REIT - Mortgage
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MFA vs NLY
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
REIT - Mortgage
MFA vs NLY — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | REIT - Mortgage | REIT - Mortgage |
| Market Cap | $997M | $16.19B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $650M | $6.70B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $135M | $2.03B |
| Gross Margin | 59.3% | 99.2% |
| Operating Margin | 41.0% | 102.6% |
| Forward P/E | 7.1x | 7.5x |
| Total Debt | $10.99B | $111.86B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $213M | $2.04B |
MFA vs NLY — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA) | 100 | 144.5 | +44.5% |
| Annaly Capital Mana… (NLY) | 100 | 91.5 | -8.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MFA vs NLY
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MFA is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.77, yield 18.3%
- Rev growth 213.0%, EPS growth 104.9%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.77, current ratio 2.18x
NLY carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding.
- 36.7% 10Y total return vs MFA's 9.0%
- 30.3% margin vs MFA's 20.7%
- Beta 0.64 vs MFA's 0.77
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 213.0% FFO/revenue growth vs NLY's 5.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (7.1x vs 7.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 30.3% margin vs MFA's 20.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.64 vs MFA's 0.77 | |
| Dividends | 18.3% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs NLY's 13.0% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +33.2% vs MFA's +19.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.7% ROA vs MFA's 1.1%, ROIC 6.4% vs 4.4% |
MFA vs NLY — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
MFA vs NLY — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NLY leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NLY is the larger business by revenue, generating $6.7B annually — 10.3x MFA's $650M. NLY is the more profitable business, keeping 30.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MFA's 20.7%. On growth, MFA holds the edge at +118.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $650M | $6.7B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $268M | $6.9B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $135M | $2.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $91M | -$222M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +59.3% | +99.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +41.0% | +102.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +20.7% | +30.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +14.0% | -3.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +118.9% | -8.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -103.0% | +79.5% |
Valuation Metrics
MFA leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 5.8x trailing earnings, MFA trades at a 25% valuation discount to NLY's 7.7x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, MFA's 17.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than NLY's 18.3x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $997M | $16.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $11.8B | $126.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 5.82x | 7.72x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 7.12x | 7.51x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 17.07x | 18.34x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.14x | 2.42x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.56x | 0.89x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 13.08x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
NLY leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NLY delivers a 14.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $14 in annual profit, vs $7 for MFA. MFA carries lower financial leverage with a 6.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NLY's 6.92x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +7.4% | +14.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.1% | +1.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.4% | +6.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.8% | +19.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 6.01x | 6.92x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $10.8B | $109.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $213M | $2.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $11.0B | $111.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.34x | 1.42x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NLY leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NLY five years ago would be worth $10,219 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $9,841 for MFA. Over the past 12 months, NLY leads with a +33.2% total return vs MFA's +19.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NLY at 17.2% vs MFA's 10.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +6.3% | +1.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +19.5% | +33.2% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +34.3% | +60.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -1.6% | +2.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +9.0% | +36.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +10.3% | +17.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MFA and NLY each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NLY is the less volatile stock with a 0.64 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MFA's 0.77 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.77x | 0.64x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $10.57 | $24.52 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $8.78 | $18.43 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +92.4% | +91.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 37.6 | 50.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.4M | 7.1M |
Analyst Outlook
MFA leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MFA as "Hold" and NLY as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 8.7% upside for NLY (target: $25) vs 4.9% for MFA (target: $10). For income investors, MFA offers the higher dividend yield at 18.32% vs NLY's 13.03%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $10.25 | $24.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 22 | 28 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +18.3% | +13.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.79 | $2.94 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.5% | +0.1% |
NLY leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). MFA leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
MFA vs NLY: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MFA or NLY a better buy right now?
For growth investors, MFA Financial, Inc.
(MFA) is the stronger pick with 213. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 5. 4% for Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY). MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA) offers the better valuation at 5. 8x trailing P/E (7. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY) a "Buy" — based on 28 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MFA or NLY?
On trailing P/E, MFA Financial, Inc.
(MFA) is the cheapest at 5. 8x versus Annaly Capital Management, Inc. at 7. 7x. On forward P/E, MFA Financial, Inc. is actually cheaper at 7. 1x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MFA or NLY?
Over the past 5 years, Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
(NLY) delivered a total return of +2. 2%, compared to -1. 6% for MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NLY returned +36. 7% versus MFA's +9. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MFA or NLY?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
(NLY) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 64β versus MFA Financial, Inc. 's 0. 77β — meaning MFA is approximately 21% more volatile than NLY relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 6% versus 7% for Annaly Capital Management, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MFA or NLY?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), MFA Financial, Inc.
(MFA) is pulling ahead at 213. 0% versus 5. 4% for Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: MFA Financial, Inc. grew EPS 104. 9% year-over-year, compared to 80. 2% for Annaly Capital Management, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MFA or NLY?
Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
(NLY) is the more profitable company, earning 30. 3% net margin versus 20. 2% for MFA Financial, Inc. — meaning it keeps 30. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NLY leads at 102. 6% versus 78. 8% for MFA. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NLY leads at 99. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MFA or NLY more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, MFA Financial, Inc.
(MFA) trades at 7. 1x forward P/E versus 7. 5x for Annaly Capital Management, Inc. — 0. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NLY: 8. 7% to $24. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — MFA or NLY?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA) offers the highest yield at 18. 3%, versus 13. 0% for Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY).
09Is MFA or NLY better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
(NLY) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 64), 13. 0% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NLY: +36. 7%, MFA: +9. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MFA and NLY?
Both stocks operate in the Real Estate sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: MFA is a small-cap high-growth stock; NLY is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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