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PGRThe Progressive Corporation
$227.77$132.6B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
PGR logo

The Progressive Corporation

PGR
NYSE · Property & Casualty Insurers
$227.77
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$132.61B
P/E11.4x
52W High$241.02
Volume2.67M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Premium Growth Decelerates as Combined Ratio Drifts Higher

PGR's revenue growth has cooled from 26.7% in 2024Q3 to 3.0% in 2026Q3, suggesting the rate-driven expansion phase is maturing as the pricing cycle softens.

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationReview
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

PGR price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

8/12 Beats

EPS beat 8 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

In Line

P/E is in line with peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 74 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 74)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 14
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has decelerated sharply from 26.7% to 3.0% over recent quarters while the combined ratio has ranged between 81.9% and 85.2%, suggesting underwriting margins are compressing from their prior levels.

Analyst Consensus-2.0% target
Hold(42 analysts)
16 Buy22 Hold4 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Technological Innovation & Data Moat

Progressive’s usage‑based insurance leverages telematics and data analytics to personalize premiums, creating a significant data moat that enhances underwriting and customer retention. The company’s technology edge drives lower loss ratios and higher customer acquisition efficiency.

Operational Efficiency & Profitability

Progressive consistently outperforms peers in its combined ratio, reflecting superior underwriting and claims management. Profit margins have improved and earnings per share have grown substantially, underscoring operational excellence.

Market Leadership & Distribution Model

As the second‑largest personal auto insurer in the U.S., Progressive holds nearly 27 million personal auto policies in force. Its hybrid direct‑to‑consumer and independent‑agent distribution appeals to a broad customer base.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
PGR+13.93%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
PGR+15.30%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
PGR+56.56%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+65.22%
5-Year Return
PGR+159.33%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+53.12%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
11.4x
Forward P/E
12.4x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
9.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
11.5%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
11.4x
18.1x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
9.3x
14.3x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
8.7x
9.0x
40th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$216.12-5.1%
Base (Fair)$418.61+83.8%
Bull$716.82+214.7%
$216.12 Bear$418.61 Base$716.82 Bull
Current Market Price: $227.77
Trades at a 45.6% discount to Base DCF ($418.61)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$87.64B+16.3% YoY
Net income FY25
$11.31B+33.3% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$17.2B+15.9% YoY
Operating margin FY25
16.2%+2.0 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)30.7%
Avg ROIC 5Y17.9%
ROE (TTM)35.4%
Piotroski Score7 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 14, 2026
$4.37+0.5%
vs $4.35
$22.3B-1.4%
vs $22.6B
Q3 2026
Jul 15, 2026
$4.85+4.5%
vs $4.64
$21.1B+8.2%
vs $19.5B
Q2 2026
Apr 15, 2026
$4.81-0.8%
vs $4.85
$23.6B+2.9%
vs $23.0B
Q1 2026
Jan 28, 2026
$4.67+5.2%
vs $4.44
$19.5B-3.9%
vs $20.3B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·2d ago
Investors Heavily Search The Progressive Corporation (PGR): Here is What You Need to Know

Zacks.com users have recently been watching Progressive (PGR) quite a bit. Thus, it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock's prospects.

24/7 Wall Street·4d ago
Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Insurance Stocks

For much of 2026, Wall Street piled into the technology giants that drive the benchmark S&P 500 and left insurers in the background.

Defense World·4d ago
Aware Super Pty Ltd as trustee of Aware Super Makes New $3.32 Million Investment in The Progressive Corporation $PGR

Aware Super Pty Ltd as trustee of Aware Super purchased a new stake in shares of The Progressive Corporation (NYSE: PGR) during the undefined quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The fund purchased 16,033 shares of the insurance provider's stock, valued at approximately $3,324,000.

MarketBeat·4d ago
Progressive Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Progressive NYSE: PGR reported continued premium and policy growth in the third quarter of 2026 while emphasizing underwriting discipline, technology investment and expansion opportunities in bundled auto and home insurance, commercial lines and small business coverage.

Filtered for The Progressive CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark PGR against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for The Progressive Corporation (PGR)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
PGR logoPGRThe Progressive CorporationCurrent
$227.77$132.61B11.4116.32%12.67%35.44%2.14%
ALL logoALLThe Allstate Corporation
$254.81$65.59B5.594.64%16.76%36.34%1.54%
TRV logoTRVThe Travelers Companies, Inc.
$395.20$82.43B9.995.17%17.03%26.24%1.09%
HIG logoHIGThe Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.
$133.99$36.73B8.227.1%15.88%24.13%1.54%
ERIE logoERIEErie Indemnity Company
$273.07$12.61B24.797.17%13.97%23.86%1.77%
KMPR logoKMPRKemper Corporation
$33.39$1.97B-3.973.62%-10.83%-19.42%3.81%

Compare PGR vs Peers

The Progressive Corporation (PGR) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs ALL

Most directly comparable listed peer for PGR.

Scale Benchmark

vs GOOG

Larger-name benchmark to compare PGR against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs ALL, TRV, HIG, ERIE

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

PGR SEC Filings & Documents

The Progressive Corporation (PGR) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 14, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 15, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 17, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

1
FY 2026

Mar 2, 2026·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

5
FY 2026

Nov 2, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Nov 3, 2025·SEC

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PGR Frequently Asked Questions

The Progressive Corporation (PGR) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
How fast is The Progressive Corporation growing?

The Progressive Corporation (PGR) grew revenue by 7.7% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is PGR profitable?

Yes. The Progressive Corporation (PGR) earned $11.62B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 12.7% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does PGR pay dividends?

Yes. The Progressive Corporation (PGR) pays a dividend that yields 2.14% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is PGR's return on equity?

The Progressive Corporation (PGR) had a return on equity (ROE) of 35.4% over the trailing twelve months. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

Industry Metrics
What is The Progressive Corporation's combined ratio?

The Progressive Corporation (PGR) has a combined ratio of 83.8%. A ratio below 100% indicates underwriting profitability.

What if you invested $1,000 in PGR back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →