Integrated Freight & Logistics
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FWRD vs ODFL vs SAIA vs ARCB
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Trucking
Trucking
Trucking
FWRD vs ODFL vs SAIA vs ARCB — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Trucking | Trucking | Trucking |
| Market Cap | $573M | $41.81B | $11.99B | $2.72B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.50B | $5.50B | $3.25B | $4.04B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-108M | $1.02B | $255M | $56M |
| Gross Margin | 20.5% | 32.2% | 18.4% | 4.1% |
| Operating Margin | 1.5% | 24.8% | 10.8% | 2.2% |
| Forward P/E | — | 38.2x | 42.3x | 23.6x |
| Total Debt | $2.16B | $141M | $418M | $669M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $106M | $120M | $20M | $102M |
FWRD vs ODFL vs SAIA vs ARCB — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward Air Corpora… (FWRD) | 100 | 37.0 | -63.0% |
| Old Dominion Freigh… (ODFL) | 100 | 234.5 | +134.5% |
| Saia, Inc. (SAIA) | 100 | 414.4 | +314.4% |
| ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) | 100 | 544.1 | +444.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FWRD vs ODFL vs SAIA vs ARCB
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FWRD is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 0.8%, EPS growth 88.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 14.1%
- 0.8% revenue growth vs ODFL's -5.5%
ODFL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 10 yrs, beta 1.38, yield 0.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.38, Low D/E 3.3%, current ratio 1.44x
- Beta 1.38, yield 0.6%, current ratio 1.44x
- 18.6% margin vs FWRD's -4.3%
SAIA is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding and valuation efficiency.
- 15.6% 10Y total return vs ODFL's 8.7%
- PEG 3.29 vs ODFL's 3.41
ARCB is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if value and momentum is your priority.
- Lower P/E (23.6x vs 38.2x)
- +108.9% vs FWRD's +9.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 0.8% revenue growth vs ODFL's -5.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (23.6x vs 38.2x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 18.6% margin vs FWRD's -4.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.38 vs FWRD's 2.28, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 0.6% yield, 10-year raise streak, vs ARCB's 0.4%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +108.9% vs FWRD's +9.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 18.5% ROA vs FWRD's -4.0%, ROIC 23.6% vs 1.2% |
FWRD vs ODFL vs SAIA vs ARCB — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
FWRD vs ODFL vs SAIA vs ARCB — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
ODFL leads in 3 of 6 categories
ARCB leads 1 • SAIA leads 1 • FWRD leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ODFL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ODFL is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.5B annually — 2.2x FWRD's $2.5B. ODFL is the more profitable business, keeping 18.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FWRD's -4.3%. On growth, ARCB holds the edge at +3.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.5B | $5.5B | $3.3B | $4.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $189M | $1.7B | $602M | $217M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$108M | $1.0B | $255M | $56M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $15M | $955M | $261M | $169M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +20.5% | +32.2% | +18.4% | +4.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +1.5% | +24.8% | +10.8% | +2.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -4.3% | +18.6% | +7.8% | +1.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +0.6% | +17.4% | +8.0% | +4.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -0.3% | -5.7% | +2.4% | +3.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +26.6% | -11.4% | 0.0% | -138.5% |
Valuation Metrics
ARCB leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 41.5x trailing earnings, ODFL trades at a 12% valuation discount to SAIA's 47.2x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), SAIA offers better value at 3.67x vs ODFL's 3.71x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $573M | $41.8B | $12.0B | $2.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.6B | $41.8B | $12.4B | $3.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -5.28x | 41.54x | 47.21x | 46.50x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 38.18x | 42.32x | 23.62x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 3.71x | 3.67x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 13.89x | 24.24x | 20.61x | 12.60x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.23x | 7.61x | 3.71x | 0.68x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.52x | 9.77x | 4.67x | 2.16x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 37.52x | 43.78x | 438.47x | 23.79x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ODFL leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ODFL delivers a 24.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $24 in annual profit, vs $-67 for FWRD. ODFL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.03x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FWRD's 13.36x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ODFL scores 6/9 vs ARCB's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -66.7% | +24.0% | +10.0% | +4.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -4.0% | +18.5% | +7.3% | +2.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +1.2% | +23.6% | +9.4% | +3.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +1.5% | +27.1% | +11.5% | +5.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 13.36x | 0.03x | 0.16x | 0.52x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.1B | $21M | $398M | $567M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $106M | $120M | $20M | $102M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.2B | $141M | $418M | $669M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.19x | 4601.85x | 23.88x | 6.58x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SAIA leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SAIA five years ago would be worth $18,991 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,169 for FWRD. Over the past 12 months, ARCB leads with a +108.9% total return vs FWRD's +9.