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NSC vs CSX
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Railroads
NSC vs CSX — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Railroads | Railroads |
| Market Cap | $71.25B | $84.69B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $12.19B | $14.15B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $2.67B | $3.05B |
| Gross Margin | 51.1% | 37.5% |
| Operating Margin | 32.4% | 33.4% |
| Forward P/E | 26.2x | 24.0x |
| Total Debt | $17.09B | $19.35B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.53B | $670M |
NSC vs CSX — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norfolk Southern Co… (NSC) | 100 | 177.9 | +77.9% |
| CSX Corporation (CSX) | 100 | 191.0 | +91.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NSC vs CSX
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NSC carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 24 yrs, beta 0.63, yield 1.7%
- Rev growth 0.5%, EPS growth 10.2%, 3Y rev CAGR -1.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.63, current ratio 0.85x
CSX is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 465.7% 10Y total return vs NSC's 299.2%
- +64.1% vs NSC's +47.0%
- 7.0% ROA vs NSC's 6.0%, ROIC 10.9% vs 9.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 0.5% revenue growth vs CSX's -3.1% | |
| Value | PEG 2.57 vs 4.69 | |
| Quality / Margins | 21.9% margin vs CSX's 21.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.63 vs CSX's 0.77, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.7% yield, 24-year raise streak, vs CSX's 1.1% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +64.1% vs NSC's +47.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.0% ROA vs NSC's 6.0%, ROIC 10.9% vs 9.8% |
NSC vs CSX — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NSC vs CSX — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — NSC and CSX each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CSX and NSC operate at a comparable scale, with $14.2B and $12.2B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 21.9% (NSC) to 21.6% (CSX).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $12.2B | $14.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $5.0B | $6.4B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $2.7B | $3.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $4.2B | $4.1B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +51.1% | +37.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +32.4% | +33.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +21.9% | +21.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +34.5% | +29.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.2% | +1.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -26.6% | +26.5% |
Valuation Metrics
NSC leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 24.9x trailing earnings, NSC trades at a 16% valuation discount to CSX's 29.6x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), NSC offers better value at 2.44x vs CSX's 5.79x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $71.2B | $84.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $86.8B | $103.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 24.88x | 29.60x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 26.21x | 23.98x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.44x | 5.79x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 16.07x | 17.83x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 5.85x | 6.01x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.59x | 6.46x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 33.03x | 49.50x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CSX leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CSX delivers a 23.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $24 in annual profit, vs $17 for NSC. NSC carries lower financial leverage with a 1.10x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CSX's 1.47x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NSC scores 7/9 vs CSX's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +17.4% | +23.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +6.0% | +7.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +9.8% | +10.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +9.8% | +11.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.10x | 1.47x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $15.6B | $18.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.5B | $670M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $17.1B | $19.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 4.15x | 5.66x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CSX leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CSX five years ago would be worth $13,992 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,950 for NSC. Over the past 12 months, CSX leads with a +64.1% total return vs NSC's +47.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NSC at 17.1% vs CSX's 13.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +10.7% | +26.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +47.0% | +64.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +60.4% | +47.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +19.5% | +39.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +299.2% | +465.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +17.1% | +13.9% |
Risk & Volatility
NSC leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NSC is the less volatile stock with a 0.63 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CSX's 0.77 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.63x | 0.77x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $323.37 | $46.55 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $218.05 | $28.05 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +98.1% | +97.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 59.7 | 62.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.1M | 12.0M |
Analyst Outlook
NSC leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NSC as "Hold" and CSX as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 4.6% upside for NSC (target: $332) vs -5.5% for CSX (target: $43). For income investors, NSC offers the higher dividend yield at 1.70% vs CSX's 1.14%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $332.00 | $43.08 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 48 | 46 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.7% | +1.1% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 24 | 21 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $5.40 | $0.52 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.7% | +1.6% |
NSC leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Risk & Volatility). CSX leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 1 tied.
NSC vs CSX: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NSC or CSX a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) is the stronger pick with 0.
5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -3. 1% for CSX Corporation (CSX). Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) offers the better valuation at 24. 9x trailing P/E (26. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate CSX Corporation (CSX) a "Buy" — based on 46 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NSC or CSX?
On trailing P/E, Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) is the cheapest at 24.
9x versus CSX Corporation at 29. 6x. On forward P/E, CSX Corporation is actually cheaper at 24. 0x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Norfolk Southern Corporation wins at 2. 57x versus CSX Corporation's 4. 69x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NSC or CSX?
Over the past 5 years, CSX Corporation (CSX) delivered a total return of +39.
9%, compared to +19. 5% for Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CSX returned +465. 7% versus NSC's +299. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NSC or CSX?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
63β versus CSX Corporation's 0. 77β — meaning CSX is approximately 21% more volatile than NSC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 110% versus 147% for CSX Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NSC or CSX?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) is pulling ahead at 0.
5% versus -3. 1% for CSX Corporation (CSX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Norfolk Southern Corporation grew EPS 10. 2% year-over-year, compared to -14. 0% for CSX Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, NSC leads at -1. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NSC or CSX?
Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) is the more profitable company, earning 23.
6% net margin versus 20. 5% for CSX Corporation — meaning it keeps 23. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NSC leads at 32. 9% versus 32. 1% for CSX. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NSC leads at 42. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NSC or CSX more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 2. 57x versus CSX Corporation's 4. 69x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, CSX Corporation (CSX) trades at 24. 0x forward P/E versus 26. 2x for Norfolk Southern Corporation — 2. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NSC: 4. 6% to $332. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — NSC or CSX?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) offers the highest yield at 1. 7%, versus 1. 1% for CSX Corporation (CSX).
09Is NSC or CSX better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
63), 1. 7% yield, +299. 2% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NSC: +299. 2%, CSX: +465. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NSC and CSX?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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