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DNUT vs MCD
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Restaurants
DNUT vs MCD — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Grocery Stores | Restaurants |
| Market Cap | $634M | $202.32B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.52B | $26.26B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-516M | $8.41B |
| Gross Margin | 14.1% | 57.4% |
| Operating Margin | -29.4% | 46.1% |
| Forward P/E | — | 21.5x |
| Total Debt | $1.42B | $51.95B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $-42M | $1.08B |
DNUT vs MCD — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jul 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT) | 100 | 23.1 | -76.9% |
| McDonald's Corporat… (MCD) | 100 | 117.1 | +17.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: DNUT vs MCD
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
In this particular matchup, DNUT is outpaced on most metrics by others in the set.
MCD carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 26 yrs, beta 0.11, yield 2.4%
- Rev growth 1.7%, EPS growth -1.5%, 3Y rev CAGR 3.7%
- 158.5% 10Y total return vs DNUT's -80.0%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 1.7% revenue growth vs DNUT's -8.6% | |
| Quality / Margins | 32.0% margin vs DNUT's -33.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.11 vs DNUT's 1.51 | |
| Dividends | 2.4% yield, 26-year raise streak, vs DNUT's 1.9% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -8.0% vs DNUT's -15.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 13.9% ROA vs DNUT's -18.9%, ROIC 19.3% vs -1.1% |
DNUT vs MCD — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
DNUT vs MCD — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MCD leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MCD is the larger business by revenue, generating $26.3B annually — 17.2x DNUT's $1.5B. MCD is the more profitable business, keeping 32.0% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to DNUT's -33.9%. On growth, MCD holds the edge at +3.0% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.5B | $26.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$311M | $14.3B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$516M | $8.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$64M | $7.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +14.1% | +57.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -29.4% | +46.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -33.9% | +32.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -4.2% | +28.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.9% | +3.0% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -23.1% | +1.6% |
Valuation Metrics
DNUT leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, MCD's 18.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than DNUT's 20.2x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $634M | $202.3B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.1B | $253.2B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -1.21x | 24.94x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 21.54x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 3.26x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 20.24x | 18.33x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.42x | 7.81x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.93x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 30.32x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MCD leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MCD scores 7/9 vs DNUT's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -64.0% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -18.9% | +13.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -1.1% | +19.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -1.4% | +23.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.10x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.5B | $50.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | -$42M | $1.1B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $1.4B | $51.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -6.86x | 7.88x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MCD leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MCD five years ago would be worth $13,445 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,002 for DNUT. Over the past 12 months, MCD leads with a -8.0% total return vs DNUT's -15.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MCD at 0.9% vs DNUT's -35.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -9.8% | -5.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -15.6% | -8.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -73.3% | +2.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -80.0% | +34.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -80.0% | +158.5% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -35.6% | +0.9% |
Risk & Volatility
MCD leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MCD is the less volatile stock with a 0.11 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than DNUT's 1.51 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MCD currently trades 83.1% from its 52-week high vs DNUT's 64.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.51x | 0.11x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $5.73 | $341.75 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $2.50 | $282.40 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +64.2% | +83.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 50.3 | 31.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.4M | 2.9M |
Analyst Outlook
MCD leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates DNUT as "Buy" and MCD as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 24.0% upside for MCD (target: $352) vs 22.3% for DNUT (target: $5). For income investors, MCD offers the higher dividend yield at 2.37% vs DNUT's 1.90%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $4.50 | $352.25 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 11 | 62 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.9% | +2.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 26 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.07 | $6.75 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.2% | +1.4% |
MCD leads in 5 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). DNUT leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
DNUT vs MCD: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is DNUT or MCD a better buy right now?
For growth investors, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the stronger pick with 1.
7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -8. 6% for Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT). McDonald's Corporation (MCD) offers the better valuation at 24. 9x trailing P/E (21. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT) a "Buy" — based on 11 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — DNUT or MCD?
Over the past 5 years, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) delivered a total return of +34.
4%, compared to -80. 0% for Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MCD returned +158. 5% versus DNUT's -80. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — DNUT or MCD?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
11β versus Krispy Kreme, Inc. 's 1. 51β — meaning DNUT is approximately 1254% more volatile than MCD relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — DNUT or MCD?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is pulling ahead at 1.
7% versus -8. 6% for Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: McDonald's Corporation grew EPS -1. 5% year-over-year, compared to -170. 8% for Krispy Kreme, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, MCD leads at 3. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — DNUT or MCD?
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the more profitable company, earning 31.
7% net margin versus -33. 9% for Krispy Kreme, Inc. — meaning it keeps 31. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MCD leads at 45. 2% versus -2. 2% for DNUT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MCD leads at 56. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is DNUT or MCD more undervalued right now?
Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for MCD: 24.
0% to $352. 25.
07Which pays a better dividend — DNUT or MCD?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) offers the highest yield at 2. 4%, versus 1. 9% for Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT).
08Is DNUT or MCD better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, McDonald's Corporation (MCD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
11), 2. 4% yield, +158. 5% 10Y return). Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT) carries a higher beta of 1. 51 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (MCD: +158. 5%, DNUT: -80. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between DNUT and MCD?
These companies operate in different sectors (DNUT (Consumer Defensive) and MCD (Consumer Cyclical)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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