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BTU vs CAT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural - Machinery
BTU vs CAT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Coal | Agricultural - Machinery |
| Market Cap | $3.04B | $431.16B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.90B | $70.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-120M | $9.42B |
| Gross Margin | 3.5% | 32.5% |
| Operating Margin | -2.3% | 16.6% |
| Forward P/E | 8.2x | 40.1x |
| Total Debt | $511M | $43.33B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $575M | $9.98B |
BTU vs CAT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peabody Energy Corp… (BTU) | 100 | 792.4 | +692.4% |
| Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) | 100 | 771.4 | +671.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: BTU vs CAT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
BTU is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.18, yield 1.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.18, Low D/E 14.3%, current ratio 1.85x
- Beta 0.18, yield 1.2%, current ratio 1.85x
CAT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 4.3%, EPS growth -14.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 4.4%
- 12.2% 10Y total return vs BTU's -7.2%
- 4.3% revenue growth vs BTU's -8.9%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.3% revenue growth vs BTU's -8.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (8.2x vs 40.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 13.3% margin vs BTU's -3.1% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.18 vs CAT's 1.54, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.2% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs CAT's 0.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +190.7% vs BTU's +70.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.0% ROA vs BTU's -2.1%, ROIC 15.9% vs 0.0% |
BTU vs CAT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
BTU vs CAT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT is the larger business by revenue, generating $70.8B annually — 18.2x BTU's $3.9B. CAT is the more profitable business, keeping 13.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to BTU's -3.1%. On growth, CAT holds the edge at +22.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.9B | $70.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $333M | $14.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$120M | $9.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $127M | $11.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +3.5% | +32.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -2.3% | +16.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -3.1% | +13.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.3% | +16.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +3.9% | +22.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.0% | +30.2% |
Valuation Metrics
BTU leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, BTU's 7.1x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than CAT's 34.5x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.0B | $431.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.0B | $464.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -58.05x | 49.21x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 8.18x | 40.13x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.75x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 7.06x | 34.48x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.79x | 6.38x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.85x | 20.39x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 5.76x | 41.97x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT delivers a 47.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $48 in annual profit, vs $-3 for BTU. BTU carries lower financial leverage with a 0.14x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAT's 2.03x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CAT scores 5/9 vs BTU's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -3.3% | +47.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -2.1% | +10.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +0.0% | +15.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +0.0% | +19.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.14x | 2.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$64M | $33.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $575M | $10.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $511M | $43.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -2.13x | 9.22x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CAT leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in BTU five years ago would be worth $56,095 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $40,189 for CAT. Over the past 12 months, CAT leads with a +190.7% total return vs BTU's +70.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CAT at 63.8% vs BTU's 3.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -18.4% | +55.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +70.4% | +190.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +12.1% | +339.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +461.0% | +301.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -7.2% | +1223.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +3.9% | +63.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — BTU and CAT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
BTU is the less volatile stock with a 0.18 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CAT's 1.54 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CAT currently trades 99.6% from its 52-week high vs BTU's 60.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.18x | 1.54x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $41.14 | $930.41 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $12.58 | $318.11 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +60.7% | +99.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 32.4 | 73.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 3.4M | 2.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — BTU and CAT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates BTU as "Hold" and CAT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 46.2% upside for BTU (target: $37) vs -11.0% for CAT (target: $825). For income investors, BTU offers the higher dividend yield at 1.20% vs CAT's 0.63%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $36.50 | $824.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 33 | 53 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.2% | +0.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.30 | $5.86 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.0% | +1.2% |
CAT leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). BTU leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
BTU vs CAT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is BTU or CAT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the stronger pick with 4. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -8. 9% for Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU). Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) offers the better valuation at 49. 2x trailing P/E (40. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) a "Buy" — based on 53 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — BTU or CAT?
On forward P/E, Peabody Energy Corporation is actually cheaper at 8.
2x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — BTU or CAT?
Over the past 5 years, Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) delivered a total return of +461.
0%, compared to +301. 9% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CAT returned +1223% versus BTU's -7. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — BTU or CAT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
18β versus Caterpillar Inc. 's 1. 54β — meaning CAT is approximately 742% more volatile than BTU relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 14% versus 2% for Caterpillar Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — BTU or CAT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is pulling ahead at 4. 3% versus -8. 9% for Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Caterpillar Inc. grew EPS -14. 6% year-over-year, compared to -115. 9% for Peabody Energy Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, CAT leads at 4. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — BTU or CAT?
Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the more profitable company, earning 13. 1% net margin versus -1. 4% for Peabody Energy Corporation — meaning it keeps 13. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CAT leads at 16. 6% versus 0. 0% for BTU. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CAT leads at 32. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is BTU or CAT more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) trades at 8.
2x forward P/E versus 40. 1x for Caterpillar Inc. — 32. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for BTU: 46. 2% to $36. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — BTU or CAT?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) offers the highest yield at 1. 2%, versus 0. 6% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT).
09Is BTU or CAT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
18), 1. 2% yield). Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) carries a higher beta of 1. 54 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (BTU: -7. 2%, CAT: +1223%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between BTU and CAT?
These companies operate in different sectors (BTU (Energy) and CAT (Industrials)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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