Industrial - Machinery
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CMI vs PCAR
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural - Machinery
CMI vs PCAR — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Industrial - Machinery | Agricultural - Machinery |
| Market Cap | $93.26B | $59.69B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $33.89B | $27.24B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $2.67B | $2.48B |
| Gross Margin | 25.4% | 15.1% |
| Operating Margin | 11.2% | 9.7% |
| Forward P/E | 25.6x | 19.8x |
| Total Debt | $8.11B | $0.00 |
| Cash & Equiv. | $2.85B | $9.25B |
CMI vs PCAR — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cummins Inc. (CMI) | 100 | 398.0 | +298.0% |
| PACCAR Inc (PCAR) | 100 | 230.3 | +130.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CMI vs PCAR
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CMI is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth -1.3%, EPS growth -27.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.2%
- 5.4% 10Y total return vs PCAR's 269.7%
- -1.3% revenue growth vs PCAR's -15.5%
PCAR carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.01, yield 3.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.01, current ratio 1.70x
- PEG 1.57 vs CMI's 2.27
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -1.3% revenue growth vs PCAR's -15.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (19.8x vs 25.6x), PEG 1.57 vs 2.27 | |
| Quality / Margins | 9.1% margin vs CMI's 7.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.01 vs CMI's 1.57 | |
| Dividends | 3.8% yield, vs CMI's 1.1% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +125.9% vs PCAR's +29.8% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 7.8% ROA vs PCAR's 6.6%, ROIC 16.7% vs 12.2% |
CMI vs PCAR — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
CMI vs PCAR — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — CMI and PCAR each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CMI and PCAR operate at a comparable scale, with $33.9B and $27.2B in trailing revenue. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 9.1% (PCAR) to 7.9% (CMI). On growth, CMI holds the edge at +2.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $33.9B | $27.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $4.6B | $3.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $2.7B | $2.5B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $2.7B | $3.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +25.4% | +15.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +11.2% | +9.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +7.9% | +9.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +7.9% | +12.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.7% | -16.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -21.0% | +19.8% |
Valuation Metrics
PCAR leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 25.1x trailing earnings, PCAR trades at a 24% valuation discount to CMI's 32.9x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), PCAR offers better value at 1.99x vs CMI's 2.92x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $93.3B | $59.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $98.5B | $50.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 32.93x | 25.15x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 25.64x | 19.79x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.92x | 1.99x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 19.37x | 13.31x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.77x | 2.10x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 6.98x | 3.10x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 39.09x | 19.70x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CMI leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CMI delivers a 20.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $20 in annual profit, vs $17 for PCAR. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CMI scores 7/9 vs PCAR's 3/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +20.3% | +17.2% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +7.8% | +6.6% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +16.7% | +12.2% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +17.9% | +8.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 3 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.61x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $5.3B | -$9.3B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $2.8B | $9.3B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $8.1B | $0 |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 9.45x | 129.28x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CMI leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CMI five years ago would be worth $27,146 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $21,164 for PCAR. Over the past 12 months, CMI leads with a +125.9% total return vs PCAR's +29.8%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CMI at 45.4% vs PCAR's 19.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +29.7% | +2.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +125.9% | +29.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +207.7% | +70.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +171.5% | +111.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +542.4% | +269.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +45.4% | +19.6% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CMI and PCAR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PCAR is the less volatile stock with a 1.01 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CMI's 1.57 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CMI currently trades 98.2% from its 52-week high vs PCAR's 86.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.57x | 1.01x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $687.46 | $131.88 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $290.73 | $88.35 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +98.2% | +86.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 64.2 | 35.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 783K | 2.7M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — CMI and PCAR each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CMI as "Buy" and PCAR as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 9.8% upside for PCAR (target: $125) vs -8.0% for CMI (target: $621). For income investors, PCAR offers the higher dividend yield at 3.79% vs CMI's 1.13%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $621.10 | $124.50 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 51 | 45 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.1% | +3.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 21 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $7.61 | $4.30 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.1% |
CMI leads in 2 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). PCAR leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 3 tied.
CMI vs PCAR: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CMI or PCAR a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Cummins Inc.
(CMI) is the stronger pick with -1. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -15. 5% for PACCAR Inc (PCAR). PACCAR Inc (PCAR) offers the better valuation at 25. 1x trailing P/E (19. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Cummins Inc. (CMI) a "Buy" — based on 51 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CMI or PCAR?
On trailing P/E, PACCAR Inc (PCAR) is the cheapest at 25.
1x versus Cummins Inc. at 32. 9x. On forward P/E, PACCAR Inc is actually cheaper at 19. 8x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: PACCAR Inc wins at 1. 57x versus Cummins Inc. 's 2. 27x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CMI or PCAR?
Over the past 5 years, Cummins Inc.
(CMI) delivered a total return of +171. 5%, compared to +111. 6% for PACCAR Inc (PCAR). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CMI returned +542. 4% versus PCAR's +269. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CMI or PCAR?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), PACCAR Inc (PCAR) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
01β versus Cummins Inc. 's 1. 57β — meaning CMI is approximately 56% more volatile than PCAR relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — CMI or PCAR?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Cummins Inc.
(CMI) is pulling ahead at -1. 3% versus -15. 5% for PACCAR Inc (PCAR). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Cummins Inc. grew EPS -27. 7% year-over-year, compared to -42. 9% for PACCAR Inc. Over a 3-year CAGR, CMI leads at 6. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CMI or PCAR?
Cummins Inc.
(CMI) is the more profitable company, earning 8. 4% net margin versus 8. 4% for PACCAR Inc — meaning it keeps 8. 4% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CMI leads at 11. 9% versus 10. 4% for PCAR. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CMI leads at 25. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CMI or PCAR more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, PACCAR Inc (PCAR) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 57x versus Cummins Inc. 's 2. 27x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, PACCAR Inc (PCAR) trades at 19. 8x forward P/E versus 25. 6x for Cummins Inc. — 5. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for PCAR: 9. 8% to $124. 50.
08Which pays a better dividend — CMI or PCAR?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
PACCAR Inc (PCAR) offers the highest yield at 3. 8%, versus 1. 1% for Cummins Inc. (CMI).
09Is CMI or PCAR better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, PACCAR Inc (PCAR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.
01), 3. 8% yield, +269. 7% 10Y return). Cummins Inc. (CMI) carries a higher beta of 1. 57 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (PCAR: +269. 7%, CMI: +542. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CMI and PCAR?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: CMI is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; PCAR is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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