REIT - Mortgage
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NLY vs AGNC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
REIT - Mortgage
NLY vs AGNC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | REIT - Mortgage | REIT - Mortgage |
| Market Cap | $16.19B | $9.68B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $6.70B | $3.46B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $2.03B | $838M |
| Gross Margin | 99.2% | 100.0% |
| Operating Margin | 102.6% | 107.1% |
| Forward P/E | 7.5x | 6.9x |
| Total Debt | $111.86B | $64M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $2.04B | $505M |
NLY vs AGNC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annaly Capital Mana… (NLY) | 100 | 91.5 | -8.5% |
| AGNC Investment Cor… (AGNC) | 100 | 83.4 | -16.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NLY vs AGNC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NLY is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.64, yield 13.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.64, current ratio 0.03x
- Beta 0.64, yield 13.0%, current ratio 0.03x
AGNC carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 384.7%, EPS growth 17.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 26.4%
- 47.8% 10Y total return vs NLY's 36.7%
- 384.7% FFO/revenue growth vs NLY's 5.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 384.7% FFO/revenue growth vs NLY's 5.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (6.9x vs 7.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 30.3% margin vs AGNC's 24.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.64 vs AGNC's 0.74 | |
| Dividends | 14.6% yield, vs NLY's 13.0% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +40.9% vs NLY's +33.2% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.7% ROA vs AGNC's 0.8%, ROIC 6.4% vs 34.0% |
NLY vs AGNC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
NLY vs AGNC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AGNC leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NLY is the larger business by revenue, generating $6.7B annually — 1.9x AGNC's $3.5B. NLY is the more profitable business, keeping 30.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AGNC's 24.2%. On growth, AGNC holds the edge at +2.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $6.7B | $3.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $6.9B | $3.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $2.0B | $838M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$222M | $604M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +99.2% | +100.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +102.6% | +107.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +30.3% | +24.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -3.3% | +17.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -8.4% | +2.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +79.5% | +84.6% |
Valuation Metrics
AGNC leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 7.7x trailing earnings, NLY trades at a 33% valuation discount to AGNC's 11.6x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, AGNC's 2.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than NLY's 18.3x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $16.2B | $9.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $126.0B | $9.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 7.72x | 11.60x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 7.51x | 6.92x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 18.34x | 2.44x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.42x | 1.99x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.89x | 0.87x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 112.59x |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — NLY and AGNC each lead in 4 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NLY delivers a 14.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $14 in annual profit, vs $7 for AGNC. AGNC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NLY's 6.92x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +14.1% | +7.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.7% | +0.8% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.4% | +34.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +19.7% | +4.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 6.92x | 0.01x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $109.8B | -$441M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $2.0B | $505M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $111.9B | $64M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.42x | 1.32x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — NLY and AGNC each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NLY five years ago would be worth $10,219 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $9,879 for AGNC. Over the past 12 months, AGNC leads with a +40.9% total return vs NLY's +33.2%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NLY at 17.2% vs AGNC's 16.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +1.5% | +3.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +33.2% | +40.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +60.9% | +59.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +2.2% | -1.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +36.7% | +47.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +17.2% | +16.7% |
Risk & Volatility
NLY leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NLY is the less volatile stock with a 0.64 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AGNC's 0.74 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NLY currently trades 91.9% from its 52-week high vs AGNC's 88.5% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.64x | 0.74x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $24.52 | $12.19 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $18.43 | $8.61 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +91.9% | +88.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.1 | 50.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 7.1M | 18.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — NLY and AGNC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NLY as "Buy" and AGNC as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 8.7% upside for NLY (target: $25) vs 3.2% for AGNC (target: $11). For income investors, AGNC offers the higher dividend yield at 14.63% vs NLY's 13.03%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $24.50 | $11.13 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 28 | 35 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +13.0% | +14.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $2.94 | $1.58 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.1% | 0.0% |
AGNC leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). NLY leads in 1 (Risk & Volatility). 3 tied.
NLY vs AGNC: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NLY or AGNC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, AGNC Investment Corp.
(AGNC) is the stronger pick with 384. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 5. 4% for Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY). Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY) offers the better valuation at 7. 7x trailing P/E (7. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY) a "Buy" — based on 28 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NLY or AGNC?
On trailing P/E, Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
(NLY) is the cheapest at 7. 7x versus AGNC Investment Corp. at 11. 6x. On forward P/E, AGNC Investment Corp. is actually cheaper at 6. 9x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NLY or AGNC?
Over the past 5 years, Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
(NLY) delivered a total return of +2. 2%, compared to -1. 2% for AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AGNC returned +47. 8% versus NLY's +36. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NLY or AGNC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
(NLY) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 64β versus AGNC Investment Corp. 's 0. 74β — meaning AGNC is approximately 16% more volatile than NLY relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 7% for Annaly Capital Management, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NLY or AGNC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), AGNC Investment Corp.
(AGNC) is pulling ahead at 384. 7% versus 5. 4% for Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: AGNC Investment Corp. grew EPS 1760% year-over-year, compared to 80. 2% for Annaly Capital Management, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AGNC leads at 26. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NLY or AGNC?
Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
(NLY) is the more profitable company, earning 30. 3% net margin versus 17. 7% for AGNC Investment Corp. — meaning it keeps 30. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NLY leads at 102. 6% versus 79. 6% for AGNC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AGNC leads at 100. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NLY or AGNC more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, AGNC Investment Corp.
(AGNC) trades at 6. 9x forward P/E versus 7. 5x for Annaly Capital Management, Inc. — 0. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NLY: 8. 7% to $24. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — NLY or AGNC?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) offers the highest yield at 14. 6%, versus 13. 0% for Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY).
09Is NLY or AGNC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
(NLY) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 64), 13. 0% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NLY: +36. 7%, AGNC: +47. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NLY and AGNC?
Both stocks operate in the Real Estate sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: NLY is a mid-cap deep-value stock; AGNC is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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