Biotechnology
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BCYC vs TERN
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Biotechnology
BCYC vs TERN — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Biotechnology | Biotechnology |
| Market Cap | $339M | $4.63B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $63M | $0.00 |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-219M | $-94M |
| Gross Margin | -13.3% | — |
| Operating Margin | -381.6% | — |
| Total Debt | $18M | $1M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $628M | $161M |
BCYC vs TERN — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Feb 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bicycle Therapeutic… (BCYC) | 100 | 19.4 | -80.6% |
| Terns Pharmaceutica… (TERN) | 100 | 233.7 | +133.7% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: BCYC vs TERN
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
BCYC is the clearest fit if your priority is growth.
- 105.8% revenue growth vs TERN's -7.6%
TERN carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 0.39
- EPS growth 11.8%
- 187.9% 10Y total return vs BCYC's -59.3%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 105.8% revenue growth vs TERN's -7.6% | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.7% margin vs BCYC's -345.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.39 vs BCYC's 1.65, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +16.5% vs BCYC's -37.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -28.5% ROA vs BCYC's -29.5% |
BCYC vs TERN — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TERN leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BCYC and TERN operate at a comparable scale, with $63M and $0 in trailing revenue.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $63M | $0 |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$238M | -$108M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$219M | -$94M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$229M | -$78M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -13.3% | — |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -3.8% | — |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -3.4% | — |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -3.6% | — |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -91.1% | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +1.1% | +3.6% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — BCYC and TERN each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $339M | $4.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | -$272M | $4.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -1.55x | -47.28x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 4.67x | — |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.56x | 12.17x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
TERN leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
TERN delivers a -30.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-30 in annual profit, vs $-36 for BCYC. TERN carries lower financial leverage with a 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to BCYC's 0.03x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), TERN scores 3/9 vs BCYC's 2/9, reflecting mixed financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -35.7% | -30.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -29.5% | -28.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | — | -42.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -32.0% | -33.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.03x | 0.00x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$611M | -$160M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $628M | $161M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $18M | $1M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -1465.53x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
TERN leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in TERN five years ago would be worth $31,859 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,540 for BCYC. Over the past 12 months, TERN leads with a +1647.5% total return vs BCYC's -37.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors TERN at 59.1% vs BCYC's -39.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -26.8% | +32.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -37.1% | +1647.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -77.4% | +302.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -84.6% | +218.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -59.3% | +187.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -39.1% | +59.1% |
Risk & Volatility
TERN leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TERN is the less volatile stock with a 0.39 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BCYC's 1.65 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. TERN currently trades 99.6% from its 52-week high vs BCYC's 52.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.65x | 0.39x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $9.36 | $53.18 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $4.24 | $2.66 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +52.2% | +99.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 57.0 | 74.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 464K | 6.7M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates BCYC as "Buy" and TERN as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 118.2% upside for BCYC (target: $11) vs 4.9% for TERN (target: $56).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $10.67 | $55.56 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 21 | 16 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
TERN leads in 4 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Profitability & Efficiency. 1 category is tied.
BCYC vs TERN: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BCYC or TERN a better buy right now?
Analysts rate Bicycle Therapeutics plc (BCYC) a "Buy" — based on 21 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison.
The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — BCYC or TERN?
Over the past 5 years, Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(TERN) delivered a total return of +218. 6%, compared to -84. 6% for Bicycle Therapeutics plc (BCYC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: TERN returned +187. 9% versus BCYC's -59. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — BCYC or TERN?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(TERN) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 39β versus Bicycle Therapeutics plc's 1. 65β — meaning BCYC is approximately 319% more volatile than TERN relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (TERN) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 0% versus 3% for Bicycle Therapeutics plc — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — BCYC or TERN?
On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
grew EPS 11. 8% year-over-year, compared to -9. 0% for Bicycle Therapeutics plc. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — BCYC or TERN?
Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(TERN) is the more profitable company, earning 0. 0% net margin versus -301. 7% for Bicycle Therapeutics plc — meaning it keeps 0. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TERN leads at 0. 0% versus -341. 3% for BCYC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — BCYC leads at 100. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — BCYC or TERN?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is BCYC or TERN better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(TERN) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 39), +187. 9% 10Y return). Bicycle Therapeutics plc (BCYC) carries a higher beta of 1. 65 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (TERN: +187. 9%, BCYC: -59. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between BCYC and TERN?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: BCYC is a small-cap high-growth stock; TERN is a small-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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