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ARCO vs MCD
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
ARCO vs MCD — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $1.18B | $202.32B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.68B | $26.26B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $212M | $8.41B |
| Gross Margin | 12.3% | 57.4% |
| Operating Margin | 7.5% | 46.1% |
| Forward P/E | 13.1x | 21.5x |
| Total Debt | $2.25B | $51.95B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $373M | $1.08B |
ARCO vs MCD — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arcos Dorados Holdi… (ARCO) | 100 | 236.0 | +136.0% |
| McDonald's Corporat… (MCD) | 100 | 152.5 | +52.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ARCO vs MCD
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ARCO carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 4.7%, EPS growth 42.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 8.9%
- 4.7% revenue growth vs MCD's 1.7%
- Lower P/E (13.1x vs 21.5x)
MCD is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 26 yrs, beta 0.11, yield 2.4%
- 158.5% 10Y total return vs ARCO's 124.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.11, current ratio 1.19x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.7% revenue growth vs MCD's 1.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (13.1x vs 21.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 32.0% margin vs ARCO's 4.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.11 vs ARCO's 0.98 | |
| Dividends | 2.7% yield, 4-year raise streak, vs MCD's 2.4% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +17.6% vs MCD's -8.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 13.9% ROA vs ARCO's 5.9%, ROIC 19.3% vs 11.1% |
ARCO vs MCD — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ARCO vs MCD — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MCD leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MCD is the larger business by revenue, generating $26.3B annually — 5.6x ARCO's $4.7B. MCD is the more profitable business, keeping 32.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to ARCO's 4.5%. On growth, ARCO holds the edge at +10.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.7B | $26.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $547M | $14.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $212M | $8.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $11M | $7.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +12.3% | +57.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +7.5% | +46.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +4.5% | +32.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +0.2% | +28.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +10.7% | +3.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -57.1% | +1.6% |
Valuation Metrics
ARCO leads this category, winning 4 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 9.0x trailing earnings, ARCO trades at a 64% valuation discount to MCD's 24.9x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, ARCO's 5.6x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than MCD's 18.3x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.2B | $202.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.1B | $253.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 8.95x | 24.94x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 13.06x | 21.54x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 3.26x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 5.58x | 18.33x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.25x | 7.81x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 2.47x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 30.32x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MCD leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MCD scores 7/9 vs ARCO's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +32.4% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +5.9% | +13.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +11.1% | +19.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +13.5% | +23.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.91x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.9B | $50.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $373M | $1.1B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.2B | $51.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 8.64x | 7.88x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ARCO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ARCO five years ago would be worth $16,689 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $13,445 for MCD. Over the past 12 months, ARCO leads with a +17.6% total return vs MCD's -8.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ARCO at 5.2% vs MCD's 0.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +25.0% | -5.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +17.6% | -8.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +16.5% | +2.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +66.9% | +34.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +124.1% | +158.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +5.2% | +0.9% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — ARCO and MCD each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MCD is the less volatile stock with a 0.11 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ARCO's 0.98 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ARCO currently trades 92.7% from its 52-week high vs MCD's 83.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.98x | 0.11x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $9.75 | $341.75 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $6.51 | $282.40 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +92.7% | +83.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 51.3 | 31.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.1M | 2.9M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — ARCO and MCD each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ARCO as "Buy" and MCD as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 27.5% upside for ARCO (target: $12) vs 24.0% for MCD (target: $352). For income investors, ARCO offers the higher dividend yield at 2.66% vs MCD's 2.37%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $11.53 | $352.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 62 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.7% | +2.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 4 | 26 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.24 | $6.75 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.4% |
MCD leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). ARCO leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). 2 tied.
ARCO vs MCD: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ARCO or MCD a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
(ARCO) is the stronger pick with 4. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 7% for McDonald's Corporation (MCD). Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) offers the better valuation at 9. 0x trailing P/E (13. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ARCO or MCD?
On trailing P/E, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
(ARCO) is the cheapest at 9. 0x versus McDonald's Corporation at 24. 9x. On forward P/E, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. is actually cheaper at 13. 1x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ARCO or MCD?
Over the past 5 years, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
(ARCO) delivered a total return of +66. 9%, compared to +34. 4% for McDonald's Corporation (MCD). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MCD returned +158. 5% versus ARCO's +124. 1%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ARCO or MCD?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
11β versus Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. 's 0. 98β — meaning ARCO is approximately 777% more volatile than MCD relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — ARCO or MCD?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
(ARCO) is pulling ahead at 4. 7% versus 1. 7% for McDonald's Corporation (MCD). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. grew EPS 42. 3% year-over-year, compared to -1. 5% for McDonald's Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, ARCO leads at 8. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ARCO or MCD?
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the more profitable company, earning 31.
7% net margin versus 4. 5% for Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. — meaning it keeps 31. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MCD leads at 45. 2% versus 7. 5% for ARCO. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MCD leads at 56. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ARCO or MCD more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
(ARCO) trades at 13. 1x forward P/E versus 21. 5x for McDonald's Corporation — 8. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ARCO: 27. 5% to $11. 53.
08Which pays a better dividend — ARCO or MCD?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO) offers the highest yield at 2. 7%, versus 2. 4% for McDonald's Corporation (MCD).
09Is ARCO or MCD better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
11), 2. 4% yield, +158. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MCD: +158. 5%, ARCO: +124. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ARCO and MCD?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ARCO is a small-cap deep-value stock; MCD is a large-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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