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AMBC vs BAM vs MS vs GS
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Asset Management
Financial - Capital Markets
Financial - Capital Markets
AMBC vs BAM vs MS vs GS — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Specialty | Asset Management | Financial - Capital Markets | Financial - Capital Markets |
| Market Cap | $269M | $81.87B | $302.59B | $287.62B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $99M | $3.98B | $103.14B | $126.85B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-780M | $2.60B | $16.18B | $16.67B |
| Gross Margin | -17.0% | 71.0% | 55.6% | 41.1% |
| Operating Margin | -132.2% | 69.4% | 17.1% | 14.5% |
| Forward P/E | 92.0x | 26.4x | 16.0x | 15.6x |
| Total Debt | $150M | $219M | $360.49B | $616.93B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $47M | $12M | $75.74B | $182.09B |
AMBC vs BAM vs MS vs GS — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Dec 22 | Jan 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ambac Financial Gro… (AMBC) | 100 | 35.1 | -64.9% |
| Brookfield Asset Ma… (BAM) | 100 | 182.7 | +82.7% |
| Morgan Stanley (MS) | 100 | 208.8 | +108.8% |
| The Goldman Sachs G… (GS) | 100 | 256.0 | +156.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AMBC vs BAM vs MS vs GS
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AMBC has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.78, Low D/E 12.5%, current ratio 4.37x
- Beta 0.78, current ratio 4.37x
- 89.1% revenue growth vs BAM's -2.0%
- Beta 0.78 vs BAM's 1.50
BAM is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if quality and efficiency is your priority.
- 54.5% margin vs AMBC's -7.9%
- 15.8% ROA vs AMBC's -36.3%, ROIC 71.0% vs -1.5%
MS is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 11 yrs, beta 1.37, yield 2.0%
- 7.3% 10Y total return vs GS's 5.3%
- NIM 0.7% vs GS's 0.5%
- 2.0% yield, 11-year raise streak, vs GS's 1.5%, (1 stock pays no dividend)
GS is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and valuation efficiency.
- Rev growth 17.0%, EPS growth 77.3%
- PEG 1.12 vs MS's 1.80
- Lower P/E (15.6x vs 16.0x), PEG 1.12 vs 1.80
- +70.6% vs AMBC's -24.3%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 89.1% revenue growth vs BAM's -2.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (15.6x vs 16.0x), PEG 1.12 vs 1.80 | |
| Quality / Margins | 54.5% margin vs AMBC's -7.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.78 vs BAM's 1.50 | |
| Dividends | 2.0% yield, 11-year raise streak, vs GS's 1.5%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +70.6% vs AMBC's -24.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 15.8% ROA vs AMBC's -36.3%, ROIC 71.0% vs -1.5% |
AMBC vs BAM vs MS vs GS — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
AMBC vs BAM vs MS vs GS — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
BAM leads in 2 of 6 categories
AMBC leads 1 • GS leads 1 • MS leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BAM leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GS is the larger business by revenue, generating $126.9B annually — 1279.6x AMBC's $99M. BAM is the more profitable business, keeping 54.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to AMBC's -7.9%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $99M | $4.0B | $103.1B | $126.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$117M | $3.0B | $26.3B | $23.4B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$780M | $2.6B | $16.2B | $16.7B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$35M | $1.9B | -$6.7B | $15.8B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -17.0% | +71.0% | +55.6% | +41.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -132.2% | +69.4% | +17.1% | +14.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -7.9% | +54.5% | +13.0% | +11.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -35.3% | +15.8% | -2.0% | -12.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -4.9% | — | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -3.0% | +44.8% | +48.9% | +45.8% |
Valuation Metrics
AMBC leads this category, winning 3 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 4.3x trailing earnings, AMBC trades at a 89% valuation discount to BAM's 38.1x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), GS offers better value at 1.63x vs MS's 2.69x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $269M | $81.9B | $302.6B | $287.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $371M | $82.1B | $587.3B | $722.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 4.32x | 38.11x | 23.92x | 22.84x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 92.04x | 26.39x | 16.01x | 15.64x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | 2.69x | 1.63x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 29.57x | 25.81x | 34.75x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.14x | 20.57x | 2.93x | 2.27x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.24x | 24.98x | 2.91x | 2.53x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 352.45x | 130.58x | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
BAM leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
BAM delivers a 24.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $24 in annual profit, vs $-68 for AMBC. BAM carries lower financial leverage with a 0.07x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GS's 5.06x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AMBC scores 6/9 vs GS's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -68.0% | +24.4% | +14.6% | +12.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -36.3% | +15.8% | +1.2% | +0.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -1.5% | +71.0% | +2.9% | +1.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -0.7% | +103.0% | +3.8% | +3.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.13x | 0.07x | 3.42x | 5.06x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $103M | $207M | $284.7B | $434.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $47M | $12M | $75.7B | $182.1B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $150M | $219M | $360.5B | $616.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -6.80x | 9.00x | 0.44x | 0.31x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GS leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GS five years ago would be worth $26,440 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,543 for AMBC. Over the past 12 months, GS leads with a +70.6% total return vs AMBC's -24.