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PCARPACCAR Inc
$113.86$59.9B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
PCAR logo

PACCAR Inc

PCAR
NASDAQ · Agricultural Machinery
$113.86
At close - Sep 22, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$59.92B
P/E25.2x
52W High$139.24
Volume7.08M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Cyclical Downturn Pressures Margins Despite Strong Balance Sheet

PACCAR is navigating a cyclical downturn with revenue down 15.5% YoY and gross margins contracting 530 bps from 21.4% to 16.1%, reflecting reduced pricing power and lower capacity utilization. However, the company maintains a fortress balance sheet with a D/E ...

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityStrained
ValuationReview
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

PCAR price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

6/12 Beats

EPS beat 6 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+49% Peers

P/E is 49% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 46 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 54% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Oct 28
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue declined 15.5% YoY, with gross margin compressing from 21.4% in Q1 2024 to 16.1% in Q2 2026, indicating a strained profitability environment.

Analyst Consensus+19.7% target
Hold(45 analysts)
15 Buy27 Hold3 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong analyst price targets

Analysts project an average 12-month price target of 117.32 for PACCAR, with a high estimate of 150, indicating bullish sentiment.

Premium brand reputation

PACCAR is recognized as the 'gold standard' in the heavy-duty truck market with its Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF brands.

Advanced powertrain technology

PACCAR designs and manufactures advanced powertrains, positioning itself as a leader in innovative truck technology.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
PCAR+2.99%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
PCAR+20.14%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
PCAR+47.47%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+76.29%
5-Year Return
PCAR+145.59%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+74.31%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
25.2x
Forward P/EExpansion
19.1x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
18.3x
FCF YieldCash Flow
5.1%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
25.2x
13.2x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
18.3x
10.9x
100th· High
Price/FCF
19.8x
19.0x
60th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$25.73-77.4%
Base (Fair)$76.45-34.1%
Bull$109.67-3.7%
$25.73 Bear$76.45 Base$109.67 Bull
Current Market Price: $113.86
Trades at a 48.9% premium to Base DCF ($76.45)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$28.44B-15.5% YoY
Net income
$2.38B-42.9% YoY
Free cash flow
$3.03B+4.6% YoY
Operating margin
10.4%-4.1 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)8.1%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)12.9%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate6/12 (50%)
Revenue Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Jul 28, 2026
$1.43+5.1%
vs $1.36
$7.0B-0.7%
vs $7.0B
Q2 2026
Apr 28, 2026
$1.15+0.0%
vs $1.15
$6.2B-3.2%
vs $6.4B
Q1 2026
Jan 27, 2026
$1.06+0.0%
vs $1.06
$6.3B+3.3%
vs $6.1B
Q4 2025
Oct 21, 2025
$1.12-2.6%
vs $1.15
$6.7B+11.1%
vs $6.0B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
Here's Why Paccar (PCAR) is a Strong Value Stock

The Zacks Style Scores offers investors a way to easily find top-rated stocks based on their investing style. Here's why you should take advantage.

Business Wire·6d ago
PACCAR Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend

BELLEVUE, Wash.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--PACCAR Inc's Board of Directors today declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of thirty-five cents ($.35) per share, payable on December 2, 2026, to stockholders of record at the close of business on November 11, 2026.PACCAR is a global technology leader in the design, manufacture and customer support of high-quality light-, medium- and heavy-duty trucks under the Kenworth, Peterbilt and DAF nameplates. PACCAR also designs and manufactures advanced powertrain.

Zacks Investment Research·6d ago
Are Auto-Tires-Trucks Stocks Lagging PACCAR (PCAR) This Year?

Here is how Paccar (PCAR) and Douglas Dynamics (PLOW) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.

Zacks Investment Research·6d ago
After Plunging 7.3% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why the Trend Might Reverse for Paccar (PCAR)

Paccar (PCAR) is technically in oversold territory now, so the heavy selling pressure might have exhausted. This along with strong agreement among Wall Street analysts in raising earnings estimates could lead to a trend reversal for the stock.

Filtered for PACCAR IncMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark PCAR against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for PACCAR Inc (PCAR)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
PCAR logoPCARPACCAR IncCurrent
$113.86$59.92B25.25-15.5%8.35%12.92%3.78%
CMI logoCMICummins Inc.
$526.13$72.6B25.66-1.27%7.82%20.19%—
OSK logoOSKOshkosh Corp
$138.04$8.61B13.78-2.87%5.24%12.32%—
CAT logoCATCaterpillar Inc.
$808.01$372.2B42.914.29%14.5%54.14%—
DE logoDEDeere & Company
$703.12$189.8B38.01-11.59%10.22%18.07%—
AGCO logoAGCOAGCO Corporation
$120.65$8.74B12.37-13.55%5.15%11.64%—

Compare PCAR vs Peers

PACCAR Inc (PCAR) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs CMI

Most directly comparable listed peer for PCAR.

Scale Benchmark

vs CAT

Larger-name benchmark to compare PCAR against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs CMI, OSK, CAT, DE

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

PCAR SEC Filings & Documents

PACCAR Inc (PCAR) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Jul 28, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 1, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Apr 28, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

1
FY 2026

Feb 18, 2026·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

5
FY 2026

Jul 29, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 29, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 30, 2025·SEC

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PCAR Frequently Asked Questions

PACCAR Inc (PCAR) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is PACCAR Inc's revenue?

PACCAR Inc (PCAR) reported $27.27B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 493% increase from $4.60B in 1996.

How fast is PACCAR Inc growing?

PACCAR Inc (PCAR) saw revenue decline by 15.5% over the past year.

Is PCAR profitable?

Yes, PACCAR Inc (PCAR) is profitable, generating $2.50B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (8.4% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does PCAR pay dividends?

Yes, PACCAR Inc (PCAR) pays a dividend with a yield of 3.78%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is PCAR's return on equity?

PACCAR Inc (PCAR) has a return on equity (ROE) of 12.9%. This is reasonable for most industries.

What is PACCAR Inc's free cash flow?

PACCAR Inc (PCAR) generated $3.13B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in PCAR back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →