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CFLTConfluent, Inc.
$30.99$10.7B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
CFLT logo

Confluent, Inc.

CFLT
NASDAQ · Infrastructure Software
$30.99
At close - Jun 20, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$10.65B
P/E-36.0x
52W High$31.00
Volume14.32M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2025Q4

Consumption Growth Inflection Amid Persistent Dilution Risks

Confluent is successfully transitioning toward a self-funded operating model, evidenced by a shift to a 13.2% free cash flow margin in 2025Q4, though revenue growth has decelerated to 20.5% as the company matures. While the firm maintains a robust liquidity po...

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityNegative
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

CFLT price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

11/12 Beats

EPS beat 11 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-216% Peers

P/E is 216% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 86 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 86% of market)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · May 11
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Operating margins have improved from -54.3% in 2023Q3 to -31.5% in 2025Q4, suggesting that the company is beginning to achieve meaningful operating leverage despite revenue growth normalizing to 20.5%.

Analyst Consensus-7.6% target
Hold(38 analysts)
18 Buy19 Hold1 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Bullish analyst coverage

Multiple bullish theses on Confluent, Inc. have been published by investment research platforms like Outperforming the Market and Compounding Your Wealth.

High growth valuation

Confluent trades at a forward P/E of 62.50, reflecting investor expectations for significant future growth.

Price target upside

Analyst forecasts for 2026 indicate potential upside across bull-case scenarios, with dynamic price patterns expected.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/23/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
CFLT+2.92%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.20%
1-Year Return
CFLT+53.26%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.98%
3-Year Return
CFLT+5.37%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+79.68%
5-Year Return
CFLT-55.11%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+69.84%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E
-36.0x
Forward P/E
60.6x
EV/EBITDA
N/A
FCF YieldCash Flow
0.6%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
-36.0x
N/A
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
N/A
N/A
Price/FCF
175.6x
171.3x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$0.28-99.1%
Base (Fair)$21.68-30.0%
Bull$1.74-94.4%
$0.28 Bear$21.68 Base$1.74 Bull
Current Market Price: $30.99
Trades at a 42.9% premium to Base DCF ($21.68)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$1.17B+21.1% YoY
Net income
-$295M+14.4% YoY
Free cash flow
$61M+539.4% YoY
Operating margin
-32.6%+10.9 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)-15.8%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)-27.7%
Piotroski Score6 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate11/12 (92%)
Revenue Beat Rate9/12 (75%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q1 2026Latest
Feb 11, 2026
$0.12+21.0%
vs $0.10
$315M+2.2%
vs $308M
Q4 2025
Oct 27, 2025
$0.13+30.0%
vs $0.10
$299M-3.1%
vs $308M
Q3 2025
Jul 30, 2025
$0.09+12.5%
vs $0.08
$282M-3.6%
vs $293M
Q2 2025
Apr 30, 2025
$0.08+14.3%
vs $0.07
$271M+2.5%
vs $264M
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

1 Stories
Business Insider·Sep 11, 2026
Confluent cofounder says believing in AI's upside means reckoning with its 'dark side'

Confluent's cofounder wrote on X that AI fears can't be dismissed as a marketing ploy. He's said he's confident in AI.

Filtered for Confluent, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark CFLT against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Confluent, Inc. (CFLT)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
CFLT logoCFLTConfluent, Inc.Current
$30.99$10.65B-36.0321.08%-25.31%-27.72%—
MQ logoMQMarqeta, Inc.
$15.92$1.56B-132.6723.25%1.53%1.77%—
DDOG logoDDOGDatadog, Inc.
$247.48$88.09B824.9227.68%4.48%4.57%—
DT logoDTDynatrace, Inc.
$57.20$16.67B105.9318.82%7.22%5.72%—
ESTC logoESTCElastic N.V.
$89.22$9.23B26.0117.26%20.84%35.31%—
GTLB logoGTLBGitLab Inc.
$48.82$8.25B-139.4925.81%-4.99%-5.26%—

Compare CFLT vs Peers

Confluent, Inc. (CFLT) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs MQ

Most directly comparable listed peer for CFLT.

Scale Benchmark

vs GOOGL

Larger-name benchmark to compare CFLT against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs MQ, DDOG, DT, ESTC

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

CFLT SEC Filings & Documents

Confluent, Inc. (CFLT) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Mar 17, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Feb 25, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Feb 12, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 11, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 18, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

3
FY 2025

Oct 27, 2025·SEC

FY 2025

Jul 30, 2025·SEC

FY 2025

Apr 30, 2025·SEC

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CFLT Frequently Asked Questions

Confluent, Inc. (CFLT) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Confluent, Inc.'s revenue?

Confluent, Inc. (CFLT) reported $1.17B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 679% increase from $149.8M in 2019.

How fast is Confluent, Inc. growing?

Confluent, Inc. (CFLT) grew revenue by 21.1% over the past year. This is strong growth.

Is CFLT profitable?

Confluent, Inc. (CFLT) reported a net loss of $295.3M for fiscal year 2025.

Dividend & Returns
What is CFLT's return on equity?

Confluent, Inc. (CFLT) has a return on equity (ROE) of -27.7%. Negative ROE indicates the company is unprofitable.

What is Confluent, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Confluent, Inc. (CFLT) generated $50.5M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in CFLT back in 2019?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 7+ years of data

See returns →