Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
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MSCI vs ICE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
MSCI vs ICE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges | Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges |
| Market Cap | $42.38B | $86.89B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.13B | $12.64B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.32B | $3.30B |
| Gross Margin | 82.4% | 61.9% |
| Operating Margin | 54.7% | 38.7% |
| Forward P/E | 29.7x | 19.1x |
| Total Debt | $6.31B | $20.28B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $515M | $837M |
MSCI vs ICE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSCI Inc. (MSCI) | 100 | 177.0 | +77.0% |
| Intercontinental Ex… (ICE) | 100 | 157.7 | +57.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MSCI vs ICE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MSCI is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 9.7%, EPS growth 10.7%
- 7.2% 10Y total return vs ICE's 222.9%
- PEG 1.75 vs ICE's 2.15
ICE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 14 yrs, beta 0.33, yield 1.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.33, Low D/E 69.9%, current ratio 1.02x
- Beta 0.33, yield 1.3%, current ratio 1.02x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 9.7% NII/revenue growth vs ICE's 7.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (19.1x vs 29.7x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.2% vs MSCI's 0.3% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.33 vs MSCI's 0.61 | |
| Dividends | 1.3% yield, 14-year raise streak, vs MSCI's 1.2% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +8.1% vs ICE's -11.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.2% vs MSCI's 0.3% |
MSCI vs ICE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MSCI vs ICE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MSCI leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ICE is the larger business by revenue, generating $12.6B annually — 4.0x MSCI's $3.1B. MSCI is the more profitable business, keeping 38.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ICE's 26.1%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.1B | $12.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.0B | $6.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.3B | $3.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.5B | $4.3B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +82.4% | +61.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +54.7% | +38.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +38.4% | +26.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +49.4% | +33.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +49.1% | +23.1% |
Valuation Metrics
ICE leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 26.6x trailing earnings, ICE trades at a 29% valuation discount to MSCI's 37.4x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), MSCI offers better value at 2.21x vs ICE's 2.99x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $42.4B | $86.9B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $48.2B | $106.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 37.41x | 26.59x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 29.67x | 19.14x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.21x | 2.99x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 24.93x | 16.47x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 13.52x | 6.88x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 3.02x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 27.36x | 20.26x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MSCI leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ICE scores 9/9 vs MSCI's 8/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | +11.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +24.0% | +2.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +34.9% | +7.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +44.3% | +9.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 9 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.70x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $5.8B | $19.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $515M | $837M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $6.3B | $20.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 7.67x | 6.53x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — MSCI and ICE each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ICE five years ago would be worth $14,243 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $12,833 for MSCI. Over the past 12 months, MSCI leads with a +8.1% total return vs ICE's -11.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ICE at 14.0% vs MSCI's 8.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +3.4% | -3.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +8.1% | -11.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +27.3% | +48.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +28.3% | +42.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +723.8% | +222.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +8.4% | +14.0% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — MSCI and ICE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ICE is the less volatile stock with a 0.33 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than MSCI's 0.61 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MSCI currently trades 93.0% from its 52-week high vs ICE's 81.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.61x | 0.33x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $626.28 | $189.35 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $501.08 | $143.17 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +93.0% | +81.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 53.9 | 42.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 519K | 3.1M |
Analyst Outlook
ICE leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MSCI as "Buy" and ICE as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 27.6% upside for ICE (target: $196) vs 15.8% for MSCI (target: $674). For income investors, ICE offers the higher dividend yield at 1.26% vs MSCI's 1.24%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $674.33 | $195.71 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 27 | 36 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.2% | +1.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 11 | 14 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $7.20 | $1.93 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +5.9% | +1.6% |
MSCI leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ICE leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook). 2 tied.
MSCI vs ICE: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MSCI or ICE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, MSCI Inc.
(MSCI) is the stronger pick with 9. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 7. 5% for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE). Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) offers the better valuation at 26. 6x trailing P/E (19. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate MSCI Inc. (MSCI) a "Buy" — based on 27 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — MSCI or ICE?
On trailing P/E, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
(ICE) is the cheapest at 26. 6x versus MSCI Inc. at 37. 4x. On forward P/E, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. is actually cheaper at 19. 1x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: MSCI Inc. wins at 1. 75x versus Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. 's 2. 15x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — MSCI or ICE?
Over the past 5 years, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
(ICE) delivered a total return of +42. 4%, compared to +28. 3% for MSCI Inc. (MSCI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MSCI returned +723. 8% versus ICE's +222. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — MSCI or ICE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
(ICE) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 33β versus MSCI Inc. 's 0. 61β — meaning MSCI is approximately 86% more volatile than ICE relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — MSCI or ICE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), MSCI Inc.
(MSCI) is pulling ahead at 9. 7% versus 7. 5% for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. grew EPS 20. 7% year-over-year, compared to 10. 7% for MSCI Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — MSCI or ICE?
MSCI Inc.
(MSCI) is the more profitable company, earning 38. 4% net margin versus 26. 1% for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. — meaning it keeps 38. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MSCI leads at 54. 7% versus 38. 7% for ICE. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MSCI leads at 82. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is MSCI or ICE more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, MSCI Inc. (MSCI) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 75x versus Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. 's 2. 15x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) trades at 19. 1x forward P/E versus 29. 7x for MSCI Inc. — 10. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ICE: 27. 6% to $195. 71.
08Which pays a better dividend — MSCI or ICE?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) offers the highest yield at 1. 3%, versus 1. 2% for MSCI Inc. (MSCI).
09Is MSCI or ICE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, MSCI Inc.
(MSCI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 61), 1. 2% yield, +723. 8% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MSCI: +723. 8%, ICE: +222. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between MSCI and ICE?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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