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BLBD vs PCAR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural - Machinery
BLBD vs PCAR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Auto - Manufacturers | Agricultural - Machinery |
| Market Cap | $2.24B | $60.02B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.49B | $27.24B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $133M | $2.48B |
| Gross Margin | 21.0% | 15.1% |
| Operating Margin | 11.9% | 9.7% |
| Forward P/E | 15.6x | 19.9x |
| Total Debt | $90M | $0.00 |
| Cash & Equiv. | $229M | $9.25B |
BLBD vs PCAR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Bird Corporati… (BLBD) | 100 | 493.7 | +393.7% |
| PACCAR Inc (PCAR) | 100 | 231.6 | +131.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: BLBD vs PCAR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
BLBD carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.15
- Rev growth 9.9%, EPS growth 22.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 22.7%
- 5.6% 10Y total return vs PCAR's 269.8%
PCAR is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and defensive.
- Lower volatility, beta 1.01, current ratio 1.70x
- Beta 1.01, yield 3.8%, current ratio 1.70x
- 9.1% margin vs BLBD's 8.9%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 9.9% revenue growth vs PCAR's -15.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (15.6x vs 19.9x), PEG 0.24 vs 1.58 | |
| Quality / Margins | 9.1% margin vs BLBD's 8.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.01 vs BLBD's 1.15 | |
| Dividends | 3.8% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +87.7% vs PCAR's +31.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 21.0% ROA vs PCAR's 6.6%, ROIC 102.6% vs 12.2% |
BLBD vs PCAR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
BLBD vs PCAR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
BLBD leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PCAR is the larger business by revenue, generating $27.2B annually — 18.2x BLBD's $1.5B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 9.1% (PCAR) to 8.9% (BLBD). On growth, BLBD holds the edge at -1.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.5B | $27.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $185M | $3.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $133M | $2.5B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $197M | $3.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +21.0% | +15.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +11.9% | +9.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +8.9% | +9.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +13.2% | +12.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -1.7% | -16.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +13.9% | +19.8% |
Valuation Metrics
BLBD leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 18.3x trailing earnings, BLBD trades at a 28% valuation discount to PCAR's 25.3x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), BLBD offers better value at 0.29x vs PCAR's 2.00x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.2B | $60.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.1B | $50.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 18.26x | 25.29x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 15.59x | 19.90x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.29x | 2.00x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.49x | 13.40x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.51x | 2.11x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 9.12x | 3.12x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 14.59x | 19.81x |
Profitability & Efficiency
BLBD leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
BLBD delivers a 50.8% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $51 in annual profit, vs $17 for PCAR. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), BLBD scores 7/9 vs PCAR's 3/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +50.8% | +17.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +21.0% | +6.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +102.6% | +12.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +49.4% | +8.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.35x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$139M | -$9.3B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $229M | $9.3B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $90M | $0 |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 394.69x | 129.28x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
BLBD leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in BLBD five years ago would be worth $26,732 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $20,532 for PCAR. Over the past 12 months, BLBD leads with a +87.7% total return vs PCAR's +31.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors BLBD at 53.1% vs PCAR's 19.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +51.5% | +2.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +87.7% | +31.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +258.7% | +71.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +167.3% | +105.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +557.8% | +269.8% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +53.1% | +19.7% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — BLBD and PCAR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PCAR is the less volatile stock with a 1.01 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than BLBD's 1.15 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.15x | 1.01x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $81.51 | $131.88 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $36.01 | $88.43 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +86.9% | +86.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 60.0 | 41.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 357K | 2.7M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates BLBD as "Buy" and PCAR as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 9.2% upside for PCAR (target: $125) vs -1.7% for BLBD (target: $70). PCAR is the only dividend payer here at 3.77% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $69.67 | $124.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 45 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +3.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $4.30 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.2% | +0.1% |
BLBD leads in 4 of 6 categories — strongest in Income & Cash Flow and Valuation Metrics. 1 category is tied.
BLBD vs PCAR: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BLBD or PCAR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) is the stronger pick with 9.
9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -15. 5% for PACCAR Inc (PCAR). Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) offers the better valuation at 18. 3x trailing P/E (15. 6x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — BLBD or PCAR?
On trailing P/E, Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) is the cheapest at 18.
3x versus PACCAR Inc at 25. 3x. On forward P/E, Blue Bird Corporation is actually cheaper at 15. 6x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Blue Bird Corporation wins at 0. 24x versus PACCAR Inc's 1. 58x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — BLBD or PCAR?
Over the past 5 years, Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) delivered a total return of +167.
3%, compared to +105. 3% for PACCAR Inc (PCAR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: BLBD returned +557. 8% versus PCAR's +269. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — BLBD or PCAR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), PACCAR Inc (PCAR) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
01β versus Blue Bird Corporation's 1. 15β — meaning BLBD is approximately 15% more volatile than PCAR relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — BLBD or PCAR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) is pulling ahead at 9.
9% versus -15. 5% for PACCAR Inc (PCAR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Blue Bird Corporation grew EPS 22. 8% year-over-year, compared to -42. 9% for PACCAR Inc. Over a 3-year CAGR, BLBD leads at 22. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — BLBD or PCAR?
Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) is the more profitable company, earning 8.
6% net margin versus 8. 4% for PACCAR Inc — meaning it keeps 8. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: BLBD leads at 11. 3% versus 10. 4% for PCAR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — BLBD leads at 20. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is BLBD or PCAR more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 24x versus PACCAR Inc's 1. 58x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) trades at 15. 6x forward P/E versus 19. 9x for PACCAR Inc — 4. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for PCAR: 9. 2% to $124. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — BLBD or PCAR?
In this comparison, PCAR (3.
8% yield) pays a dividend. BLBD does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is BLBD or PCAR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, PACCAR Inc (PCAR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.
01), 3. 8% yield, +269. 8% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (PCAR: +269. 8%, BLBD: +557. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between BLBD and PCAR?
These companies operate in different sectors (BLBD (Consumer Cyclical) and PCAR (Industrials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: BLBD is a small-cap quality compounder stock; PCAR is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. PCAR pays a dividend while BLBD does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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