Insurance - Property & Casualty
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MKL vs RLI vs ERIE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Property & Casualty
Insurance - Brokers
MKL vs RLI vs ERIE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Brokers |
| Market Cap | $22.52B | $4.56B | $10.01B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $16.57B | $1.90B | $4.33B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.77B | $395M | $571M |
| Gross Margin | 61.4% | 37.5% | 18.1% |
| Operating Margin | 13.9% | 26.7% | 17.0% |
| Forward P/E | 16.0x | 17.9x | 17.1x |
| Total Debt | $4.30B | $100M | $0.00 |
| Cash & Equiv. | $3.96B | $52M | $346M |
MKL vs RLI vs ERIE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Markel Corporation (MKL) | 100 | 200.6 | +100.6% |
| RLI Corp. (RLI) | 100 | 125.7 | +25.7% |
| Erie Indemnity Comp… (ERIE) | 100 | 120.3 | +20.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MKL vs RLI vs ERIE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MKL has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in income & stability and valuation efficiency.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta 0.44, yield 2.7%
- PEG 0.64 vs ERIE's 1.26
- Lower P/E (16.0x vs 17.1x), PEG 0.64 vs 1.26
RLI is the clearest fit if your priority is quality.
- Combined ratio 0.7 vs MKL's 0.8 (lower = better underwriting)
ERIE is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 7.2%, EPS growth -7.5%, 3Y rev CAGR 12.7%
- 171.6% 10Y total return vs MKL's 89.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.16, current ratio 1.27x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 7.2% revenue growth vs MKL's -1.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (16.0x vs 17.1x), PEG 0.64 vs 1.26 | |
| Quality / Margins | Combined ratio 0.7 vs MKL's 0.8 (lower = better underwriting) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.16 vs MKL's 0.44 | |
| Dividends | 2.7% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs RLI's 5.3% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -4.1% vs ERIE's -38.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 17.3% ROA vs MKL's 3.0%, ROIC 29.5% vs 10.7% |
MKL vs RLI vs ERIE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MKL vs RLI vs ERIE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 3 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
RLI leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MKL is the larger business by revenue, generating $16.6B annually — 8.7x RLI's $1.9B. RLI is the more profitable business, keeping 20.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MKL's 10.7%. On growth, MKL holds the edge at +6.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $16.6B | $1.9B | $4.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.5B | $512M | $786M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.8B | $395M | $571M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $2.2B | $551M | $537M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +61.4% | +37.5% | +18.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +13.9% | +26.7% | +17.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +10.7% | +20.8% | +13.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +13.2% | +29.0% | +12.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +6.7% | +4.0% | +2.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.6% | -11.8% | +7.9% |
Valuation Metrics
MKL leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 10.6x trailing earnings, MKL trades at a 48% valuation discount to ERIE's 20.4x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), MKL offers better value at 0.43x vs ERIE's 1.50x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $22.5B | $4.6B | $10.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $22.9B | $4.6B | $9.7B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 10.64x | 11.38x | 20.41x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 15.99x | 17.94x | 17.15x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.43x | 0.56x | 1.50x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 7.78x | 8.76x | 12.14x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.36x | 2.42x | 2.46x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.20x | 2.57x | 5.00x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 8.82x | 7.49x | 17.53x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ERIE leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ERIE delivers a 25.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $25 in annual profit, vs $10 for MKL. RLI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.06x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MKL's 0.23x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), RLI scores 8/9 vs ERIE's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +9.6% | +22.0% | +25.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.0% | +6.6% | +17.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +10.7% | +22.8% | +29.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +14.9% | +9.0% | +32.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.23x | 0.06x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $339M | $48M | -$346M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $4.0B | $52M | $346M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $4.3B | $100M | $0 |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 12.00x | 80.31x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MKL leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MKL five years ago would be worth $14,749 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $10,931 for RLI. Over the past 12 months, MKL leads with a -4.1% total return vs ERIE's -38.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MKL at 9.4% vs RLI's -6.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -15.5% | -20.3% | -20.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -4.1% | -29.3% | -38.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +31.0% | -18.2% | -0.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +47.5% | +9.3% | +14.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +89.3% | +105.0% | +171.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +9.4% | -6.5% | -0.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MKL and RLI each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
RLI is the less volatile stock with a -0.01 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MKL's 0.44 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MKL currently trades 81.5% from its 52-week high vs ERIE's 56.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.44x | -0.01x | 0.16x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $2207.59 | $77.24 | $380.67 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1719.41 | $48.66 | $210.06 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +81.5% | +64.2% | +56.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 34.5 | 23.5 | 33.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 59K | 675K | 231K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — MKL and RLI each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: MKL as "Hold", RLI as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 13.5% upside for RLI (target: $56) vs 8.3% for MKL (target: $1950). For income investors, RLI offers the higher dividend yield at 5.28% vs ERIE's 2.23%.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | — |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $1950.00 | $56.33 | — |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 15 | 12 | — |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.7% | +5.3% | +2.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 6 | 1 | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $48.55 | $2.62 | $4.83 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
MKL leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). RLI leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 2 tied.
MKL vs RLI vs ERIE: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MKL or RLI or ERIE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is the stronger pick with 7.
2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 0% for Markel Corporation (MKL). Markel Corporation (MKL) offers the better valuation at 10. 6x trailing P/E (16. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Markel Corporation (MKL) a "Hold" — based on 15 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MKL or RLI or ERIE?
On trailing P/E, Markel Corporation (MKL) is the cheapest at 10.
6x versus Erie Indemnity Company at 20. 4x. On forward P/E, Markel Corporation is actually cheaper at 16. 0x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Markel Corporation wins at 0. 64x versus Erie Indemnity Company's 1. 26x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MKL or RLI or ERIE?
Over the past 5 years, Markel Corporation (MKL) delivered a total return of +47.
5%, compared to +9. 3% for RLI Corp. (RLI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ERIE returned +171. 6% versus MKL's +89. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MKL or RLI or ERIE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), RLI Corp.
(RLI) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 01β versus Markel Corporation's 0. 44β — meaning MKL is approximately -7532% more volatile than RLI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, RLI Corp. (RLI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 6% versus 23% for Markel Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MKL or RLI or ERIE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is pulling ahead at 7.
2% versus -1. 0% for Markel Corporation (MKL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: RLI Corp. grew EPS 16. 6% year-over-year, compared to -15. 1% for Markel Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, ERIE leads at 12. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MKL or RLI or ERIE?
RLI Corp.
(RLI) is the more profitable company, earning 21. 4% net margin versus 12. 7% for Markel Corporation — meaning it keeps 21. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: RLI leads at 27. 5% versus 16. 5% for MKL. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MKL leads at 69. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MKL or RLI or ERIE more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Markel Corporation (MKL) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 64x versus Erie Indemnity Company's 1. 26x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Markel Corporation (MKL) trades at 16. 0x forward P/E versus 17. 9x for RLI Corp. — 1. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for RLI: 13. 5% to $56. 33.
08Which pays a better dividend — MKL or RLI or ERIE?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
RLI Corp. (RLI) offers the highest yield at 5. 3%, versus 2. 2% for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE).
09Is MKL or RLI or ERIE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, RLI Corp.
(RLI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0. 01), 5. 3% yield, +105. 0% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (RLI: +105. 0%, MKL: +89. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MKL and RLI and ERIE?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: MKL is a mid-cap deep-value stock; RLI is a small-cap deep-value stock; ERIE is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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