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5 / 10Stock Comparison
ARR vs AGNC vs NLY vs DX vs EARN
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
REIT - Mortgage
REIT - Mortgage
REIT - Mortgage
Asset Management
ARR vs AGNC vs NLY vs DX vs EARN — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | REIT - Mortgage | REIT - Mortgage | REIT - Mortgage | REIT - Mortgage | Asset Management |
| Market Cap | $2.18B | $9.62B | $16.08B | $2.66B | $183M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $993M | $3.46B | $6.70B | $421M | $51M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $241M | $838M | $2.03B | $319M | $-5M |
| Gross Margin | 95.8% | 100.0% | 99.2% | 99.9% | 31.3% |
| Operating Margin | 84.7% | 107.1% | 102.6% | 107.8% | 14.0% |
| Forward P/E | 5.7x | 6.9x | 7.5x | 9.5x | 4.6x |
| Total Debt | $17.94B | $64M | $111.86B | $13.91B | $563M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $63M | $505M | $2.04B | $930M | $32M |
ARR vs AGNC vs NLY vs DX vs EARN — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARMOUR Residential … (ARR) | 100 | 44.8 | -55.2% |
| AGNC Investment Cor… (AGNC) | 100 | 82.8 | -17.2% |
| Annaly Capital Mana… (NLY) | 100 | 90.9 | -9.1% |
| Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX) | 100 | 103.6 | +3.6% |
| Ellington Credit Co… (EARN) | 100 | 51.4 | -48.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ARR vs AGNC vs NLY vs DX vs EARN
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ARR is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability is your priority.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.65, yield 17.1%
- 444.1% FFO/revenue growth vs EARN's -8.4%
- 17.1% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs AGNC's 14.7%, (1 stock pays no dividend)
AGNC ranks third and is worth considering specifically for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 384.7%, EPS growth 17.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 26.4%
- +39.4% vs EARN's +8.0%
Among these 5 stocks, NLY doesn't own a clear edge in any measured category.
DX carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding.
- 59.1% 10Y total return vs AGNC's 46.9%
- 75.8% margin vs EARN's 13.0%
- Beta 0.54 vs AGNC's 0.74
- 1.8% ROA vs EARN's -0.6%, ROIC 4.8% vs 0.7%
EARN is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.63, current ratio 0.13x
- Beta 0.63, yield 16.8%, current ratio 0.13x
- Lower P/E (4.6x vs 9.5x)
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 444.1% FFO/revenue growth vs EARN's -8.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (4.6x vs 9.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 75.8% margin vs EARN's 13.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.54 vs AGNC's 0.74 | |
| Dividends | 17.1% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs AGNC's 14.7%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +39.4% vs EARN's +8.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 1.8% ROA vs EARN's -0.6%, ROIC 4.8% vs 0.7% |
ARR vs AGNC vs NLY vs DX vs EARN — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
Segment breakdown not available.
Segment breakdown not available.
Segment breakdown not available.
ARR vs AGNC vs NLY vs DX vs EARN — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
DX leads in 2 of 6 categories
ARR leads 2 • AGNC leads 1 • NLY leads 0 • EARN leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
DX leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NLY is the larger business by revenue, generating $6.7B annually — 132.1x EARN's $51M. DX is the more profitable business, keeping 75.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to EARN's 13.0%. On growth, DX holds the edge at +3.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $993M | $3.5B | $6.7B | $421M | $51M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $758M | $3.7B | $6.9B | $572M | -$5M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $241M | $838M | $2.0B | $319M | -$5M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $134M | $604M | -$222M | $107M | $20M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +95.8% | +100.0% | +99.2% | +99.9% | +31.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +84.7% | +107.1% | +102.6% | +107.8% | +14.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +24.2% | +24.2% | +30.3% | +75.8% | +13.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +13.5% | +17.5% | -3.3% | +25.3% | +18.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -84.8% | +2.5% | -8.4% | +3.2% | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.5% | +84.6% | +79.5% | +93.3% | -2.1% |
Valuation Metrics
ARR leads this category, winning 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 5.3x trailing earnings, ARR trades at a 74% valuation discount to EARN's 20.3x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, AGNC's 2.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than EARN's 100.6x.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.2B | $9.6B | $16.1B | $2.7B | $183M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $20.1B | $9.2B | $125.9B | $15.6B | $714M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 5.32x | 11.53x | 7.67x | 5.39x | 20.29x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 5.71x | 6.87x | 7.46x | 9.53x | 4.62x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 20.79x | 2.42x | 18.32x | 21.19x | 100.63x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.67x | 1.97x | 2.40x | 6.32x | 3.61x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.73x | 0.86x | 0.89x | 0.68x | 0.68x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 17.52x | 111.86x | — | — | 20.07x |
Profitability & Efficiency
AGNC leads this category, winning 4 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
NLY delivers a 14.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $14 in annual profit, vs $-3 for EARN. AGNC carries lower financial leverage with a 0.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ARR's 7.94x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), EARN scores 8/9 vs DX's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +11.5% | +7.3% | +14.1% | +13.0% | -2.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +1.2% | +0.8% | +1.7% | +1.8% | -0.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +6.8% | +34.0% | +6.4% | +4.8% | +0.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +31.5% | +4.9% | +19.7% | +5.8% | +3.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 7.94x | 0.01x | 6.92x | 5.65x | 2.91x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $17.9B | -$441M | $109.8B | $13.0B | $531M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $63M | $505M | $2.0B | $930M | $32M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $17.9B | $64M | $111.9B | $13.9B | $563M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.50x | 1.32x | 1.42x | — | -0.16x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
