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CMG vs WING
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
CMG vs WING — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Restaurants | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $43.33B | $3.67B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $12.14B | $709M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $1.45B | $112M |
| Gross Margin | 36.1% | 82.6% |
| Operating Margin | 15.8% | 28.0% |
| Forward P/E | 29.3x | 29.5x |
| Total Debt | $9.85B | $1.33B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $351M | $239M |
CMG vs WING — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chipotle Mexican Gr… (CMG) | 100 | 165.7 | +65.7% |
| Wingstop Inc. (WING) | 100 | 110.6 | +10.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CMG vs WING
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CMG is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- beta 1.11
- Lower volatility, beta 1.11, current ratio 1.23x
- Beta 1.11, current ratio 1.23x
WING carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 11.4%, EPS growth 67.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 24.9%
- 5.1% 10Y total return vs CMG's 267.2%
- PEG 0.57 vs CMG's 0.83
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 11.4% revenue growth vs CMG's 5.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (29.3x vs 29.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 15.8% margin vs CMG's 12.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.11 vs WING's 1.29 | |
| Dividends | 0.9% yield; 2-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -35.6% vs WING's -49.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 16.1% ROA vs CMG's 16.0%, ROIC 46.0% vs 15.3% |
CMG vs WING — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
CMG vs WING — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
WING leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CMG is the larger business by revenue, generating $12.1B annually — 17.1x WING's $709M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 15.8% (WING) to 12.0% (CMG).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $12.1B | $709M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2.3B | $225M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $1.5B | $112M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $1.5B | $132M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +36.1% | +82.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +15.8% | +28.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +12.0% | +15.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +12.4% | +18.6% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.4% | +7.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -17.9% | -66.7% |
Valuation Metrics
Evenly matched — CMG and WING each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 21.7x trailing earnings, WING trades at a 26% valuation discount to CMG's 29.2x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), WING offers better value at 0.42x vs CMG's 0.82x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $43.3B | $3.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $52.8B | $4.8B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 29.18x | 21.72x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 29.29x | 29.54x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.82x | 0.42x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 22.25x | 21.93x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.63x | 5.27x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 15.78x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 29.93x | 34.78x |
Profitability & Efficiency
WING leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), WING scores 6/9 vs CMG's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +48.4% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +16.0% | +16.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +15.3% | +46.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +25.4% | +31.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 3.48x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $9.5B | $1.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $351M | $239M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $9.8B | $1.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 5.43x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CMG leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CMG five years ago would be worth $11,666 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $9,804 for WING. Over the past 12 months, CMG leads with a -35.6% total return vs WING's -49.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CMG at -6.5% vs WING's -12.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -11.3% | -47.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -35.6% | -49.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -18.2% | -33.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +16.7% | -2.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +267.2% | +514.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -6.5% | -12.6% |
Risk & Volatility
CMG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CMG is the less volatile stock with a 1.11 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than WING's 1.29 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CMG currently trades 56.9% from its 52-week high vs WING's 34.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.11x | 1.29x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $58.42 | $388.14 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $29.75 | $133.70 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +56.9% | +34.8% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 43.0 | 29.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 14.5M | 1.3M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CMG as "Buy" and WING as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 119.1% upside for WING (target: $296) vs 31.4% for CMG (target: $44). WING is the only dividend payer here at 0.86% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $43.72 | $295.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 67 | 35 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.9% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 2 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.15 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +5.6% | +6.0% |
WING leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). CMG leads in 2 (Total Returns, Risk & Volatility). 1 tied.
CMG vs WING: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CMG or WING a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Wingstop Inc.
(WING) is the stronger pick with 11. 4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 5. 4% for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG). Wingstop Inc. (WING) offers the better valuation at 21. 7x trailing P/E (29. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) a "Buy" — based on 67 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CMG or WING?
On trailing P/E, Wingstop Inc.
(WING) is the cheapest at 21. 7x versus Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. at 29. 2x. On forward P/E, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is actually cheaper at 29. 3x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Wingstop Inc. wins at 0. 57x versus Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. 's 0. 83x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CMG or WING?
Over the past 5 years, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
(CMG) delivered a total return of +16. 7%, compared to -2. 0% for Wingstop Inc. (WING). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: WING returned +514. 9% versus CMG's +267. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CMG or WING?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
(CMG) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 11β versus Wingstop Inc. 's 1. 29β — meaning WING is approximately 15% more volatile than CMG relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — CMG or WING?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Wingstop Inc.
(WING) is pulling ahead at 11. 4% versus 5. 4% for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Wingstop Inc. grew EPS 67. 8% year-over-year, compared to 2. 7% for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, WING leads at 24. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CMG or WING?
Wingstop Inc.
(WING) is the more profitable company, earning 25. 0% net margin versus 12. 9% for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. — meaning it keeps 25. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: WING leads at 27. 6% versus 16. 9% for CMG. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — WING leads at 82. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CMG or WING more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Wingstop Inc. (WING) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 57x versus Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. 's 0. 83x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) trades at 29. 3x forward P/E versus 29. 5x for Wingstop Inc. — 0. 3x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for WING: 119. 1% to $295. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — CMG or WING?
In this comparison, WING (0.
9% yield) pays a dividend. CMG does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is CMG or WING better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Wingstop Inc.
(WING) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 29), 0. 9% yield, +514. 9% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (WING: +514. 9%, CMG: +267. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CMG and WING?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
WING pays a dividend while CMG does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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