AAON vs JCI vs HON vs CARR

For growth investors, AAON, Inc.

(AAON) is the stronger pick with 20. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -3. 3% for Carrier Global Corporation (CARR). Honeywell International Inc. (HON) offers the better valuation at 29. 4x trailing P/E (20. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate AAON, Inc. (AAON) a "Buy" — based on 5 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.

On trailing P/E, Honeywell International Inc.

(HON) is the cheapest at 29. 4x versus AAON, Inc. at 100. 2x. On forward P/E, Honeywell International Inc. is actually cheaper at 20. 5x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Johnson Controls International plc wins at 1. 15x versus AAON, Inc. 's 12. 01x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.

Over the past 5 years, AAON, Inc.

(AAON) delivered a total return of +196. 3%, compared to +3. 3% for Honeywell International Inc. (HON). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AAON returned +612. 1% versus HON's +135. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.

By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Honeywell International Inc.

(HON) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 74β versus AAON, Inc. 's 1. 83β — meaning AAON is approximately 146% more volatile than HON relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, AAON, Inc. (AAON) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 48% versus 2% for Honeywell International Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.

By revenue growth (latest reported year), AAON, Inc.

(AAON) is pulling ahead at 20. 1% versus -3. 3% for Carrier Global Corporation (CARR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Johnson Controls International plc grew EPS 4. 4% year-over-year, compared to -72. 4% for Carrier Global Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, AAON leads at 17. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.

Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) is the more profitable company, earning 13.

9% net margin versus 6. 9% for Carrier Global Corporation — meaning it keeps 13. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: HON leads at 17. 5% versus 9. 9% for CARR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HON leads at 36. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.

The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.

By this metric, Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 15x versus AAON, Inc. 's 12. 01x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, Honeywell International Inc. (HON) trades at 20. 5x forward P/E versus 65. 3x for AAON, Inc. — 44. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for HON: 12. 8% to $243. 83.

All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.

Honeywell International Inc. (HON) offers the highest yield at 2. 1%, versus 0. 3% for AAON, Inc. (AAON).

For long-horizon retirement investors, Honeywell International Inc.

(HON) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 74), 2. 1% yield, +135. 1% 10Y return). AAON, Inc. (AAON) carries a higher beta of 1. 83 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (HON: +135. 1%, AAON: +612. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.

Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.

In terms of investment character: AAON is a mid-cap high-growth stock; JCI is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; HON is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; CARR is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. JCI, HON, CARR pay a dividend while AAON does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.