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NAUT vs CDNA vs SEER
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Medical - Diagnostics & Research
Biotechnology
NAUT vs CDNA vs SEER — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Biotechnology | Medical - Diagnostics & Research | Biotechnology |
| Market Cap | $366M | $1.11B | $105M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $0.00 | $413M | $16M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-57M | $-8M | $-79M |
| Gross Margin | — | 48.2% | 40.7% |
| Operating Margin | — | -3.3% | -5.2% |
| Forward P/E | — | 22.8x | — |
| Total Debt | $30M | $20M | $26M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $12M | $65M | $41M |
NAUT vs CDNA vs SEER — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Dec 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nautilus Biotechnol… (NAUT) | 100 | 26.5 | -73.5% |
| CareDx, Inc (CDNA) | 100 | 29.6 | -70.4% |
| Seer, Inc. (SEER) | 100 | 3.3 | -96.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NAUT vs CDNA vs SEER
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NAUT has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in quality and momentum.
- 4.1% margin vs SEER's -486.0%
- +311.5% vs SEER's +1.6%
CDNA is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 13.8%, EPS growth -143.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 5.7%
- 385.1% 10Y total return vs NAUT's -72.4%
- 13.8% revenue growth vs SEER's -8.1%
SEER is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- beta 0.84
- Lower volatility, beta 0.84, Low D/E 7.9%, current ratio 16.53x
- Beta 0.84, current ratio 16.53x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 13.8% revenue growth vs SEER's -8.1% | |
| Quality / Margins | 4.1% margin vs SEER's -486.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.84 vs NAUT's 1.82, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | None of these 3 stocks pay a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +311.5% vs SEER's +1.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -1.9% ROA vs NAUT's -29.2%, ROIC -5.7% vs -26.0% |
NAUT vs CDNA vs SEER — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
NAUT vs CDNA vs SEER — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 3 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
CDNA leads in 3 of 6 categories
NAUT leads 0 • SEER leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CDNA leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CDNA and NAUT operate at a comparable scale, with $413M and $0 in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from -2.0% (CDNA) to -4.9% (SEER). On growth, CDNA holds the edge at +39.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $0 | $413M | $16M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$58M | $2M | -$76M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$57M | -$8M | -$79M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$51M | $65M | -$46M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | — | +48.2% | +40.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | — | -3.3% | -5.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | — | -2.0% | -4.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | — | +15.8% | -2.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | +39.0% | +4.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.7% | +126.3% | +8.6% |
Valuation Metrics
CDNA leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $366M | $1.1B | $105M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $384M | $1.1B | $90M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -6.13x | -53.60x | -1.35x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 22.85x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | — | 2.92x | 7.52x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.32x | 3.77x | 0.36x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 30.66x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
CDNA leads this category, winning 8 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CDNA delivers a -2.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-3 in annual profit, vs $-35 for NAUT. CDNA carries lower financial leverage with a 0.06x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NAUT's 0.19x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CDNA scores 5/9 vs NAUT's 1/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -35.0% | -2.6% | -29.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -29.2% | -1.9% | -25.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -26.0% | -5.7% | -21.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -32.0% | -5.8% | -25.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.19x | 0.06x | 0.08x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $18M | -$46M | -$15M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $12M | $65M | $41M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $30M | $20M | $26M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | — | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — NAUT and CDNA each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NAUT five years ago would be worth $2,866 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $494 for SEER. Over the past 12 months, NAUT leads with a +311.5% total return vs SEER's +1.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CDNA at 37.7% vs SEER's -19.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +50.8% | +12.0% | +3.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +311.5% | +45.2% | +1.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +21.0% | +161.1% | -47.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -71.3% | -72.4% | -95.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -72.4% | +385.1% | -96.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +6.6% | +37.7% | -19.2% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CDNA and SEER each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
SEER is the less volatile stock with a 0.84 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NAUT's 1.82 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CDNA currently trades 92.3% from its 52-week high vs NAUT's 66.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.82x | 1.39x | 0.84x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $4.31 | $23.24 | $2.41 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.62 | $10.96 | $1.65 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +66.8% | +92.3% | +78.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 52.5 | 56.4 | 49.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 315K | 667K | 401K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: NAUT as "Buy", CDNA as "Buy", SEER as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 11.9% upside for CDNA (target: $24) vs -13.2% for NAUT (target: $3).
| Metric | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $2.50 | $24.00 | — |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +7.9% | +11.3% |
CDNA leads in 3 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Valuation Metrics. 2 categories are tied.
NAUT vs CDNA vs SEER: Key Questions Answered
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NAUT or CDNA or SEER a better buy right now?
For growth investors, CareDx, Inc (CDNA) is the stronger pick with 13.
8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -8. 1% for Seer, Inc. (SEER). Analysts rate Nautilus Biotechnology, Inc. (NAUT) a "Buy" — based on 5 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — NAUT or CDNA or SEER?
Over the past 5 years, Nautilus Biotechnology, Inc.
(NAUT) delivered a total return of -71. 3%, compared to -95. 1% for Seer, Inc. (SEER). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CDNA returned +385. 1% versus SEER's -96. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — NAUT or CDNA or SEER?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Seer, Inc.
(SEER) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 84β versus Nautilus Biotechnology, Inc. 's 1. 82β — meaning NAUT is approximately 116% more volatile than SEER relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, CareDx, Inc (CDNA) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 6% versus 19% for Nautilus Biotechnology, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — NAUT or CDNA or SEER?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), CareDx, Inc (CDNA) is pulling ahead at 13.
8% versus -8. 1% for Seer, Inc. (SEER). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Nautilus Biotechnology, Inc. grew EPS 16. 1% year-over-year, compared to -143. 0% for CareDx, Inc. Over a 3-year CAGR, SEER leads at 29. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — NAUT or CDNA or SEER?
Nautilus Biotechnology, Inc.
(NAUT) is the more profitable company, earning 0. 0% net margin versus -620. 9% for Seer, Inc. — meaning it keeps 0. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NAUT leads at 0. 0% versus -717. 7% for SEER. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CDNA leads at 67. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is NAUT or CDNA or SEER more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CDNA: 11.
9% to $24. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — NAUT or CDNA or SEER?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is NAUT or CDNA or SEER better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Seer, Inc.
(SEER) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 84)). Nautilus Biotechnology, Inc. (NAUT) carries a higher beta of 1. 82 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (SEER: -96. 7%, NAUT: -72. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between NAUT and CDNA and SEER?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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