Industrial - Machinery
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AOS vs LII vs WSO vs AAON vs MWA
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
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Industrial - Distribution
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Industrial - Machinery
AOS vs LII vs WSO vs AAON vs MWA — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Industrial - Machinery | Construction | Industrial - Distribution | Construction | Industrial - Machinery |
| Market Cap | $8.42B | $18.34B | $17.45B | $10.58B | $4.21B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.81B | $5.26B | $7.24B | $1.62B | $1.46B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $528M | $783M | $496M | $118M | $207M |
| Gross Margin | 38.8% | 33.1% | 28.4% | 26.2% | 37.6% |
| Operating Margin | 18.5% | 19.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 19.4% |
| Forward P/E | 15.4x | 21.7x | 34.0x | 65.3x | 18.6x |
| Total Debt | $192M | $2.06B | $479M | $433M | $452M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $175M | $34M | $433M | $13K | $432M |
AOS vs LII vs WSO vs AAON vs MWA — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. O. Smith Corpora… (AOS) | 100 | 126.8 | +26.8% |
| Lennox Internationa… (LII) | 100 | 246.4 | +146.4% |
| Watsco, Inc. (WSO) | 100 | 241.3 | +141.3% |
| AAON, Inc. (AAON) | 100 | 357.9 | +257.9% |
| Mueller Water Produ… (MWA) | 100 | 287.9 | +187.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AOS vs LII vs WSO vs AAON vs MWA
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AOS has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 15 yrs, beta 0.81, yield 2.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.81, Low D/E 10.3%, current ratio 1.50x
- Lower P/E (15.4x vs 65.3x), PEG 1.21 vs 12.01
- Beta 0.81 vs AAON's 1.83, lower leverage
LII is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if quality and efficiency is your priority.
- 14.9% margin vs WSO's 6.8%
- 20.1% ROA vs AAON's 7.4%, ROIC 29.8% vs 9.4%
WSO is the clearest fit if your priority is defensive.
- Beta 1.10, yield 2.9%, current ratio 4.12x
- 2.9% yield, 12-year raise streak, vs AOS's 2.3%
AAON ranks third and is worth considering specifically for long-term compounding.
- 6.1% 10Y total return vs LII's 309.4%
- 20.1% revenue growth vs WSO's -5.0%
- +35.5% vs AOS's -7.9%
MWA is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and valuation efficiency.
- Rev growth 8.7%, EPS growth 64.9%, 3Y rev CAGR 4.7%
- PEG 0.84 vs AAON's 12.01
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 20.1% revenue growth vs WSO's -5.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (15.4x vs 65.3x), PEG 1.21 vs 12.01 | |
| Quality / Margins | 14.9% margin vs WSO's 6.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.81 vs AAON's 1.83, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 2.9% yield, 12-year raise streak, vs AOS's 2.3% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +35.5% vs AOS's -7.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 20.1% ROA vs AAON's 7.4%, ROIC 29.8% vs 9.4% |
AOS vs LII vs WSO vs AAON vs MWA — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
AOS vs LII vs WSO vs AAON vs MWA — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
AOS leads in 2 of 6 categories
AAON leads 1 • LII leads 0 • WSO leads 0 • MWA leads 0 • 3 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — AOS and LII and AAON each lead in 2 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
WSO is the larger business by revenue, generating $7.2B annually — 4.9x MWA's $1.5B. LII is the more profitable business, keeping 14.9% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to WSO's 6.8%. On growth, AAON holds the edge at +54.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.8B | $5.3B | $7.2B | $1.6B | $1.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $795M | $1.1B | $757M | $228M | $333M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $528M | $783M | $496M | $118M | $207M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $648M | $661M | $702M | -$145M | $171M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +38.8% | +33.1% | +28.4% | +26.2% | +37.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +18.5% | +19.5% | +9.8% | +10.4% | +19.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +13.8% | +14.9% | +6.8% | +7.3% | +14.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +17.0% | +12.6% | +9.7% | -9.0% | +11.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -1.9% | +5.8% | +0.1% | +54.3% | +5.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -10.5% | -0.6% | -3.1% | +37.1% | +15.2% |
Valuation Metrics
AOS leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 15.6x trailing earnings, AOS trades at a 84% valuation discount to AAON's 100.2x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), MWA offers better value at 1.00x vs AAON's 18.43x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $8.4B | $18.3B | $17.5B | $10.6B | $4.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $8.4B | $20.4B | $17.5B | $11.0B | $4.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 15.60x | 23.71x | 35.04x | 100.19x | 22.04x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 15.45x | 21.71x | 34.05x | 65.28x | 18.65x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.23x | 1.23x | 2.97x | 18.43x | 1.00x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 10.66x | 18.18x | 23.76x | 48.81x | 14.07x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.20x | 3.53x | 2.41x | 7.34x | 2.94x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.54x | 15.90x | 5.05x | 12.00x | 4.31x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 15.41x | 28.70x | 32.59x | — | 24.45x |
Profitability & Efficiency
AOS leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
LII delivers a 72.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $72 in annual profit, vs $13 for AAON. AOS carries lower financial leverage with a 0.10x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to LII's 1.77x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AOS scores 8/9 vs AAON's 2/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +27.4% | +72.0% | +15.3% | +13.4% | +20.7% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +16.0% | +20.1% | +10.8% | +7.4% | +11.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +29.2% | +29.8% | +16.6% | +9.4% | +19.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +31.5% | +40.2% | +19.0% | +12.4% | +17.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.10x | 1.77x | 0.15x | 0.48x | 0.46x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $18M | $2.0B | $46M | $433M | $20M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $175M | $34M | $433M | $13,000 | $432M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $192M | $2.1B | $479M | $433M | $452M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 39.95x | 20.51x | — | 11.27x | 22.98x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
