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SAIASaia, Inc.
$348.38$9.2B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
SAIA logo

Saia, Inc.

SAIA
NASDAQ · Trucking
$348.38
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$9.29B
P/E36.6x
52W High$494.71
Volume356.19K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Network Expansion Drives Growth Amid Margin Compression

Saia is executing a national network expansion that has driven revenue growth, but the capital-intensive build-out is compressing margins and may be destroying near-term value. The company's fortress balance sheet, with a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.10, pro...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationReview
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

SAIA price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

6/12 Beats

EPS beat 6 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+16% Peers

P/E is 16% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 27 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 73% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 30
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has decelerated sharply from 18.5% in 2024Q2 to 2.4% in 2026Q1, while operating margin has contracted from a peak of 16.7% to 13.1% in 2026Q2, indicating the costs of scaling the network are outpacing revenue benefits.

Analyst Consensus+32.6% target
Buy(32 analysts)
19 Buy12 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Moderate moat advantage

Saia Inc (SAIA) is noted for having a moderate moat, which suggests a competitive advantage that can sustain profitability over time.

Buy rating and target

Analysts have given Saia, Inc. (SAIA) a Buy rating with a consensus target price of $449, indicating potential upside despite near-term challenges.

Network quality focus

The investment thesis for Saia hinges on its network quality and disciplined execution, rather than rapid growth, which is seen as a key strength.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
SAIA+3.32%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
SAIA+15.05%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
SAIA-9.89%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+81.10%
5-Year Return
SAIA+43.17%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+78.41%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
36.1x
Forward P/EExpansion
30.3x
EV/EBITDA40th %ile
15.9x
FCF YieldCash Flow
0.3%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
36.1x
33.7x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
15.9x
18.1x
40th· Fair
Price/FCF
335.5x
92.9x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$123.73-64.5%
Base (Fair)$239.43-30.0%
Bull$269.79-22.6%
$123.73 Bear$239.43 Base$269.79 Bull
Current Market Price: $348.38
Trades at a 45.5% premium to Base DCF ($239.43)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$3.23B+0.8% YoY
Net income
$255M-29.6% YoY
Free cash flow
$27M+105.9% YoY
Operating margin
10.9%-4.1 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)9.4%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)10.4%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
Revenue Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 30, 2026
$3.51+3.8%
vs $3.38
$956M+0.0%
vs $956M
Q2 2026
Apr 30, 2026
$1.86+2.2%
vs $1.82
$806M+2.2%
vs $789M
Q1 2026
Feb 10, 2026
$1.77-6.8%
vs $1.90
$790M+2.1%
vs $774M
Q4 2025
Oct 30, 2025
$2.81+11.5%
vs $2.52
$840M+1.6%
vs $826M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
KNX vs. SAIA: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?

Investors interested in stocks from the Transportation - Truck sector have probably already heard of Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (KNX) and Saia (SAIA). But which of these two stocks presents investors with the better value opportunity right now?

Barrons·Sep 10, 2026
Trucking Stocks Have Been Pummeled but Wall Street Sees Four to Buy

XPO, Saia, Knight-Swift, and Paccar could benefit as tightening trucking capacity and improving freight rates outweigh the hit from soaring diesel prices.

GlobeNewsWire·Sep 3, 2026
Saia Provides July and August LTL Operating Data

JOHNS CREEK, Ga., Sept. 03, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Saia, Inc. (Nasdaq: SAIA) is providing LTL shipment and tonnage data for the first two months of the third quarter.

Defense World·Aug 26, 2026
Bank of Nova Scotia Makes New Investment in Saia, Inc. $SAIA

Bank of Nova Scotia purchased a new stake in Saia, Inc. (NASDAQ: SAIA) during the undefined quarter, according to the company in its most recent disclosure with the SEC. The institutional investor purchased 11,512 shares of the transportation company's stock, valued at approximately $4,848,000. Several other large investors have also modified their holdings

Filtered for Saia, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark SAIA against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Saia, Inc. (SAIA)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
SAIA logoSAIASaia, Inc.Current
$348.38$9.29B36.590.79%7.89%10.43%—
ODFL logoODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
$177.31$36.87B36.71-5.48%19.44%24.87%—
XPO logoXPOXPO Logistics, Inc.
$177.67$20.86B67.301.05%4.71%21.57%—
ARCB logoARCBArcBest Corp
$131.71$2.93B50.27-4.04%0.39%1.26%—
WERN logoWERNWerner Enterprises, Inc.
$34.79$2.09B-144.96-1.84%-1.42%-3.31%—
TFII logoTFIITFI International Inc.
$125.04$10.28B24.0531.1%4.1%13.57%—

Compare SAIA vs Peers

Saia, Inc. (SAIA) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs ODFL

Most directly comparable listed peer for SAIA.

Scale Benchmark

vs AMZN

Larger-name benchmark to compare SAIA against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs ODFL, XPO, ARCB, WERN

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

SAIA SEC Filings & Documents

Saia, Inc. (SAIA) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 2, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 24, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 24, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 23, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Jul 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 30, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 30, 2025·SEC

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SAIA Frequently Asked Questions

Saia, Inc. (SAIA) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Saia, Inc.'s revenue?

Saia, Inc. (SAIA) reported $3.39B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 732% increase from $408.0M in 1998.

How fast is Saia, Inc. growing?

Saia, Inc. (SAIA) grew revenue by 0.8% over the past year. Growth has been modest.

Is SAIA profitable?

Yes, Saia, Inc. (SAIA) is profitable, generating $278.0M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (7.9% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is SAIA's return on equity?

Saia, Inc. (SAIA) has a return on equity (ROE) of 10.4%. This is reasonable for most industries.

What is Saia, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Saia, Inc. (SAIA) generated $255.2M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in SAIA back in 1998?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 28+ years of data

See returns →