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GS at 43.5% vs AMBC's -26.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -17.9% | -7.8% | +5.7% | +1.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -24.3% | -9.3% | +63.0% | +70.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -59.4% | +62.4% | +138.4% | +195.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -64.6% | +68.2% | +136.2% | +164.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -60.6% | +68.2% | +732.3% | +534.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -26.0% | +17.5% | +33.6% | +43.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — AMBC and MS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AMBC is the less volatile stock with a 0.78 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BAM's 1.50 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MS currently trades 97.6% from its 52-week high vs AMBC's 59.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.78x | 1.50x | 1.37x | 1.47x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $10.38 | $64.10 | $194.83 | $984.70 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $5.96 | $42.20 | $118.20 | $547.74 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +59.1% | +76.1% | +97.6% | +94.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 21.3 | 59.6 | 66.0 | 59.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 638K | 3.6M | 5.4M | 2.0M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — MS and GS each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: AMBC as "Buy", BAM as "Buy", MS as "Buy", GS as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 128.4% upside for AMBC (target: $14) vs 7.6% for GS (target: $996). For income investors, MS offers the higher dividend yield at 2.00% vs BAM's 0.77%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $14.00 | $61.83 | $205.75 | $995.89 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 6 | 20 | 52 | 55 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.8% | +2.0% | +1.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.38 | $3.81 | $13.48 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +4.4% | +0.0% | +1.4% | +3.5% |
BAM leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). AMBC leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
AMBC vs BAM vs MS vs GS: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AMBC or BAM or MS or GS a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
(AMBC) is the stronger pick with 89. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -2. 0% for Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. (BAM). Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC) offers the better valuation at 4. 3x trailing P/E (92. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC) a "Buy" — based on 6 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AMBC or BAM or MS or GS?
On trailing P/E, Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
(AMBC) is the cheapest at 4. 3x versus Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. at 38. 1x. On forward P/E, The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. is actually cheaper at 15. 6x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. wins at 1. 12x versus Morgan Stanley's 1. 80x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AMBC or BAM or MS or GS?
Over the past 5 years, The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
(GS) delivered a total return of +164. 4%, compared to -64. 6% for Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MS returned +732. 3% versus AMBC's -60. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AMBC or BAM or MS or GS?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
(AMBC) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 78β versus Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. 's 1. 50β — meaning BAM is approximately 92% more volatile than AMBC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. (BAM) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 7% versus 5% for The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AMBC or BAM or MS or GS?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
(AMBC) is pulling ahead at 89. 1% versus -2. 0% for Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. (BAM). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. grew EPS 77. 3% year-over-year, compared to -60. 5% for Ambac Financial Group, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AMBC or BAM or MS or GS?
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd.
(BAM) is the more profitable company, earning 54. 5% net margin versus -236. 0% for Ambac Financial Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps 54. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BAM leads at 69. 4% versus -25. 4% for AMBC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — BAM leads at 71. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AMBC or BAM or MS or GS more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 12x versus Morgan Stanley's 1. 80x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) trades at 15. 6x forward P/E versus 92. 0x for Ambac Financial Group, Inc. — 76. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AMBC: 128. 4% to $14. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — AMBC or BAM or MS or GS?
In this comparison, MS (2.
0% yield), GS (1. 5% yield), BAM (0. 8% yield) pay a dividend. AMBC does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is AMBC or BAM or MS or GS better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Morgan Stanley (MS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (2.
0% yield, +732. 3% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MS: +732. 3%, BAM: +68. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AMBC and BAM and MS and GS?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AMBC is a small-cap high-growth stock; BAM is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; MS is a large-cap high-growth stock; GS is a large-cap high-growth stock. BAM, MS, GS pay a dividend while AMBC does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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