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ARVN vs MDGL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Biotechnology
ARVN vs MDGL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Biotechnology | Biotechnology |
| Market Cap | $679M | $11.41B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $263M | $741M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-81M | $-289M |
| Gross Margin | 99.5% | 95.3% |
| Operating Margin | -44.0% | -41.5% |
| Total Debt | $9M | $1M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $143M | $199M |
ARVN vs MDGL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arvinas, Inc. (ARVN) | 100 | 31.9 | -68.1% |
| Madrigal Pharmaceut… (MDGL) | 100 | 433.1 | +333.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ARVN vs MDGL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ARVN is the clearest fit if your priority is quality and efficiency.
- -30.8% margin vs MDGL's -39.0%
- -9.3% ROA vs MDGL's -21.2%, ROIC -22.4% vs -38.2%
MDGL carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.57
- Rev growth 432.1%, EPS growth 41.3%
- 35.8% 10Y total return vs ARVN's -33.9%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 432.1% revenue growth vs ARVN's -0.3% | |
| Quality / Margins | -30.8% margin vs MDGL's -39.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.57 vs ARVN's 1.15, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +64.0% vs ARVN's +39.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -9.3% ROA vs MDGL's -21.2%, ROIC -22.4% vs -38.2% |
ARVN vs MDGL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ARVN vs MDGL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MDGL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MDGL is the larger business by revenue, generating $741M annually — 2.8x ARVN's $263M. ARVN is the more profitable business, keeping -30.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MDGL's -39.0%. On growth, MDGL holds the edge at +3.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $263M | $741M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$111M | -$306M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$81M | -$289M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$276M | -$162M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +99.5% | +95.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -44.0% | -41.5% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -30.8% | -39.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -105.0% | -21.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -84.0% | +3.6% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -65.1% | -3.3% |
Valuation Metrics
ARVN leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $679M | $11.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $544M | $11.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -8.29x | -39.10x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.58x | 11.90x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.59x | 18.70x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
ARVN leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ARVN delivers a -14.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-14 in annual profit, vs $-46 for MDGL. MDGL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to ARVN's 0.02x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -14.3% | -46.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -9.3% | -21.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -22.4% | -38.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -16.0% | -32.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.02x | 0.00x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$134M | -$198M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $143M | $199M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $9M | $1M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | -15.51x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MDGL leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MDGL five years ago would be worth $38,783 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,580 for ARVN. Over the past 12 months, MDGL leads with a +64.0% total return vs ARVN's +39.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MDGL at 17.9% vs ARVN's -25.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -7.5% | -15.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +39.1% | +64.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -58.1% | +64.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -84.2% | +287.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -33.9% | +3581.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -25.1% | +17.9% |
Risk & Volatility
MDGL leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MDGL is the less volatile stock with a 0.57 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ARVN's 1.15 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MDGL currently trades 81.7% from its 52-week high vs ARVN's 73.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.15x | 0.57x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $14.51 | $615.00 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $5.90 | $265.00 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +73.1% | +81.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.0 | 54.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 833K | 308K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates ARVN as "Buy" and MDGL as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 40.4% upside for MDGL (target: $706) vs 22.5% for ARVN (target: $13).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $13.00 | $705.67 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 26 | 23 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +13.5% | 0.0% |
MDGL leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). ARVN leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency).
ARVN vs MDGL: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ARVN or MDGL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(MDGL) is the stronger pick with 432. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -0. 3% for Arvinas, Inc. (ARVN). Analysts rate Arvinas, Inc. (ARVN) a "Buy" — based on 26 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — ARVN or MDGL?
Over the past 5 years, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(MDGL) delivered a total return of +287. 8%, compared to -84. 2% for Arvinas, Inc. (ARVN). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MDGL returned +35. 8% versus ARVN's -33. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — ARVN or MDGL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(MDGL) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 57β versus Arvinas, Inc. 's 1. 15β — meaning ARVN is approximately 103% more volatile than MDGL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MDGL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 0% versus 2% for Arvinas, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — ARVN or MDGL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(MDGL) is pulling ahead at 432. 1% versus -0. 3% for Arvinas, Inc. (ARVN). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Arvinas, Inc. grew EPS 53. 8% year-over-year, compared to 41. 3% for Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — ARVN or MDGL?
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(MDGL) is the more profitable company, earning -30. 1% net margin versus -30. 8% for Arvinas, Inc. — meaning it keeps -30. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MDGL leads at -31. 3% versus -43. 8% for ARVN. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ARVN leads at 98. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — ARVN or MDGL?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is ARVN or MDGL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(MDGL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 57)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MDGL: +35. 8%, ARVN: -33. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between ARVN and MDGL?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ARVN is a small-cap quality compounder stock; MDGL is a mid-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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