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BLBDBlue Bird Corporation
$56.53$1.8B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
BLBD logo

Blue Bird Corporation

BLBD
NASDAQ · Auto Manufacturers
$56.53
At close - Oct 2, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$1.79B
P/E14.6x
52W High$83.39
Volume396.64K
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Record Revenue Growth Masks Subsidy Cliff Risk

Blue Bird Corporation is experiencing accelerating revenue growth, with 2026Q3 revenue up 29.9% year-over-year to $517.2M, driven by a favorable mix shift toward higher-priced alternative fuel and electric buses. Gross margins have expanded to 20.0% from 17.0%...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

BLBD price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

11/12 Beats

EPS beat 11 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-32% Peers

P/E is 32% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 37 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 63% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 23

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 10/3/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
BLBD+20.89%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.66%
1-Year Return
BLBD+5.09%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.01%
3-Year Return
BLBD+168.17%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+83.54%
5-Year Return
BLBD+170.74%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+86.94%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y Low
14.6x
Forward P/EExpansion
11.8x
EV/EBITDA0th %ile
9.0x
FCF YieldCash Flow
8.6%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
14.6x
15.2x
0th· Low
EV/EBITDA
9.0x
11.0x
0th· Low
Price/FCF
11.7x
12.4x
33rd· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$39.37-30.4%
Base (Fair)$67.65+19.7%
Bull$93.67+65.7%
$39.37 Bear$67.65 Base$93.67 Bull
Current Market Price: $56.53
Trades at a 16.4% discount to Base DCF ($67.65)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$1.48B+9.9% YoY
Net income
$128M+21.0% YoY
Free cash flow
$153M+60.0% YoY
Operating margin
11.3%+1.0 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)102.6%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)61.6%
Piotroski Score7 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
Revenue Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 5, 2026
$1.28+2.4%
vs $1.25
$517M+6.5%
vs $486M
Q2 2026
May 6, 2026
$1.00+23.5%
vs $0.81
$353M+5.3%
vs $335M
Q1 2026
Feb 4, 2026
$1.00+25.0%
vs $0.80
$333M+1.9%
vs $327M
Q4 2025
Nov 24, 2025
$1.32+25.7%
vs $1.05
$409M+7.6%
vs $380M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·4d ago
Brokers Suggest Investing in Blue Bird (BLBD): Read This Before Placing a Bet

The recommendations of Wall Street analysts are often relied on by investors when deciding whether to buy, sell, or hold a stock. Media reports about these brokerage-firm-employed (or sell-side) analysts changing their ratings often affect a stock's price.

Defense World·Sep 20, 2026
Jeffrey Scott Sanfrey Sells 4,000 Shares of Blue Bird (NASDAQ:BLBD) Stock

Blue Bird Corporation (NASDAQ: BLBD - Get Free Report) COO Jeffrey Sanfrey sold 4,000 shares of the firm's stock in a transaction on Wednesday, September 16th. The stock was sold at an average price of $62.40, for a total value of $249,600.00. Following the sale, the chief operating officer directly owned 35,011 shares of the company's

Defense World·Sep 17, 2026
Engineers Gate Manager LP Cuts Stock Position in Blue Bird Corporation $BLBD

Engineers Gate Manager LP decreased its holdings in shares of Blue Bird Corporation (NASDAQ: BLBD) by 28.0% during the undefined quarter, according to its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The institutional investor owned 22,157 shares of the company's stock after selling 8,607 shares during the quarter. Engineers Gate

Zacks Investment Research·Sep 10, 2026
Wall Street Bulls Look Optimistic About Blue Bird (BLBD): Should You Buy?

Investors often turn to recommendations made by Wall Street analysts before making a Buy, Sell, or Hold decision about a stock. While media reports about rating changes by these brokerage-firm employed (or sell-side) analysts often affect a stock's price, do they really matter?

Filtered for Blue Bird CorporationMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark BLBD against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
BLBD logoBLBDBlue Bird CorporationCurrent
$56.53$1.79B14.579.87%8.63%61.55%—
THO logoTHOThor Industries, Inc.
$69.55$3.62B14.37-4.62%1.85%4.13%—
WNC logoWNCWabash National Corporation
$14.04$571.06M2.77-20.75%-5.47%-22.19%—
DORM logoDORMDorman Products, Inc.
$123.06$3.68B18.536.03%10.18%14.76%—
PCAR logoPCARPACCAR Inc
$109.68$57.72B24.32-15.5%9.18%12.73%—
CMI logoCMICummins Inc.
$528.32$72.9B25.77-1.27%7.82%20.19%—

Compare BLBD vs Peers

Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs THO

Most directly comparable listed peer for BLBD.

Scale Benchmark

vs TSLA

Larger-name benchmark to compare BLBD against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs THO, WNC, DORM, PCAR

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

BLBD SEC Filings & Documents

Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 18, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2025

Nov 24, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Nov 25, 2024·SEC

FY 2023

Dec 11, 2023·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 5, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Feb 4, 2026·SEC

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BLBD Frequently Asked Questions

Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Blue Bird Corporation's revenue?

Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) reported $1.61B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 169% increase from $598.3M in 2012.

How fast is Blue Bird Corporation growing?

Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) grew revenue by 9.9% over the past year. This is steady growth.

Is BLBD profitable?

Yes, Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) is profitable, generating $281.8M in net income for fiscal year 2025 (8.6% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
What is BLBD's return on equity?

Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) has a return on equity (ROE) of 61.6%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is Blue Bird Corporation's free cash flow?

Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) generated $153.1M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in BLBD back in 2012?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 14+ years of data

See returns →