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CNI vs NSC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Railroads
CNI vs NSC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Railroads | Railroads |
| Market Cap | $67.77B | $70.38B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $17.29B | $12.19B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $4.71B | $2.67B |
| Gross Margin | 44.2% | 51.1% |
| Operating Margin | 37.8% | 32.4% |
| Forward P/E | 13.8x | 25.9x |
| Total Debt | $21.82B | $17.09B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $363M | $1.53B |
CNI vs NSC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian National R… (CNI) | 100 | 128.8 | +28.8% |
| Norfolk Southern Co… (NSC) | 100 | 175.8 | +75.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CNI vs NSC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CNI carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and valuation efficiency.
- Rev growth 1.4%, EPS growth 7.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 0.4%
- PEG 1.60 vs NSC's 2.54
- 1.4% revenue growth vs NSC's 0.5%
NSC is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 24 yrs, beta 0.63, yield 1.7%
- 301.1% 10Y total return vs CNI's 121.9%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.63, current ratio 0.85x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 1.4% revenue growth vs NSC's 0.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (13.8x vs 25.9x), PEG 1.60 vs 2.54 | |
| Quality / Margins | 27.2% margin vs NSC's 21.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.63 vs CNI's 0.67 | |
| Dividends | 2.3% yield, 12-year raise streak, vs NSC's 1.7% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +44.3% vs CNI's +13.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 8.1% ROA vs NSC's 6.0%, ROIC 11.6% vs 9.8% |
CNI vs NSC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
CNI vs NSC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — CNI and NSC each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CNI and NSC operate at a comparable scale, with $17.3B and $12.2B in trailing revenue. CNI is the more profitable business, keeping 27.2% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NSC's 21.9%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $17.3B | $12.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $8.5B | $5.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $4.7B | $2.7B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $3.6B | $4.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +44.2% | +51.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +37.8% | +32.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +27.2% | +21.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +20.7% | +34.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -0.3% | +0.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +1.6% | -26.6% |
Valuation Metrics
CNI leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 20.0x trailing earnings, CNI trades at a 19% valuation discount to NSC's 24.6x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), CNI offers better value at 2.32x vs NSC's 2.41x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $67.8B | $70.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $83.5B | $85.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 20.00x | 24.58x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 13.83x | 25.89x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 2.32x | 2.41x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 13.37x | 15.91x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 5.35x | 5.78x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.38x | 4.53x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 27.29x | 32.63x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CNI leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CNI delivers a 21.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $22 in annual profit, vs $17 for NSC. CNI carries lower financial leverage with a 1.01x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to NSC's 1.10x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CNI scores 8/9 vs NSC's 7/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +21.9% | +17.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +8.1% | +6.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +11.6% | +9.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +12.2% | +9.8% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.01x | 1.10x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $21.5B | $15.6B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $363M | $1.5B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $21.8B | $17.1B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 7.85x | 4.15x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NSC leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in NSC five years ago would be worth $11,666 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $10,909 for CNI. Over the past 12 months, NSC leads with a +44.3% total return vs CNI's +13.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NSC at 16.6% vs CNI's -0.7% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +11.2% | +9.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +13.7% | +44.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -2.2% | +58.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +9.1% | +16.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +121.9% | +301.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -0.7% | +16.6% |
Risk & Volatility
NSC leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NSC is the less volatile stock with a 0.63 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CNI's 0.67 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.67x | 0.63x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $115.80 | $323.37 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $90.74 | $218.89 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +95.7% | +96.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 55.7 | 63.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.5M | 1.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — CNI and NSC each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CNI as "Hold" and NSC as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 5.9% upside for NSC (target: $332) vs -9.2% for CNI (target: $101). For income investors, CNI offers the higher dividend yield at 2.34% vs NSC's 1.72%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $100.67 | $332.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 51 | 48 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.3% | +1.7% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 12 | 24 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $3.54 | $5.40 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +2.3% | +0.8% |
CNI leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). NSC leads in 2 (Total Returns, Risk & Volatility). 2 tied.
CNI vs NSC: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CNI or NSC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) is the stronger pick with 1.
4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 0. 5% for Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC). Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) offers the better valuation at 20. 0x trailing P/E (13. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) a "Hold" — based on 51 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CNI or NSC?
On trailing P/E, Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) is the cheapest at 20.
0x versus Norfolk Southern Corporation at 24. 6x. On forward P/E, Canadian National Railway Company is actually cheaper at 13. 8x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Canadian National Railway Company wins at 1. 60x versus Norfolk Southern Corporation's 2. 54x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CNI or NSC?
Over the past 5 years, Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) delivered a total return of +16.
7%, compared to +9. 1% for Canadian National Railway Company (CNI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NSC returned +301. 1% versus CNI's +121. 9%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CNI or NSC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
63β versus Canadian National Railway Company's 0. 67β — meaning CNI is approximately 5% more volatile than NSC relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 101% versus 110% for Norfolk Southern Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — CNI or NSC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) is pulling ahead at 1.
4% versus 0. 5% for Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Norfolk Southern Corporation grew EPS 10. 2% year-over-year, compared to 7. 8% for Canadian National Railway Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, CNI leads at 0. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CNI or NSC?
Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) is the more profitable company, earning 27.
3% net margin versus 23. 6% for Norfolk Southern Corporation — meaning it keeps 27. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CNI leads at 38. 1% versus 32. 9% for NSC. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CNI leads at 44. 9%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CNI or NSC more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 60x versus Norfolk Southern Corporation's 2. 54x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) trades at 13. 8x forward P/E versus 25. 9x for Norfolk Southern Corporation — 12. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NSC: 5. 9% to $332. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — CNI or NSC?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) offers the highest yield at 2. 3%, versus 1. 7% for Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC).
09Is CNI or NSC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
63), 1. 7% yield, +301. 1% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (NSC: +301. 1%, CNI: +121. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CNI and NSC?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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