BHP vs CLF vs FCX vs AA

For growth investors, Alcoa Corporation (AA) is the stronger pick with 4.

5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -7. 9% for BHP Group Limited (BHP). Alcoa Corporation (AA) offers the better valuation at 14. 1x trailing P/E (9. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) a "Buy" — based on 41 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.

On trailing P/E, Alcoa Corporation (AA) is the cheapest at 14.

1x versus Freeport-McMoRan Inc. at 39. 9x. On forward P/E, Alcoa Corporation is actually cheaper at 9. 0x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Freeport-McMoRan Inc. wins at 0. 75x versus BHP Group Limited's 5. 82x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.

Over the past 5 years, Alcoa Corporation (AA) delivered a total return of +56.

4%, compared to -49. 6% for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: FCX returned +507. 7% versus AA's +203. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.

By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), BHP Group Limited (BHP) is the lower-risk stock at 1.

22β versus Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. 's 2. 36β — meaning CLF is approximately 92% more volatile than BHP relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Alcoa Corporation (AA) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 0% versus 115% for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.

By revenue growth (latest reported year), Alcoa Corporation (AA) is pulling ahead at 4.

5% versus -7. 9% for BHP Group Limited (BHP). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Alcoa Corporation grew EPS 1486% year-over-year, compared to -91. 1% for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, FCX leads at 3. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.

BHP Group Limited (BHP) is the more profitable company, earning 17.

6% net margin versus -7. 9% for Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. — meaning it keeps 17. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BHP leads at 38. 0% versus -7. 5% for CLF. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — BHP leads at 82. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.

The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.

By this metric, Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 75x versus BHP Group Limited's 5. 82x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Alcoa Corporation (AA) trades at 9. 0x forward P/E versus 22. 4x for Freeport-McMoRan Inc. — 13. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FCX: 10. 5% to $67. 00.

In this comparison, BHP (3.

0% yield), FCX (1. 0% yield), AA (0. 6% yield) pay a dividend. CLF does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.

For long-horizon retirement investors, BHP Group Limited (BHP) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.

22), 3. 0% yield, +391. 8% 10Y return). Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) carries a higher beta of 2. 36 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (BHP: +391. 8%, CLF: +263. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.

Both stocks operate in the Basic Materials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.

In terms of investment character: BHP is a large-cap income-oriented stock; CLF is a small-cap quality compounder stock; FCX is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; AA is a mid-cap deep-value stock. BHP, FCX, AA pay a dividend while CLF does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.