Insurance - Property & Casualty
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ALL vs PGR vs TRV
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Property & Casualty
Insurance - Property & Casualty
ALL vs PGR vs TRV — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Property & Casualty |
| Market Cap | $56.10B | $115.34B | $65.22B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $67.14B | $85.18B | $48.83B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $12.14B | $10.71B | $6.29B |
| Gross Margin | 39.8% | 26.3% | 36.9% |
| Operating Margin | 23.3% | 15.9% | 16.0% |
| Forward P/E | 8.0x | 12.1x | 10.8x |
| Total Debt | $7.49B | $6.89B | $9.27B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $678M | $143M | $842M |
ALL vs PGR vs TRV — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Allstate Corpor… (ALL) | 100 | 222.8 | +122.8% |
| The Progressive Cor… (PGR) | 100 | 253.3 | +153.3% |
| The Travelers Compa… (TRV) | 100 | 281.9 | +181.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ALL vs PGR vs TRV
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ALL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 12 yrs, beta 0.12, yield 1.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.12, Low D/E 24.5%, current ratio 0.37x
- PEG 0.47 vs PGR's 0.73
PGR is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 21.4%, EPS growth 118.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 16.5%
- 6.0% 10Y total return vs ALL's 265.6%
- 21.4% revenue growth vs ALL's 4.6%
TRV is the clearest fit if your priority is momentum.
- +14.2% vs PGR's -25.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 21.4% revenue growth vs ALL's 4.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.0x vs 10.8x), PEG 0.47 vs 0.51 | |
| Quality / Margins | Combined ratio 0.8 vs PGR's 0.9 (lower = better underwriting) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.12 vs TRV's 0.22, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.8% yield, 12-year raise streak, vs TRV's 1.4% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +14.2% vs PGR's -25.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.1% ROA vs TRV's 4.4%, ROIC 29.8% vs 15.3% |
ALL vs PGR vs TRV — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ALL vs PGR vs TRV — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 3 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ALL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PGR is the larger business by revenue, generating $85.2B annually — 1.7x TRV's $48.8B. ALL is the more profitable business, keeping 18.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to PGR's 12.6%. On growth, PGR holds the edge at +14.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $67.1B | $85.2B | $48.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $16.0B | $13.8B | $8.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $12.1B | $10.7B | $6.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $11.5B | $17.0B | $7.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +39.8% | +26.3% | +36.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +23.3% | +15.9% | +16.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +18.1% | +12.6% | +12.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +17.2% | +20.0% | +16.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.2% | +14.2% | +3.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +3.4% | +12.1% | +23.4% |
Valuation Metrics
ALL leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 5.7x trailing earnings, ALL trades at a 58% valuation discount to PGR's 13.7x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), ALL offers better value at 0.33x vs PGR's 0.83x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $56.1B | $115.3B | $65.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $62.9B | $122.1B | $73.6B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 5.71x | 13.67x | 10.99x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 8.03x | 12.06x | 10.78x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.33x | 0.83x | 0.52x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 4.61x | 11.10x | 8.69x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.84x | 1.53x | 1.34x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.89x | 4.52x | 2.09x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 5.68x | 7.78x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
ALL leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ALL delivers a 42.7% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $43 in annual profit, vs $19 for TRV. ALL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.24x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to TRV's 0.28x.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +42.7% | +30.2% | +19.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +10.1% | +8.8% | +4.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +29.8% | +27.0% | +15.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +29.4% | +11.0% | +8.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.24x | 0.27x | 0.28x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $6.8B | $6.8B | $8.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $678M | $143M | $842M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $7.5B | $6.9B | $9.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 40.22x | 49.44x | 19.34x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ALL leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in PGR five years ago would be worth $21,022 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $17,801 for ALL. Over the past 12 months, TRV leads with a +14.2% total return vs PGR's -25.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ALL at 25.5% vs PGR's 17.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +7.4% | -0.8% | +6.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +9.9% | -25.7% | +14.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +97.5% | +61.6% | +72.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +78.0% | +110.2% | +100.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +265.6% | +600.9% | +204.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +25.5% | +17.4% | +19.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — ALL and PGR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PGR is the less volatile stock with a -0.07 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than TRV's 0.22 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ALL currently trades 98.1% from its 52-week high vs PGR's 67.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.12x | -0.07x | 0.22x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $222.22 | $289.96 | $313.12 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $188.08 | $192.02 | $249.19 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +98.1% | +67.9% | +96.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 57.4 | 43.7 | 50.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.2M | 2.6M | 1.3M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — ALL and TRV each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: ALL as "Buy", PGR as "Hold", TRV as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 17.0% upside for PGR (target: $230) vs 3.8% for TRV (target: $313). For income investors, ALL offers the higher dividend yield at 1.80% vs PGR's 0.58%.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $244.38 | $230.27 | $313.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 44 | 41 | 43 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.8% | +0.6% | +1.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 12 | 1 | 20 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $3.91 | $1.15 | $4.30 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.2% | +0.5% | +4.8% |
ALL leads in 4 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Valuation Metrics. 2 categories are tied.
ALL vs PGR vs TRV: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ALL or PGR or TRV a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the stronger pick with 21.
4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 6% for The Allstate Corporation (ALL). The Allstate Corporation (ALL) offers the better valuation at 5. 7x trailing P/E (8. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The Allstate Corporation (ALL) a "Buy" — based on 44 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ALL or PGR or TRV?
On trailing P/E, The Allstate Corporation (ALL) is the cheapest at 5.
7x versus The Progressive Corporation at 13. 7x. On forward P/E, The Allstate Corporation is actually cheaper at 8. 0x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: The Allstate Corporation wins at 0. 47x versus The Progressive Corporation's 0. 73x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ALL or PGR or TRV?
Over the past 5 years, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) delivered a total return of +110.
2%, compared to +78. 0% for The Allstate Corporation (ALL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PGR returned +600. 9% versus TRV's +204. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ALL or PGR or TRV?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
07β versus The Travelers Companies, Inc. 's 0. 22β — meaning TRV is approximately -417% more volatile than PGR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, The Allstate Corporation (ALL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 24% versus 28% for The Travelers Companies, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — ALL or PGR or TRV?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is pulling ahead at 21.
4% versus 4. 6% for The Allstate Corporation (ALL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The Allstate Corporation grew EPS 124. 8% year-over-year, compared to 27. 8% for The Travelers Companies, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, PGR leads at 16. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ALL or PGR or TRV?
The Allstate Corporation (ALL) is the more profitable company, earning 15.
5% net margin versus 11. 3% for The Progressive Corporation — meaning it keeps 15. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ALL leads at 19. 8% versus 14. 2% for PGR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TRV leads at 44. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ALL or PGR or TRV more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, The Allstate Corporation (ALL) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 47x versus The Progressive Corporation's 0. 73x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, The Allstate Corporation (ALL) trades at 8. 0x forward P/E versus 12. 1x for The Progressive Corporation — 4. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for PGR: 17. 0% to $230. 27.
08Which pays a better dividend — ALL or PGR or TRV?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
The Allstate Corporation (ALL) offers the highest yield at 1. 8%, versus 0. 6% for The Progressive Corporation (PGR).
09Is ALL or PGR or TRV better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
07), 0. 6% yield, +600. 9% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (PGR: +600. 9%, TRV: +204. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ALL and PGR and TRV?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ALL is a mid-cap deep-value stock; PGR is a mid-cap high-growth stock; TRV is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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