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MOD vs THRM vs AAON
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Auto - Parts
Construction
MOD vs THRM vs AAON — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Auto - Parts | Auto - Parts | Construction |
| Market Cap | $14.46B | $946M | $8.05B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.87B | $1.53B | $1.44B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $98M | $23M | $108M |
| Gross Margin | 23.8% | 23.6% | 26.7% |
| Operating Margin | 11.2% | 4.7% | 10.1% |
| Forward P/E | 52.9x | 11.6x | 49.6x |
| Total Debt | $449M | $295M | $433M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $72M | $161M | $13K |
MOD vs THRM vs AAON — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Modine Manufacturin… (MOD) | 100 | 5125.6 | +5025.6% |
| Gentherm Incorporat… (THRM) | 100 | 75.8 | -24.2% |
| AAON, Inc. (AAON) | 100 | 272.2 | +172.2% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MOD vs THRM vs AAON
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MOD is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 25.5% 10Y total return vs AAON's 440.9%
- +203.9% vs AAON's +1.3%
THRM is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 1.43, Low D/E 40.9%, current ratio 1.92x
- Beta 1.43, current ratio 1.92x
- Lower P/E (11.6x vs 49.6x)
AAON carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 1.83, yield 0.4%
- Rev growth 20.1%, EPS growth -36.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 17.5%
- 20.1% revenue growth vs THRM's 2.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 20.1% revenue growth vs THRM's 2.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (11.6x vs 49.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 7.5% margin vs THRM's 1.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.43 vs MOD's 2.51, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 0.4% yield; 1-year raise streak; the other 2 pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +203.9% vs AAON's +1.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.3% ROA vs THRM's 1.6%, ROIC 9.4% vs 7.3% |
MOD vs THRM vs AAON — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MOD vs THRM vs AAON — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 3 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AAON leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MOD is the larger business by revenue, generating $2.9B annually — 2.0x AAON's $1.4B. AAON is the more profitable business, keeping 7.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to THRM's 1.5%. On growth, AAON holds the edge at +42.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.9B | $1.5B | $1.4B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $399M | $127M | $226M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $98M | $23M | $108M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $49M | $79M | -$190M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +23.8% | +23.6% | +26.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +11.2% | +4.7% | +10.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.4% | +1.5% | +7.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +1.7% | +5.1% | -13.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +30.5% | +11.3% | +42.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.2% | — | +26.7% |
Valuation Metrics
THRM leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 51.5x trailing earnings, THRM trades at a 36% valuation discount to MOD's 80.2x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, THRM's 8.2x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than MOD's 41.1x.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $14.5B | $946M | $8.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $14.8B | $1.1B | $8.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 80.18x | 51.45x | 76.20x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 52.94x | 11.60x | 49.65x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | 14.02x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 41.08x | 8.23x | 37.58x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 5.60x | 0.63x | 5.58x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 16.10x | 1.33x | 9.13x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 111.83x | 15.48x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
Evenly matched — MOD and THRM and AAON each lead in 3 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AAON delivers a 12.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $13 in annual profit, vs $3 for THRM. THRM carries lower financial leverage with a 0.41x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MOD's 0.49x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MOD scores 7/9 vs AAON's 2/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +8.7% | +3.2% | +12.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.9% | +1.6% | +7.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +17.6% | +7.3% | +9.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +21.1% | +8.2% | +12.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.49x | 0.41x | 0.48x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $378M | $134M | $433M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $72M | $161M | $13,000 |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $449M | $295M | $433M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 6.57x | 5.83x | 8.26x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MOD leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MOD five years ago would be worth $163,421 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $4,281 for THRM. Over the past 12 months, MOD leads with a +203.9% total return vs AAON's +1.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MOD at 138.1% vs THRM's -19.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +94.7% | -16.2% | +24.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +203.9% | +20.0% | +1.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +1250.2% | -47.9% | +53.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +1534.2% | -57.2% | +134.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +2549.5% | -14.7% | +440.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +138.1% | -19.5% | +15.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MOD and THRM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
THRM is the less volatile stock with a 1.43 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MOD's 2.51 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MOD currently trades 97.9% from its 52-week high vs THRM's 78.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.51x | 1.43x | 1.83x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $280.00 | $39.48 | $116.04 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $86.48 | $25.47 | $62.00 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +97.9% | +78.2% | +84.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 64.3 | 57.0 | 53.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 943K | 242K | 836K |
Analyst Outlook
AAON leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: MOD as "Buy", THRM as "Buy", AAON as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 21.1% upside for AAON (target: $119) vs -10.4% for MOD (target: $246). AAON is the only dividend payer here at 0.40% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $245.60 | $36.67 | $119.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 15 | 5 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | +0.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | $0.39 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.2% | +1.1% | +0.4% |
AAON leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Analyst Outlook). THRM leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
MOD vs THRM vs AAON: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MOD or THRM or AAON a better buy right now?
For growth investors, AAON, Inc.
(AAON) is the stronger pick with 20. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 2. 6% for Gentherm Incorporated (THRM). Gentherm Incorporated (THRM) offers the better valuation at 51. 5x trailing P/E (11. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MOD or THRM or AAON?
On trailing P/E, Gentherm Incorporated (THRM) is the cheapest at 51.
5x versus Modine Manufacturing Company at 80. 2x. On forward P/E, Gentherm Incorporated is actually cheaper at 11. 6x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MOD or THRM or AAON?
Over the past 5 years, Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) delivered a total return of +1534%, compared to -57.
2% for Gentherm Incorporated (THRM). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MOD returned +25. 5% versus THRM's -14. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MOD or THRM or AAON?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Gentherm Incorporated (THRM) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
43β versus Modine Manufacturing Company's 2. 51β — meaning MOD is approximately 75% more volatile than THRM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Gentherm Incorporated (THRM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 41% versus 49% for Modine Manufacturing Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — MOD or THRM or AAON?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), AAON, Inc.
(AAON) is pulling ahead at 20. 1% versus 2. 6% for Gentherm Incorporated (THRM). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Modine Manufacturing Company grew EPS 13. 2% year-over-year, compared to -70. 9% for Gentherm Incorporated. Over a 3-year CAGR, AAON leads at 17. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MOD or THRM or AAON?
AAON, Inc.
(AAON) is the more profitable company, earning 7. 5% net margin versus 1. 2% for Gentherm Incorporated — meaning it keeps 7. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MOD leads at 11. 0% versus 5. 2% for THRM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AAON leads at 26. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MOD or THRM or AAON more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Gentherm Incorporated (THRM) trades at 11.
6x forward P/E versus 52. 9x for Modine Manufacturing Company — 41. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AAON: 21. 1% to $119. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — MOD or THRM or AAON?
In this comparison, AAON (0.
4% yield) pays a dividend. MOD, THRM do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is MOD or THRM or AAON better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Gentherm Incorporated (THRM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding.
Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) carries a higher beta of 2. 51 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (THRM: -14. 7%, MOD: +25. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MOD and THRM and AAON?
These companies operate in different sectors (MOD (Consumer Cyclical) and THRM (Consumer Cyclical) and AAON (Industrials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: MOD is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; THRM is a small-cap quality compounder stock; AAON is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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