ERIE vs PGR

For growth investors, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the stronger pick with 21.

4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 7. 2% for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE). The Progressive Corporation (PGR) offers the better valuation at 13. 7x trailing P/E (12. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate The Progressive Corporation (PGR) a "Hold" — based on 41 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.

On trailing P/E, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the cheapest at 13.

7x versus Erie Indemnity Company at 20. 1x. On forward P/E, The Progressive Corporation is actually cheaper at 12. 1x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: The Progressive Corporation wins at 0. 73x versus Erie Indemnity Company's 1. 24x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.

Over the past 5 years, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) delivered a total return of +110.

2%, compared to +13. 7% for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PGR returned +600. 9% versus ERIE's +172. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.

By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the lower-risk stock at -0.

07β versus Erie Indemnity Company's 0. 16β — meaning ERIE is approximately -333% more volatile than PGR relative to the S&P 500.

By revenue growth (latest reported year), The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is pulling ahead at 21.

4% versus 7. 2% for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The Progressive Corporation grew EPS 118. 8% year-over-year, compared to -7. 5% for Erie Indemnity Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, PGR leads at 16. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is the more profitable company, earning 13.

8% net margin versus 11. 3% for The Progressive Corporation — meaning it keeps 13. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ERIE leads at 17. 7% versus 14. 2% for PGR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — PGR leads at 27. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.

The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.

By this metric, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 73x versus Erie Indemnity Company's 1. 24x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) trades at 12. 1x forward P/E versus 16. 9x for Erie Indemnity Company — 4. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis.

All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) offers the highest yield at 2. 3%, versus 0. 6% for The Progressive Corporation (PGR).

For long-horizon retirement investors, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.

07), 0. 6% yield, +600. 9% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (PGR: +600. 9%, ERIE: +172. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.

Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.

In terms of investment character: ERIE is a small-cap quality compounder stock; PGR is a mid-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.