Software - Infrastructure
Compare Stocks
2 / 10Stock Comparison
CFLT vs MQ
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Software - Infrastructure
CFLT vs MQ — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Software - Infrastructure | Software - Infrastructure |
| Market Cap | $10.65B | $1.76B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.17B | $652M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-295M | $2M |
| Gross Margin | 74.3% | 70.0% |
| Operating Margin | -32.6% | -4.0% |
| Forward P/E | 60.6x | 247.6x |
| Total Debt | $1.11B | $22M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $347M | $982M |
CFLT vs MQ — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jun 21 | Mar 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Confluent, Inc. (CFLT) | 100 | 65.2 | -34.8% |
| Marqeta, Inc. (MQ) | 100 | 13.7 | -86.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CFLT vs MQ
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CFLT is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 21.1%, EPS growth 19.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 25.8%
- -31.2% 10Y total return vs MQ's -86.5%
- Lower P/E (60.6x vs 247.6x)
MQ carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- beta 0.87
- Lower volatility, beta 0.87, Low D/E 2.9%, current ratio 1.65x
- Beta 0.87, current ratio 1.65x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 23.3% revenue growth vs CFLT's 21.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (60.6x vs 247.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 0.3% margin vs CFLT's -25.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.87 vs CFLT's 1.17, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +57.1% vs MQ's +6.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 0.2% ROA vs CFLT's -9.9% |
CFLT vs MQ — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
CFLT vs MQ — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MQ leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CFLT is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.2B annually — 1.8x MQ's $652M. MQ is the more profitable business, keeping 0.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CFLT's -25.3%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.2B | $652M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$358M | $5M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$295M | $2M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $50M | $112M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +74.3% | +70.0% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -32.6% | -4.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -25.3% | +0.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +4.3% | +17.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +20.5% | +19.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +14.8% | +2.2% |
Valuation Metrics
MQ leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $10.7B | $1.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $11.4B | $797M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -36.03x | -137.83x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 60.63x | 247.60x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 9.13x | 2.81x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 9.11x | 2.51x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 175.59x | 10.93x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MQ leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MQ delivers a 0.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $0 in annual profit, vs $-25 for CFLT. MQ carries lower financial leverage with a 0.03x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CFLT's 0.95x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CFLT scores 6/9 vs MQ's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -25.3% | +0.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -9.9% | +0.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -15.8% | — |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -17.2% | -3.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 6 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.95x | 0.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $758M | -$960M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $347M | $982M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.1B | $22M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -262.57x | — |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CFLT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CFLT five years ago would be worth $6,884 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,355 for MQ. Over the past 12 months, CFLT leads with a +57.1% total return vs MQ's +6.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CFLT at 11.0% vs MQ's -2.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +2.9% | -10.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +57.1% | +6.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +36.6% | -7.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -31.2% | -86.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -31.2% | -86.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +11.0% | -2.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CFLT and MQ each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MQ is the less volatile stock with a 0.87 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CFLT's 1.17 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CFLT currently trades 100.0% from its 52-week high vs MQ's 58.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.17x | 0.87x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $31.00 | $7.04 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $15.64 | $3.70 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +100.0% | +58.7% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 73.4 | 61.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 7.8M | 3.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CFLT as "Hold" and MQ as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 14.9% upside for MQ (target: $5) vs -0.5% for CFLT (target: $31).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $30.85 | $4.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 38 | 22 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +22.3% |
MQ leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). CFLT leads in 1 (Total Returns). 1 tied.
CFLT vs MQ: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CFLT or MQ a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Marqeta, Inc.
(MQ) is the stronger pick with 23. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 21. 1% for Confluent, Inc. (CFLT). Analysts rate Confluent, Inc. (CFLT) a "Hold" — based on 38 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — CFLT or MQ?
Over the past 5 years, Confluent, Inc.
(CFLT) delivered a total return of -31. 2%, compared to -86. 5% for Marqeta, Inc. (MQ). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CFLT returned -31. 2% versus MQ's -86. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — CFLT or MQ?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Marqeta, Inc.
(MQ) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 87β versus Confluent, Inc. 's 1. 17β — meaning CFLT is approximately 35% more volatile than MQ relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Marqeta, Inc. (MQ) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 3% versus 95% for Confluent, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — CFLT or MQ?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Marqeta, Inc.
(MQ) is pulling ahead at 23. 3% versus 21. 1% for Confluent, Inc. (CFLT). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Confluent, Inc. grew EPS 19. 6% year-over-year, compared to -157. 0% for Marqeta, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CFLT leads at 25. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — CFLT or MQ?
Marqeta, Inc.
(MQ) is the more profitable company, earning -2. 2% net margin versus -25. 3% for Confluent, Inc. — meaning it keeps -2. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MQ leads at -4. 7% versus -32. 6% for CFLT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CFLT leads at 74. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is CFLT or MQ more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Confluent, Inc.
(CFLT) trades at 60. 6x forward P/E versus 247. 6x for Marqeta, Inc. — 187. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MQ: 14. 9% to $4. 75.
07Which pays a better dividend — CFLT or MQ?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is CFLT or MQ better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Marqeta, Inc.
(MQ) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 87)). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MQ: -86. 5%, CFLT: -31. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between CFLT and MQ?
Both stocks operate in the Technology sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
Find Stocks Like These
Explore pre-built screens for each stock's profile, or build a custom screen to find stocks that outperform both.
You Might Also Compare
Based on how these companies actually compete and overlap — not just which sector they're filed under.