Integrated Freight & Logistics
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FWRD vs ODFL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Trucking
FWRD vs ODFL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Trucking |
| Market Cap | $531M | $40.86B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.50B | $5.50B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-108M | $1.02B |
| Gross Margin | 20.5% | 32.2% |
| Operating Margin | 1.5% | 24.8% |
| Forward P/E | — | 37.3x |
| Total Debt | $2.16B | $141M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $106M | $120M |
FWRD vs ODFL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward Air Corpora… (FWRD) | 100 | 34.3 | -65.7% |
| Old Dominion Freigh… (ODFL) | 100 | 229.2 | +129.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FWRD vs ODFL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FWRD is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 0.8%, EPS growth 88.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 14.1%
- 0.8% revenue growth vs ODFL's -5.5%
- Better valuation composite
ODFL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 10 yrs, beta 1.38, yield 0.6%
- 8.6% 10Y total return vs FWRD's -47.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.38, Low D/E 3.3%, current ratio 1.44x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 0.8% revenue growth vs ODFL's -5.5% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 18.6% margin vs FWRD's -4.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.38 vs FWRD's 2.28, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 0.6% yield; 10-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +26.2% vs FWRD's -2.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 18.5% ROA vs FWRD's -4.0%, ROIC 23.6% vs 1.2% |
FWRD vs ODFL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FWRD vs ODFL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ODFL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ODFL is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.5B annually — 2.2x FWRD's $2.5B. ODFL is the more profitable business, keeping 18.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FWRD's -4.3%. On growth, FWRD holds the edge at -0.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.5B | $5.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $189M | $1.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$108M | $1.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $15M | $955M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +20.5% | +32.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +1.5% | +24.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -4.3% | +18.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +0.6% | +17.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -0.3% | -5.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +26.6% | -11.4% |
Valuation Metrics
FWRD leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, FWRD's 13.7x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than ODFL's 23.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $531M | $40.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.6B | $40.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -4.89x | 40.59x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 37.30x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 3.62x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 13.67x | 23.69x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.21x | 7.43x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.26x | 9.54x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 34.81x | 42.78x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ODFL leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ODFL delivers a 24.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $24 in annual profit, vs $-67 for FWRD. ODFL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.03x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FWRD's 13.36x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ODFL scores 6/9 vs FWRD's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -66.7% | +24.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -4.0% | +18.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +1.2% | +23.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +1.5% | +27.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 13.36x | 0.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.1B | $21M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $106M | $120M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.2B | $141M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.19x | 4601.85x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ODFL leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ODFL five years ago would be worth $15,158 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,994 for FWRD. Over the past 12 months, ODFL leads with a +26.2% total return vs FWRD's -2.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ODFL at 7.9% vs FWRD's -43.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -32.2% | +23.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -2.4% | +26.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -81.8% | +25.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -80.1% | +51.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -47.7% | +859.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -43.3% | +7.9% |
Risk & Volatility
ODFL leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ODFL is the less volatile stock with a 1.38 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FWRD's 2.28 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ODFL currently trades 83.9% from its 52-week high vs FWRD's 52.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.28x | 1.38x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $32.47 | $233.79 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $14.81 | $126.01 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +52.4% | +83.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 30.9 | 37.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 729K | 2.1M |
Analyst Outlook
ODFL leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates FWRD as "Hold" and ODFL as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 117.3% upside for FWRD (target: $37) vs 6.2% for ODFL (target: $208). ODFL is the only dividend payer here at 0.57% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $37.00 | $208.19 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 21 | 36 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 8 | 10 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.12 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.2% | +1.8% |
ODFL leads in 5 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). FWRD leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
FWRD vs ODFL: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FWRD or ODFL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) is the stronger pick with 0.
8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -5. 5% for Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL). Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) offers the better valuation at 40. 6x trailing P/E (37. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) a "Hold" — based on 21 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — FWRD or ODFL?
Over the past 5 years, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
(ODFL) delivered a total return of +51. 6%, compared to -80. 1% for Forward Air Corporation (FWRD). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ODFL returned +859. 1% versus FWRD's -47. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — FWRD or ODFL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
(ODFL) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 38β versus Forward Air Corporation's 2. 28β — meaning FWRD is approximately 66% more volatile than ODFL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 3% versus 13% for Forward Air Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — FWRD or ODFL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) is pulling ahead at 0.
8% versus -5. 5% for Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Forward Air Corporation grew EPS 88. 3% year-over-year, compared to -11. 9% for Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, FWRD leads at 14. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — FWRD or ODFL?
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
(ODFL) is the more profitable company, earning 18. 6% net margin versus -4. 3% for Forward Air Corporation — meaning it keeps 18. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ODFL leads at 24. 8% versus 1. 5% for FWRD. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ODFL leads at 32. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is FWRD or ODFL more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FWRD: 117.
3% to $37. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — FWRD or ODFL?
In this comparison, ODFL (0.
6% yield) pays a dividend. FWRD does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
08Is FWRD or ODFL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
(ODFL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (0. 6% yield, +859. 1% 10Y return). Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) carries a higher beta of 2. 28 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ODFL: +859. 1%, FWRD: -47. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between FWRD and ODFL?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
ODFL pays a dividend while FWRD does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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