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AGI vs CAT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural - Machinery
AGI vs CAT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Gold | Agricultural - Machinery |
| Market Cap | $17.64B | $431.16B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.07B | $70.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.06B | $9.42B |
| Gross Margin | 59.1% | 32.5% |
| Operating Margin | 54.1% | 16.6% |
| Forward P/E | 14.9x | 40.1x |
| Total Debt | $234M | $43.33B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $622M | $9.98B |
AGI vs CAT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) | 100 | 518.5 | +418.5% |
| Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) | 100 | 771.4 | +671.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AGI vs CAT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AGI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and sleep-well-at-night.
- Rev growth 34.6%, EPS growth 204.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 30.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.60, Low D/E 5.3%, current ratio 1.72x
- PEG 0.36 vs CAT's 1.43
CAT is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 8 yrs, beta 1.54, yield 0.6%
- 12.2% 10Y total return vs AGI's 5.1%
- 0.6% yield, 8-year raise streak, vs AGI's 0.2%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 34.6% revenue growth vs CAT's 4.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (14.9x vs 40.1x), PEG 0.36 vs 1.43 | |
| Quality / Margins | 51.4% margin vs CAT's 13.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.60 vs CAT's 1.54, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 0.6% yield, 8-year raise streak, vs AGI's 0.2% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +190.7% vs AGI's +54.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 17.4% ROA vs CAT's 10.0%, ROIC 15.9% vs 15.9% |
AGI vs CAT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
AGI vs CAT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
AGI leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT is the larger business by revenue, generating $70.8B annually — 34.2x AGI's $2.1B. AGI is the more profitable business, keeping 51.4% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CAT's 13.3%. On growth, AGI holds the edge at +76.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.1B | $70.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $1.3B | $14.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.1B | $9.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $347M | $11.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +59.1% | +32.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +54.1% | +16.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +51.4% | +13.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +16.8% | +16.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +76.7% | +22.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +11.5% | +30.2% |
Valuation Metrics
AGI leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 20.0x trailing earnings, AGI trades at a 59% valuation discount to CAT's 49.2x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), AGI offers better value at 0.48x vs CAT's 1.75x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $17.6B | $431.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $17.2B | $464.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 20.00x | 49.21x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 14.85x | 40.13x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.48x | 1.75x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 16.88x | 34.48x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 9.73x | 6.38x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.00x | 20.39x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 65.04x | 41.97x |
Profitability & Efficiency
AGI leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT delivers a 47.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $48 in annual profit, vs $25 for AGI. AGI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.05x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAT's 2.03x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AGI scores 7/9 vs CAT's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +25.2% | +47.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +17.4% | +10.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +15.9% | +15.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +15.1% | +19.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.05x | 2.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$388M | $33.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $622M | $10.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $234M | $43.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 950.30x | 9.22x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CAT leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AGI five years ago would be worth $49,094 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $40,189 for CAT. Over the past 12 months, CAT leads with a +190.7% total return vs AGI's +54.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CAT at 63.8% vs AGI's 45.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +9.5% | +55.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +54.6% | +190.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +206.2% | +339.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +390.9% | +301.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +511.7% | +1223.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +45.2% | +63.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — AGI and CAT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AGI is the less volatile stock with a 0.60 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CAT's 1.54 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CAT currently trades 99.6% from its 52-week high vs AGI's 75.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.60x | 1.54x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $55.41 | $930.41 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $23.75 | $318.11 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +75.8% | +99.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 32.4 | 73.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 3.5M | 2.4M |
Analyst Outlook
CAT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates AGI as "Buy" and CAT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 29.8% upside for AGI (target: $55) vs -11.0% for CAT (target: $825). For income investors, CAT offers the higher dividend yield at 0.63% vs AGI's 0.23%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $54.50 | $824.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 13 | 53 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.2% | +0.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.10 | $5.86 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.2% | +1.2% |
AGI leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). CAT leads in 2 (Total Returns, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
AGI vs CAT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AGI or CAT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Alamos Gold Inc.
(AGI) is the stronger pick with 34. 6% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 4. 3% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) offers the better valuation at 20. 0x trailing P/E (14. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) a "Buy" — based on 13 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AGI or CAT?
On trailing P/E, Alamos Gold Inc.
(AGI) is the cheapest at 20. 0x versus Caterpillar Inc. at 49. 2x. On forward P/E, Alamos Gold Inc. is actually cheaper at 14. 9x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Alamos Gold Inc. wins at 0. 36x versus Caterpillar Inc. 's 1. 43x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AGI or CAT?
Over the past 5 years, Alamos Gold Inc.
(AGI) delivered a total return of +390. 9%, compared to +301. 9% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CAT returned +1223% versus AGI's +511. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AGI or CAT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Alamos Gold Inc.
(AGI) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 60β versus Caterpillar Inc. 's 1. 54β — meaning CAT is approximately 158% more volatile than AGI relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 5% versus 2% for Caterpillar Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AGI or CAT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Alamos Gold Inc.
(AGI) is pulling ahead at 34. 6% versus 4. 3% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Alamos Gold Inc. grew EPS 204. 3% year-over-year, compared to -14. 6% for Caterpillar Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AGI leads at 30. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AGI or CAT?
Alamos Gold Inc.
(AGI) is the more profitable company, earning 49. 1% net margin versus 13. 1% for Caterpillar Inc. — meaning it keeps 49. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AGI leads at 44. 5% versus 16. 6% for CAT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AGI leads at 54. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AGI or CAT more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 36x versus Caterpillar Inc. 's 1. 43x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) trades at 14. 9x forward P/E versus 40. 1x for Caterpillar Inc. — 25. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AGI: 29. 8% to $54. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — AGI or CAT?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) offers the highest yield at 0. 6%, versus 0. 2% for Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI).
09Is AGI or CAT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (0. 6% yield, +1223% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (CAT: +1223%, AGI: +511. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AGI and CAT?
These companies operate in different sectors (AGI (Basic Materials) and CAT (Industrials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: AGI is a mid-cap high-growth stock; CAT is a large-cap quality compounder stock. CAT pays a dividend while AGI does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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