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SAIA at 16.0% vs FWRD's -41.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -26.9% | +26.2% | +33.3% | +58.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +9.6% | +31.6% | +76.6% | +108.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -80.3% | +30.7% | +56.2% | +40.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -78.3% | +54.6% | +89.9% | +43.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -44.3% | +866.7% | +1557.1% | +635.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -41.8% | +9.3% | +16.0% | +12.0% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — ODFL and SAIA each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ODFL is the less volatile stock with a 1.38 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FWRD's 2.28 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SAIA currently trades 98.1% from its 52-week high vs FWRD's 56.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.28x | 1.38x | 1.90x | 1.90x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $32.47 | $233.79 | $457.99 | $135.10 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $14.81 | $126.01 | $248.37 | $58.16 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +56.5% | +85.8% | +98.1% | +90.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 35.5 | 41.1 | 53.6 | 56.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 725K | 2.1M | 533K | 307K |
Analyst Outlook
ODFL leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: FWRD as "Hold", ODFL as "Hold", SAIA as "Buy", ARCB as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 101.5% upside for FWRD (target: $37) vs -5.9% for SAIA (target: $423). For income investors, ODFL offers the higher dividend yield at 0.56% vs ARCB's 0.39%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $37.00 | $208.19 | $422.67 | $117.14 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 21 | 36 | 32 | 24 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.6% | — | +0.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 8 | 10 | — | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.12 | — | $0.48 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.1% | +1.7% | +0.1% | +2.8% |
ODFL leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ARCB leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
FWRD vs ODFL vs SAIA vs ARCB: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FWRD or ODFL or SAIA or ARCB a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) is the stronger pick with 0.
8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -5. 5% for Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL). Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) offers the better valuation at 41. 5x trailing P/E (38. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Saia, Inc. (SAIA) a "Buy" — based on 32 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FWRD or ODFL or SAIA or ARCB?
On trailing P/E, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
(ODFL) is the cheapest at 41. 5x versus Saia, Inc. at 47. 2x. On forward P/E, ArcBest Corporation is actually cheaper at 23. 6x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Saia, Inc. wins at 3. 29x versus Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. 's 3. 41x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FWRD or ODFL or SAIA or ARCB?
Over the past 5 years, Saia, Inc.
(SAIA) delivered a total return of +89. 9%, compared to -78. 3% for Forward Air Corporation (FWRD). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SAIA returned +1557% versus FWRD's -44. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FWRD or ODFL or SAIA or ARCB?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
(ODFL) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 38β versus Forward Air Corporation's 2. 28β — meaning FWRD is approximately 66% more volatile than ODFL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 3% versus 13% for Forward Air Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — FWRD or ODFL or SAIA or ARCB?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) is pulling ahead at 0.
8% versus -5. 5% for Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Forward Air Corporation grew EPS 88. 3% year-over-year, compared to -64. 1% for ArcBest Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, FWRD leads at 14. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FWRD or ODFL or SAIA or ARCB?
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
(ODFL) is the more profitable company, earning 18. 6% net margin versus -4. 3% for Forward Air Corporation — meaning it keeps 18. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ODFL leads at 24. 8% versus 1. 5% for FWRD. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ODFL leads at 32. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FWRD or ODFL or SAIA or ARCB more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Saia, Inc. (SAIA) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 3. 29x versus Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. 's 3. 41x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) trades at 23. 6x forward P/E versus 42. 3x for Saia, Inc. — 18. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FWRD: 101. 5% to $37. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — FWRD or ODFL or SAIA or ARCB?
In this comparison, ODFL (0.
6% yield), ARCB (0. 4% yield) pay a dividend. FWRD, SAIA do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is FWRD or ODFL or SAIA or ARCB better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
(ODFL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (0. 6% yield, +866. 7% 10Y return). Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) carries a higher beta of 2. 28 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ODFL: +866. 7%, FWRD: -44. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FWRD and ODFL and SAIA and ARCB?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
ODFL pays a dividend while FWRD, SAIA, ARCB do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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