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SAIA vs ODFL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Trucking
SAIA vs ODFL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Trucking | Trucking |
| Market Cap | $11.97B | $41.28B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.25B | $5.50B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $255M | $1.02B |
| Gross Margin | 18.4% | 32.2% |
| Operating Margin | 10.8% | 24.8% |
| Forward P/E | 42.3x | 37.7x |
| Total Debt | $418M | $141M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $20M | $120M |
SAIA vs ODFL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saia, Inc. (SAIA) | 100 | 414.0 | +314.0% |
| Old Dominion Freigh… (ODFL) | 100 | 231.5 | +131.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: SAIA vs ODFL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
SAIA is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 0.8%, EPS growth -29.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 5.0%
- 15.7% 10Y total return vs ODFL's 8.4%
- PEG 3.29 vs ODFL's 3.36
ODFL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 10 yrs, beta 1.38, yield 0.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.38, Low D/E 3.3%, current ratio 1.44x
- Beta 1.38, yield 0.6%, current ratio 1.44x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 0.8% revenue growth vs ODFL's -5.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (37.7x vs 42.3x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 18.6% margin vs SAIA's 7.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.38 vs SAIA's 1.90, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 0.6% yield; 10-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +72.7% vs ODFL's +28.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 18.5% ROA vs SAIA's 7.3%, ROIC 23.6% vs 9.4% |
SAIA vs ODFL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
SAIA vs ODFL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ODFL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ODFL is the larger business by revenue, generating $5.5B annually — 1.7x SAIA's $3.3B. ODFL is the more profitable business, keeping 18.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to SAIA's 7.8%. On growth, SAIA holds the edge at +2.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.3B | $5.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $602M | $1.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $255M | $1.0B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $261M | $955M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +18.4% | +32.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.8% | +24.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +7.8% | +18.6% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +8.0% | +17.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.4% | -5.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | 0.0% | -11.4% |
Valuation Metrics
ODFL leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 41.0x trailing earnings, ODFL trades at a 13% valuation discount to SAIA's 47.2x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), ODFL offers better value at 3.66x vs SAIA's 3.67x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $12.0B | $41.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $12.4B | $41.3B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 47.16x | 41.01x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 42.28x | 37.69x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 3.67x | 3.66x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 20.59x | 23.93x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.70x | 7.51x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.67x | 9.64x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 438.03x | 43.22x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ODFL leads this category, winning 8 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ODFL delivers a 24.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $24 in annual profit, vs $10 for SAIA. ODFL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.03x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to SAIA's 0.16x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +10.0% | +24.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +7.3% | +18.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +9.4% | +23.6% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +11.5% | +27.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.16x | 0.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $398M | $21M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $20M | $120M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $418M | $141M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 23.88x | 4601.85x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SAIA leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SAIA five years ago would be worth $18,332 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $15,002 for ODFL. Over the past 12 months, SAIA leads with a +72.7% total return vs ODFL's +28.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SAIA at 16.0% vs ODFL's 8.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +33.1% | +24.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +72.7% | +28.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +56.0% | +29.1% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +83.3% | +50.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +1567.7% | +841.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +16.0% | +8.9% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — SAIA and ODFL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ODFL is the less volatile stock with a 1.38 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than SAIA's 1.90 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SAIA currently trades 98.0% from its 52-week high vs ODFL's 84.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.90x | 1.38x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $457.99 | $233.79 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $248.37 | $126.01 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +98.0% | +84.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 60.4 | 45.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 523K | 2.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates SAIA as "Buy" and ODFL as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 5.1% upside for ODFL (target: $208) vs -5.9% for SAIA (target: $423). ODFL is the only dividend payer here at 0.57% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $422.67 | $208.19 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 32 | 36 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 10 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.12 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.1% | +1.8% |
ODFL leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). SAIA leads in 1 (Total Returns). 1 tied.
SAIA vs ODFL: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is SAIA or ODFL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Saia, Inc.
(SAIA) is the stronger pick with 0. 8% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -5. 5% for Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL). Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) offers the better valuation at 41. 0x trailing P/E (37. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Saia, Inc. (SAIA) a "Buy" — based on 32 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — SAIA or ODFL?
On trailing P/E, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
(ODFL) is the cheapest at 41. 0x versus Saia, Inc. at 47. 2x. On forward P/E, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is actually cheaper at 37. 7x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Saia, Inc. wins at 3. 29x versus Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. 's 3. 36x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — SAIA or ODFL?
Over the past 5 years, Saia, Inc.
(SAIA) delivered a total return of +83. 3%, compared to +50. 0% for Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SAIA returned +1568% versus ODFL's +841. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — SAIA or ODFL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
(ODFL) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 38β versus Saia, Inc. 's 1. 90β — meaning SAIA is approximately 38% more volatile than ODFL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 3% versus 16% for Saia, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — SAIA or ODFL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Saia, Inc.
(SAIA) is pulling ahead at 0. 8% versus -5. 5% for Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. grew EPS -11. 9% year-over-year, compared to -29. 6% for Saia, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, SAIA leads at 5. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — SAIA or ODFL?
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
(ODFL) is the more profitable company, earning 18. 6% net margin versus 7. 9% for Saia, Inc. — meaning it keeps 18. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ODFL leads at 24. 8% versus 10. 9% for SAIA. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ODFL leads at 32. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is SAIA or ODFL more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Saia, Inc. (SAIA) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 3. 29x versus Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. 's 3. 36x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) trades at 37. 7x forward P/E versus 42. 3x for Saia, Inc. — 4. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ODFL: 5. 1% to $208. 19.
08Which pays a better dividend — SAIA or ODFL?
In this comparison, ODFL (0.
6% yield) pays a dividend. SAIA does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is SAIA or ODFL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
(ODFL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (0. 6% yield, +841. 8% 10Y return). Saia, Inc. (SAIA) carries a higher beta of 1. 90 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ODFL: +841. 8%, SAIA: +1568%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between SAIA and ODFL?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
ODFL pays a dividend while SAIA does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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