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CAKE vs MCD
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
CAKE vs MCD — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $3.02B | $202.32B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.75B | $26.26B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $148M | $8.41B |
| Gross Margin | 78.3% | 57.4% |
| Operating Margin | 5.0% | 46.1% |
| Forward P/E | 15.0x | 21.5x |
| Total Debt | $3.46B | $51.95B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $216M | $1.08B |
CAKE vs MCD — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Cheesecake Fact… (CAKE) | 100 | 282.2 | +182.2% |
| McDonald's Corporat… (MCD) | 100 | 152.5 | +52.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CAKE vs MCD
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CAKE is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 4.7%, EPS growth -4.1%, 3Y rev CAGR 4.3%
- 4.7% revenue growth vs MCD's 1.7%
- Lower P/E (15.0x vs 21.5x)
MCD carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 26 yrs, beta 0.11, yield 2.4%
- 158.5% 10Y total return vs CAKE's 37.3%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.11, current ratio 1.19x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.7% revenue growth vs MCD's 1.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (15.0x vs 21.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 32.0% margin vs CAKE's 4.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.11 vs CAKE's 1.11 | |
| Dividends | 2.4% yield, 26-year raise streak, vs CAKE's 1.8% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +24.7% vs MCD's -8.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 13.9% ROA vs CAKE's 4.7%, ROIC 19.3% vs 4.7% |
CAKE vs MCD — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
CAKE vs MCD — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MCD leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MCD is the larger business by revenue, generating $26.3B annually — 7.0x CAKE's $3.8B. MCD is the more profitable business, keeping 32.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CAKE's 4.0%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.8B | $26.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $296M | $14.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $148M | $8.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $155M | $7.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +78.3% | +57.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +5.0% | +46.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +4.0% | +32.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +4.1% | +28.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.4% | +3.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -28.6% | +1.6% |
Valuation Metrics
CAKE leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 19.7x trailing earnings, CAKE trades at a 21% valuation discount to MCD's 24.9x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, MCD's 18.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than CAKE's 21.2x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.0B | $202.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $6.3B | $253.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 19.75x | 24.94x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 14.99x | 21.54x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 3.26x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 21.16x | 18.33x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.81x | 7.81x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 6.72x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 19.49x | 30.32x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MCD leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MCD scores 7/9 vs CAKE's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +37.1% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +4.7% | +13.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.7% | +19.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +7.8% | +23.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 7.93x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $3.2B | $50.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $216M | $1.1B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $3.5B | $51.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 16.15x | 7.88x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CAKE leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MCD five years ago would be worth $13,445 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $10,435 for CAKE. Over the past 12 months, CAKE leads with a +24.7% total return vs MCD's -8.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CAKE at 24.2% vs MCD's 0.9% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +15.4% | -5.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +24.7% | -8.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +91.5% | +2.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +4.4% | +34.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +37.3% | +158.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +24.2% | +0.9% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CAKE and MCD each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MCD is the less volatile stock with a 0.11 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CAKE's 1.11 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CAKE currently trades 87.0% from its 52-week high vs MCD's 83.1% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.11x | 0.11x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $69.70 | $341.75 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $43.07 | $282.40 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +87.0% | +83.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 52.4 | 31.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.2M | 2.9M |
Analyst Outlook
MCD leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CAKE as "Hold" and MCD as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 24.0% upside for MCD (target: $352) vs 8.1% for CAKE (target: $66). For income investors, MCD offers the higher dividend yield at 2.37% vs CAKE's 1.78%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $65.50 | $352.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 48 | 62 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.8% | +2.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 26 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $1.08 | $6.75 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +5.1% | +1.4% |
MCD leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). CAKE leads in 2 (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). 1 tied.
CAKE vs MCD: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CAKE or MCD a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is the stronger pick with 4.
7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 7% for McDonald's Corporation (MCD). The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) offers the better valuation at 19. 7x trailing P/E (15. 0x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate McDonald's Corporation (MCD) a "Buy" — based on 62 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CAKE or MCD?
On trailing P/E, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is the cheapest at 19.
7x versus McDonald's Corporation at 24. 9x. On forward P/E, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated is actually cheaper at 15. 0x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CAKE or MCD?
Over the past 5 years, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) delivered a total return of +34.
4%, compared to +4. 4% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MCD returned +158. 5% versus CAKE's +37. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CAKE or MCD?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
11β versus The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's 1. 11β — meaning CAKE is approximately 900% more volatile than MCD relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — CAKE or MCD?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is pulling ahead at 4.
7% versus 1. 7% for McDonald's Corporation (MCD). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: McDonald's Corporation grew EPS -1. 5% year-over-year, compared to -4. 1% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated. Over a 3-year CAGR, CAKE leads at 4. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CAKE or MCD?
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the more profitable company, earning 31.
7% net margin versus 4. 0% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated — meaning it keeps 31. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MCD leads at 45. 2% versus 5. 0% for CAKE. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CAKE leads at 78. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CAKE or MCD more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) trades at 15.
0x forward P/E versus 21. 5x for McDonald's Corporation — 6. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MCD: 24. 0% to $352. 25.
08Which pays a better dividend — CAKE or MCD?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) offers the highest yield at 2. 4%, versus 1. 8% for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE).
09Is CAKE or MCD better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
11), 2. 4% yield, +158. 5% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MCD: +158. 5%, CAKE: +37. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CAKE and MCD?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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