Firefly Aerospace Inc.
(FLY) is the stronger pick with 163. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 2. 4% for AerCap Holdings N. V. (AER). AerCap Holdings N. V. (AER) offers the better valuation at 7. 1x trailing P/E (8. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate AerCap Holdings N. V. (AER) a "Buy" — based on 25 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — AER or FLY?
Over the past 5 years, AerCap Holdings N.
V. (AER) delivered a total return of +157. 9%, compared to -42. 8% for Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AER returned +276. 1% versus FLY's -42. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — AER or FLY?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), AerCap Holdings N.
V. (AER) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 74β versus Firefly Aerospace Inc. 's 2. 73β — meaning FLY is approximately 270% more volatile than AER relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 26% versus 2% for AerCap Holdings N. V. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — AER or FLY?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Firefly Aerospace Inc.
(FLY) is pulling ahead at 163. 0% versus 2. 4% for AerCap Holdings N. V. (AER). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: AerCap Holdings N. V. grew EPS 97. 4% year-over-year, compared to -161. 0% for Firefly Aerospace Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — AER or FLY?
AerCap Holdings N.
V. (AER) is the more profitable company, earning 45. 8% net margin versus -186. 6% for Firefly Aerospace Inc. — meaning it keeps 45. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AER leads at 51. 9% versus -154. 3% for FLY. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AER leads at 59. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is AER or FLY more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FLY: 14.
3% to $39. 50.
07Which pays a better dividend — AER or FLY?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
AerCap Holdings N. V. (AER) offers the highest yield at 0. 7%, versus 0. 2% for Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY).
08Is AER or FLY better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, AerCap Holdings N.
V. (AER) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 74), 0. 7% yield, +276. 1% 10Y return). Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) carries a higher beta of 2. 73 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (AER: +276. 1%, FLY: -42. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between AER and FLY?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AER is a mid-cap deep-value stock; FLY is a small-cap high-growth stock. AER pays a dividend while FLY does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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