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AFRM vs LPRO
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Financial - Credit Services
AFRM vs LPRO — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Software - Infrastructure | Financial - Credit Services |
| Market Cap | $21.85B | $202M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.72B | $93M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $282M | $-4M |
| Gross Margin | 67.7% | 75.5% |
| Operating Margin | 6.2% | 6.4% |
| Forward P/E | 60.8x | 15.7x |
| Total Debt | $7.85B | $88M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.35B | $177M |
AFRM vs LPRO — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jan 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Affirm Holdings, In… (AFRM) | 100 | 65.8 | -34.2% |
| Open Lending Corpor… (LPRO) | 100 | 4.7 | -95.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AFRM vs LPRO
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AFRM has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in long-term compounding.
- -32.6% 10Y total return vs LPRO's -82.3%
- 7.6% margin vs LPRO's -4.5%
- +28.6% vs LPRO's +25.7%
LPRO is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 2.27
- Rev growth 288.0%, EPS growth 96.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 2.27, current ratio 4.52x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 288.0% NII/revenue growth vs AFRM's 38.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (15.7x vs 60.8x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 7.6% margin vs LPRO's -4.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 2.27 vs AFRM's 2.72, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +28.6% vs LPRO's +25.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.5% ROA vs LPRO's -1.5%, ROIC -0.7% vs 2.3% |
AFRM vs LPRO — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AFRM vs LPRO — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
LPRO leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AFRM is the larger business by revenue, generating $3.7B annually — 39.9x LPRO's $93M. AFRM is the more profitable business, keeping 7.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to LPRO's -4.5%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.7B | $93M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $495M | -$3M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $282M | -$4M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $619M | -$4M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +67.7% | +75.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +6.2% | +6.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +7.6% | -4.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +16.7% | -3.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +29.6% | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +60.9% | +101.2% |
Valuation Metrics
LPRO leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, LPRO's 13.5x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than AFRM's 205.7x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $21.8B | $202M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $28.3B | $114M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 437.20x | -47.90x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 60.83x | 15.75x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 205.69x | 13.52x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 6.78x | 2.17x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 7.29x | 2.71x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 36.30x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
LPRO leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AFRM delivers a 8.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $9 in annual profit, vs $-6 for LPRO. LPRO carries lower financial leverage with a 1.17x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to AFRM's 2.56x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +8.8% | -5.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.5% | -1.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -0.7% | +2.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -0.9% | +2.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.56x | 1.17x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $6.5B | -$89M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.4B | $177M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $7.9B | $88M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.67x | 0.00x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AFRM leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AFRM five years ago would be worth $12,046 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $442 for LPRO. Over the past 12 months, AFRM leads with a +28.6% total return vs LPRO's +25.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AFRM at 76.4% vs LPRO's -38.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -11.4% | +9.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +28.6% | +25.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +449.2% | -77.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +20.5% | -95.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -32.6% | -82.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +76.4% | -38.7% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — AFRM and LPRO each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
LPRO is the less volatile stock with a 2.27 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AFRM's 2.72 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.72x | 2.27x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $100.00 | $2.70 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $42.09 | $1.17 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +65.6% | +63.3% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 66.6 | 54.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 5.3M | 570K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates AFRM as "Buy" and LPRO as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 133.9% upside for LPRO (target: $4) vs 23.2% for AFRM (target: $81).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $80.77 | $4.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 33 | 12 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.1% | +2.4% |
LPRO leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). AFRM leads in 1 (Total Returns). 1 tied.
AFRM vs LPRO: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AFRM or LPRO a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Open Lending Corporation (LPRO) is the stronger pick with 288.
0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 38. 8% for Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM). Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) offers the better valuation at 437. 2x trailing P/E (60. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) a "Buy" — based on 33 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AFRM or LPRO?
On forward P/E, Open Lending Corporation is actually cheaper at 15.
7x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AFRM or LPRO?
Over the past 5 years, Affirm Holdings, Inc.
(AFRM) delivered a total return of +20. 5%, compared to -95. 6% for Open Lending Corporation (LPRO). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AFRM returned -32. 6% versus LPRO's -82. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AFRM or LPRO?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Open Lending Corporation (LPRO) is the lower-risk stock at 2.
27β versus Affirm Holdings, Inc. 's 2. 72β — meaning AFRM is approximately 20% more volatile than LPRO relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Open Lending Corporation (LPRO) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 117% versus 3% for Affirm Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AFRM or LPRO?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Open Lending Corporation (LPRO) is pulling ahead at 288.
0% versus 38. 8% for Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Affirm Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 109. 0% year-over-year, compared to 96. 8% for Open Lending Corporation. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AFRM or LPRO?
Affirm Holdings, Inc.
(AFRM) is the more profitable company, earning 1. 6% net margin versus -4. 5% for Open Lending Corporation — meaning it keeps 1. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: LPRO leads at 6. 4% versus -2. 7% for AFRM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — LPRO leads at 75. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AFRM or LPRO more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Open Lending Corporation (LPRO) trades at 15.
7x forward P/E versus 60. 8x for Affirm Holdings, Inc. — 45. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for LPRO: 133. 9% to $4. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — AFRM or LPRO?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
09Is AFRM or LPRO better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Affirm Holdings, Inc.
(AFRM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. Open Lending Corporation (LPRO) carries a higher beta of 2. 27 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (AFRM: -32. 6%, LPRO: -82. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AFRM and LPRO?
These companies operate in different sectors (AFRM (Technology) and LPRO (Financial Services)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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