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5 / 10Stock Comparison
AA vs CENX vs KALU vs CSTM vs NEM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Aluminum
Aluminum
Aluminum
Gold
AA vs CENX vs KALU vs CSTM vs NEM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Aluminum | Aluminum | Aluminum | Aluminum | Gold |
| Market Cap | $16.38B | $5.85B | $2.92B | $4.54B | $127.53B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $12.74B | $2.53B | $3.70B | $9.29B | $17.23B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.15B | $85M | $153M | $441M | $5.26B |
| Gross Margin | 13.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 52.1% |
| Operating Margin | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 49.3% |
| Forward P/E | 9.1x | 6.0x | 19.2x | 10.6x | 11.0x |
| Total Debt | $1M | $519M | $1.12B | $1.94B | $474M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.60B | $33M | $7M | $120M | $7.65B |
AA vs CENX vs KALU vs CSTM vs NEM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alcoa Corporation (AA) | 100 | 686.8 | +586.8% |
| Century Aluminum Co… (CENX) | 100 | 1050.7 | +950.7% |
| Kaiser Aluminum Cor… (KALU) | 100 | 251.5 | +151.5% |
| Constellium SE (CSTM) | 100 | 406.0 | +306.0% |
| Newmont Corporation (NEM) | 100 | 196.9 | +96.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AA vs CENX vs KALU vs CSTM vs NEM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AA lags the leaders in this set but could rank higher in a more targeted comparison.
CENX is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if long-term compounding is your priority.
- 7.2% 10Y total return vs CSTM's 491.0%
- Lower P/E (6.0x vs 10.6x)
- +280.7% vs NEM's +112.6%
KALU ranks third and is worth considering specifically for valuation efficiency and defensive.
- PEG 0.64 vs NEM's 0.86
- Beta 1.71, yield 1.7%, current ratio 2.95x
- 1.7% yield, vs NEM's 0.9%, (2 stocks pay no dividend)
Among these 5 stocks, CSTM doesn't own a clear edge in any measured category.
NEM carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.75, yield 0.9%
- Rev growth 19.1%, EPS growth 124.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 22.7%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.75, Low D/E 1.4%, current ratio 1.72x
- 19.1% revenue growth vs CENX's 1.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 19.1% revenue growth vs CENX's 1.6% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (6.0x vs 10.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 30.5% margin vs CENX's 3.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.75 vs CSTM's 1.85, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.7% yield, vs NEM's 0.9%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +280.7% vs NEM's +112.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 9.4% ROA vs CENX's 4.0%, ROIC 24.9% vs 9.7% |
AA vs CENX vs KALU vs CSTM vs NEM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AA vs CENX vs KALU vs CSTM vs NEM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
NEM leads in 2 of 6 categories
CENX leads 1 • AA leads 0 • KALU leads 0 • CSTM leads 0 • 3 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NEM leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NEM is the larger business by revenue, generating $17.2B annually — 6.8x CENX's $2.5B. NEM is the more profitable business, keeping 30.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CENX's 3.4%. On growth, KALU holds the edge at +42.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $12.7B | $2.5B | $3.7B | $9.3B | $17.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.6B | $253M | $368M | $978M | $12.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.1B | $85M | $153M | $441M | $5.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $567M | -$38M | $24M | $175M | $12.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +13.6% | +9.5% | +10.2% | +13.1% | +52.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +7.6% | +6.9% | +6.6% | +6.8% | +49.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +9.0% | +3.4% | +4.1% | +4.7% | +30.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +4.5% | -1.5% | +0.7% | +1.9% | +75.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -13.3% | +17.3% | +42.4% | +14.9% | -100.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +11.8% | -69.6% | +183.2% | +4.3% | -100.0% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — AA and CSTM each lead in 2 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 14.2x trailing earnings, AA trades at a 47% valuation discount to KALU's 26.6x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), KALU offers better value at 0.88x vs NEM's 1.40x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $16.4B | $5.8B | $2.9B | $4.5B | $127.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $14.8B | $6.3B | $4.0B | $6.4B | $120.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 14.25x | 19.03x | 26.65x | 17.36x | 17.96x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 9.07x | 6.00x | 19.19x | 10.59x | 11.05x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | 0.88x | — | 1.40x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 9.27x | 31.16x | 12.90x | 7.91x | 9.17x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.29x | 2.63x | 0.87x | 0.54x | 5.77x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.68x | 9.30x | 3.63x | 4.87x | 3.75x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 28.89x | — | — | 28.55x | 17.47x |
Profitability & Efficiency
NEM leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CSTM delivers a 46.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $47 in annual profit, vs $12 for CENX. AA carries lower financial leverage with a 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CSTM's 2.00x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NEM scores 9/9 vs CENX's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +18.5% | +12.2% | +18.7% | +46.9% | +15.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +7.1% | +4.0% | +5.9% | +8.0% | +9.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +12.7% | +9.7% | +7.8% | +13.4% | +24.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +8.4% | +9.5% | +9.4% | +13.9% | +20.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.00x | 0.78x | 1.36x | 2.00x | 0.01x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$1.6B | $486M | $1.1B | $1.8B | -$7.