DX leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in DX five years ago would be worth $10,815 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,379 for ARR. Over the past 12 months, AGNC leads with a +39.4% total return vs EARN's +8.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors DX at 19.1% vs ARR's 2.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +2.3% | +2.5% | +0.8% | +0.6% | -2.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +24.0% | +39.4% | +31.7% | +25.5% | +8.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +6.5% | +58.3% | +60.1% | +69.0% | +11.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -36.2% | -2.2% | +1.4% | +8.2% | -17.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -11.6% | +46.9% | +35.5% | +59.1% | +31.3% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +2.1% | +16.5% | +17.0% | +19.1% | +3.7% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — NLY and DX each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
DX is the less volatile stock with a 0.54 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AGNC's 0.74 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NLY currently trades 91.3% from its 52-week high vs EARN's 80.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.65x | 0.74x | 0.64x | 0.54x | 0.63x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $19.31 | $12.19 | $24.52 | $14.93 | $6.08 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $13.98 | $8.65 | $18.43 | $11.70 | $4.27 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +90.9% | +87.9% | +91.3% | +89.2% | +80.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 51.1 | 52.1 | 52.7 | 48.7 | 61.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 3.1M | 18.2M | 7.0M | 5.7M | 483K |
Analyst Outlook
ARR leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: ARR as "Hold", AGNC as "Hold", NLY as "Buy", DX as "Hold", EARN as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 26.4% upside for DX (target: $17) vs 3.8% for AGNC (target: $11). For income investors, ARR offers the higher dividend yield at 17.14% vs NLY's 13.11%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold | Buy | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $18.25 | $11.13 | $24.50 | $16.83 | $6.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 25 | 35 | 28 | 14 | 7 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +17.1% | +14.7% | +13.1% | — | +16.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $3.01 | $1.58 | $2.94 | — | $0.82 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.9% | 0.0% | +0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
DX leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). ARR leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook). 1 tied.
ARR vs AGNC vs NLY vs DX vs EARN: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ARR or AGNC or NLY or DX or EARN a better buy right now?
For growth investors, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
(ARR) is the stronger pick with 444. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -8. 4% for Ellington Credit Company (EARN). ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) offers the better valuation at 5. 3x trailing P/E (5. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY) a "Buy" — based on 28 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ARR or AGNC or NLY or DX or EARN?
On trailing P/E, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
(ARR) is the cheapest at 5. 3x versus Ellington Credit Company at 20. 3x. On forward P/E, Ellington Credit Company is actually cheaper at 4. 6x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ARR or AGNC or NLY or DX or EARN?
Over the past 5 years, Dynex Capital, Inc.
(DX) delivered a total return of +8. 2%, compared to -36. 2% for ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: DX returned +59. 1% versus ARR's -11. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ARR or AGNC or NLY or DX or EARN?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Dynex Capital, Inc.
(DX) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 54β versus AGNC Investment Corp. 's 0. 74β — meaning AGNC is approximately 38% more volatile than DX relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 1% versus 8% for ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — ARR or AGNC or NLY or DX or EARN?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
(ARR) is pulling ahead at 444. 1% versus -8. 4% for Ellington Credit Company (EARN). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: AGNC Investment Corp. grew EPS 1760% year-over-year, compared to -22. 6% for Ellington Credit Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, DX leads at 33. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ARR or AGNC or NLY or DX or EARN?
Dynex Capital, Inc.
(DX) is the more profitable company, earning 75. 9% net margin versus 13. 0% for Ellington Credit Company — meaning it keeps 75. 9% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: DX leads at 175. 6% versus 14. 0% for EARN. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — AGNC leads at 100. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ARR or AGNC or NLY or DX or EARN more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Ellington Credit Company (EARN) trades at 4.
6x forward P/E versus 9. 5x for Dynex Capital, Inc. — 4. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for DX: 26. 4% to $16. 83.
08Which pays a better dividend — ARR or AGNC or NLY or DX or EARN?
In this comparison, ARR (17.
1% yield), EARN (16. 8% yield), AGNC (14. 7% yield), NLY (13. 1% yield) pay a dividend. DX does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is ARR or AGNC or NLY or DX or EARN better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Ellington Credit Company (EARN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
63), 16. 8% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (EARN: +31. 3%, DX: +59. 1%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ARR and AGNC and NLY and DX and EARN?
These companies operate in different sectors (ARR (Real Estate) and AGNC (Real Estate) and NLY (Real Estate) and DX (Real Estate) and EARN (Financial Services)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: ARR is a small-cap high-growth stock; AGNC is a small-cap high-growth stock; NLY is a mid-cap deep-value stock; DX is a small-cap high-growth stock; EARN is a small-cap income-oriented stock. ARR, AGNC, NLY, EARN pay a dividend while DX does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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