AAON leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in AAON five years ago would be worth $29,629 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $9,353 for AOS. Over the past 12 months, AAON leads with a +35.5% total return vs AOS's -7.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AAON at 26.3% vs AOS's -3.0% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -10.8% | +5.9% | +25.4% | +63.3% | +12.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -7.9% | -6.3% | -6.0% | +35.5% | +14.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -8.6% | +91.9% | +37.6% | +101.6% | +88.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -6.5% | +57.8% | +59.8% | +196.3% | +89.1% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +81.4% | +309.4% | +281.5% | +612.1% | +179.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -3.0% | +24.3% | +11.2% | +26.3% | +23.6% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — AOS and AAON each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
AOS is the less volatile stock with a 0.81 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AAON's 1.83 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. AAON currently trades 86.8% from its 52-week high vs AOS's 73.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.81x | 1.23x | 1.10x | 1.83x | 1.02x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $81.87 | $689.44 | $496.25 | $148.88 | $31.00 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $58.22 | $434.06 | $323.05 | $62.00 | $22.74 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +73.6% | +76.4% | +86.5% | +86.8% | +86.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 38.9 | 63.8 | 56.2 | 59.4 | 41.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.5M | 458K | 452K | 965K | 1.0M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — AOS and WSO each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: AOS as "Hold", LII as "Hold", WSO as "Hold", AAON as "Buy", MWA as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 23.9% upside for MWA (target: $33) vs -7.9% for AAON (target: $119). For income investors, WSO offers the higher dividend yield at 2.91% vs AAON's 0.30%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | Hold | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $74.00 | $553.45 | $399.80 | $119.00 | $33.33 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 29 | 30 | 26 | 5 | 21 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.3% | +0.9% | +2.9% | +0.3% | +1.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 15 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.40 | $4.93 | $12.50 | $0.39 | $0.27 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +4.8% | +2.7% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +0.4% |
AOS leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). AAON leads in 1 (Total Returns). 3 tied.
AOS vs LII vs WSO vs AAON vs MWA: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AOS or LII or WSO or AAON or MWA a better buy right now?
For growth investors, AAON, Inc.
(AAON) is the stronger pick with 20. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -5. 0% for Watsco, Inc. (WSO). A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) offers the better valuation at 15. 6x trailing P/E (15. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate AAON, Inc. (AAON) a "Buy" — based on 5 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — AOS or LII or WSO or AAON or MWA?
On trailing P/E, A.
O. Smith Corporation (AOS) is the cheapest at 15. 6x versus AAON, Inc. at 100. 2x. On forward P/E, A. O. Smith Corporation is actually cheaper at 15. 4x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Mueller Water Products, Inc. wins at 0. 84x versus AAON, Inc. 's 12. 01x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — AOS or LII or WSO or AAON or MWA?
Over the past 5 years, AAON, Inc.
(AAON) delivered a total return of +196. 3%, compared to -6. 5% for A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: AAON returned +612. 1% versus AOS's +81. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — AOS or LII or WSO or AAON or MWA?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), A.
O. Smith Corporation (AOS) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 81β versus AAON, Inc. 's 1. 83β — meaning AAON is approximately 126% more volatile than AOS relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 10% versus 177% for Lennox International Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — AOS or LII or WSO or AAON or MWA?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), AAON, Inc.
(AAON) is pulling ahead at 20. 1% versus -5. 0% for Watsco, Inc. (WSO). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Mueller Water Products, Inc. grew EPS 64. 9% year-over-year, compared to -36. 1% for AAON, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, AAON leads at 17. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — AOS or LII or WSO or AAON or MWA?
Lennox International Inc.
(LII) is the more profitable company, earning 15. 1% net margin versus 6. 9% for Watsco, Inc. — meaning it keeps 15. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: LII leads at 19. 5% versus 9. 6% for WSO. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AOS leads at 38. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is AOS or LII or WSO or AAON or MWA more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 84x versus AAON, Inc. 's 12. 01x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) trades at 15. 4x forward P/E versus 65. 3x for AAON, Inc. — 49. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MWA: 23. 9% to $33. 33.
08Which pays a better dividend — AOS or LII or WSO or AAON or MWA?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Watsco, Inc. (WSO) offers the highest yield at 2. 9%, versus 0. 3% for AAON, Inc. (AAON).
09Is AOS or LII or WSO or AAON or MWA better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, A.
O. Smith Corporation (AOS) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 81), 2. 3% yield). AAON, Inc. (AAON) carries a higher beta of 1. 83 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (AOS: +81. 4%, AAON: +612. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between AOS and LII and WSO and AAON and MWA?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AOS is a small-cap deep-value stock; LII is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; WSO is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; AAON is a mid-cap high-growth stock; MWA is a small-cap quality compounder stock. AOS, LII, WSO, MWA pay a dividend while AAON does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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