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.6B | $33M | $7M | $120M | $7.6B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1M | $519M | $1.1B | $1.9B | $474M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 7.85x | 2.48x | 4.84x | 7.26x | 50.54x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CENX leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CENX five years ago would be worth $41,103 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $14,224 for KALU. Over the past 12 months, CENX leads with a +280.7% total return vs NEM's +112.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CENX at 94.9% vs AA's 20.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +12.0% | +53.0% | +51.3% | +68.6% | +14.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +156.1% | +280.7% | +171.3% | +206.3% | +112.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +75.0% | +640.2% | +200.3% | +115.6% | +145.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +63.1% | +311.0% | +42.2% | +95.4% | +83.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +188.8% | +718.6% | +128.7% | +491.0% | +271.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +20.5% | +94.9% | +44.3% | +29.2% | +34.9% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — KALU and NEM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NEM is the less volatile stock with a 0.75 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CSTM's 1.85 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. KALU currently trades 98.6% from its 52-week high vs AA's 83.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.77x | 1.74x | 1.71x | 1.85x | 0.75x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $75.70 | $68.69 | $183.00 | $33.84 | $134.88 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $24.15 | $14.77 | $65.69 | $10.71 | $48.27 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +83.6% | +91.2% | +98.6% | +98.5% | +85.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 43.8 | 55.6 | 71.9 | 65.7 | 46.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.5M | 2.0M | 247K | 2.4M | 9.2M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — CENX and KALU and CSTM and NEM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: AA as "Buy", CENX as "Hold", KALU as "Hold", CSTM as "Buy", NEM as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 21.4% upside for CENX (target: $76) vs -11.3% for KALU (target: $160). For income investors, KALU offers the higher dividend yield at 1.71% vs AA's 0.62%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold | Hold | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $68.80 | $76.00 | $160.00 | $35.67 | $137.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 42 | 22 | 22 | 17 | 36 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.6% | — | +1.7% | — | +0.9% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.39 | — | $3.09 | — | $1.00 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | +2.5% | +1.8% |
NEM leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). CENX leads in 1 (Total Returns). 3 tied.
AA vs CENX vs KALU vs CSTM vs NEM: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AA or CENX or KALU or CSTM or NEM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the stronger pick with 19.
1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 6% for Century Aluminum Company (CENX). Alcoa Corporation (AA) offers the better valuation at 14. 2x trailing P/E (9. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Alcoa Corporation (AA) a "Buy" — based on 42 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AA or CENX or KALU or CSTM or NEM?
On trailing P/E, Alcoa Corporation (AA) is the cheapest at 14.
2x versus Kaiser Aluminum Corporation at 26. 6x. On forward P/E, Century Aluminum Company is actually cheaper at 6. 0x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Kaiser Aluminum Corporation wins at 0. 64x versus Newmont Corporation's 0. 86x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AA or CENX or KALU or CSTM or NEM?
Over the past 5 years, Century Aluminum Company (CENX) delivered a total return of +311.
0%, compared to +42. 2% for Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CENX returned +718. 6% versus KALU's +128. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AA or CENX or KALU or CSTM or NEM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
75β versus Constellium SE's 1. 85β — meaning CSTM is approximately 146% more volatile than NEM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Alcoa Corporation (AA) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 0% versus 2% for Constellium SE — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AA or CENX or KALU or CSTM or NEM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Newmont Corporation (NEM) is pulling ahead at 19.
1% versus 1. 6% for Century Aluminum Company (CENX). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Alcoa Corporation grew EPS 1486% year-over-year, compared to 124. 1% for Newmont Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, NEM leads at 22. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AA or CENX or KALU or CSTM or NEM?
Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the more profitable company, earning 32.
1% net margin versus 3. 2% for Constellium SE — meaning it keeps 32. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NEM leads at 46. 9% versus 5. 5% for CENX. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NEM leads at 49. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AA or CENX or KALU or CSTM or NEM more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 64x versus Newmont Corporation's 0. 86x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Century Aluminum Company (CENX) trades at 6. 0x forward P/E versus 19. 2x for Kaiser Aluminum Corporation — 13. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CENX: 21. 4% to $76. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — AA or CENX or KALU or CSTM or NEM?
In this comparison, KALU (1.
7% yield), NEM (0. 9% yield), AA (0. 6% yield) pay a dividend. CENX, CSTM do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is AA or CENX or KALU or CSTM or NEM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
75), 0. 9% yield, +271. 4% 10Y return). Constellium SE (CSTM) carries a higher beta of 1. 85 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (NEM: +271. 4%, CSTM: +491. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AA and CENX and KALU and CSTM and NEM?
Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AA is a mid-cap deep-value stock; CENX is a small-cap quality compounder stock; KALU is a small-cap quality compounder stock; CSTM is a small-cap high-growth stock; NEM is a mid-cap high-growth stock. AA, KALU, NEM pay a dividend while CENX, CSTM do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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