Airlines, Airports & Air Services
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MESA vs SNCY
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Airlines, Airports & Air Services
MESA vs SNCY — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Airlines, Airports & Air Services | Airlines, Airports & Air Services |
| Market Cap | $879M | $914M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $381M | $1.14B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-166M | $40M |
| Gross Margin | 10.8% | 66.3% |
| Operating Margin | -44.6% | 7.1% |
| Forward P/E | 30.9x | 18.2x |
| Total Debt | $103M | $592M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $42M | $145M |
MESA vs SNCY — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 21 | Jan 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA) | 100 | 156.1 | +56.1% |
| Sun Country Airline… (SNCY) | 100 | 42.0 | -58.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MESA vs SNCY
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MESA is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- beta 0.82
- 78.7% 10Y total return vs SNCY's -53.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.82, current ratio 0.67x
SNCY carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 4.7%, EPS growth 0.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 8.0%
- 4.7% revenue growth vs MESA's -19.9%
- Lower P/E (18.2x vs 30.9x)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.7% revenue growth vs MESA's -19.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (18.2x vs 30.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.5% margin vs MESA's -43.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.82 vs SNCY's 2.04 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +20.3% vs SNCY's +50.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.5% ROA vs MESA's -71.1%, ROIC 6.9% vs -62.9% |
MESA vs SNCY — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MESA vs SNCY — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SNCY leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
SNCY is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.1B annually — 3.0x MESA's $381M. SNCY is the more profitable business, keeping 3.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MESA's -43.6%. On growth, SNCY holds the edge at +3.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $381M | $1.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$150M | $180M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$166M | $40M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$53M | $72M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +10.8% | +66.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -44.6% | +7.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -43.6% | +3.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -14.0% | +6.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -21.3% | +3.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +43.3% | -34.8% |
Valuation Metrics
SNCY leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $879M | $914M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.2B | $1.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.04x | 17.56x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 30.88x | 18.25x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 6.82x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.85x | 0.81x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.03x | 1.48x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 63.13x | 10.88x |
Profitability & Efficiency
SNCY leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
SNCY delivers a 6.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $6 in annual profit, vs $-5 for MESA. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), SNCY scores 7/9 vs MESA's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -5.3% | +6.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -71.1% | +2.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -62.9% | +6.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -86.2% | +8.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.95x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $61M | $447M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $42M | $145M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $103M | $592M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -8.18x | 1.12x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MESA leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MESA five years ago would be worth $18,834 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,126 for SNCY. Over the past 12 months, MESA leads with a +2034.1% total return vs SNCY's +50.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MESA at 118.6% vs SNCY's -2.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | 0.0% | +16.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +2034.1% | +50.4% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +944.8% | -6.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +88.3% | -58.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +78.7% | -53.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +118.6% | -2.3% |
Risk & Volatility
MESA leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MESA is the less volatile stock with a 0.82 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SNCY's 2.04 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MESA currently trades 100.0% from its 52-week high vs SNCY's 75.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.82x | 2.04x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $21.00 | $22.29 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.90 | $10.14 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +100.0% | +75.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 98.1 | 49.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 0 | 741K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MESA as "Hold" and SNCY as "Buy".
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $21.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 6 | 11 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +2.2% |
SNCY leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). MESA leads in 2 (Total Returns, Risk & Volatility).
MESA vs SNCY: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MESA or SNCY a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc.
(SNCY) is the stronger pick with 4. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -19. 9% for Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA). Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. (SNCY) offers the better valuation at 17. 6x trailing P/E (18. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. (SNCY) a "Buy" — based on 11 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MESA or SNCY?
On forward P/E, Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc.
is actually cheaper at 18. 2x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MESA or SNCY?
Over the past 5 years, Mesa Air Group, Inc.
(MESA) delivered a total return of +88. 3%, compared to -58. 7% for Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. (SNCY). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MESA returned +78. 7% versus SNCY's -53. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MESA or SNCY?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Mesa Air Group, Inc.
(MESA) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 82β versus Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. 's 2. 04β — meaning SNCY is approximately 151% more volatile than MESA relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — MESA or SNCY?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc.
(SNCY) is pulling ahead at 4. 7% versus -19. 9% for Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 0. 0% year-over-year, compared to -82. 4% for Mesa Air Group, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, SNCY leads at 8. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MESA or SNCY?
Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc.
(SNCY) is the more profitable company, earning 4. 7% net margin versus -39. 9% for Mesa Air Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps 4. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: SNCY leads at 8. 9% versus -46. 5% for MESA. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MESA leads at 99. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MESA or SNCY more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc.
(SNCY) trades at 18. 2x forward P/E versus 30. 9x for Mesa Air Group, Inc. — 12. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis.
08Which pays a better dividend — MESA or SNCY?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is MESA or SNCY better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Mesa Air Group, Inc.
(MESA) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 82)). Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. (SNCY) carries a higher beta of 2. 04 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (MESA: +78. 7%, SNCY: -53. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MESA and SNCY?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: MESA is a small-cap quality compounder stock; SNCY is a small-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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