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DXYZ vs HTGC vs ARCC vs GSBD
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Asset Management
Asset Management
Asset Management
DXYZ vs HTGC vs ARCC vs GSBD — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Asset Management | Asset Management | Asset Management | Asset Management |
| Market Cap | $988M | $3.07B | $13.61B | $1.12B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $-13K | $547M | $3.15B | $242M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $23M | $289M | $1.15B | $112M |
| Gross Margin | -1538.7% | 87.2% | 75.7% | 75.4% |
| Operating Margin | -1372.4% | 66.7% | 69.7% | 98.4% |
| Forward P/E | 28.1x | 8.4x | 9.9x | 7.5x |
| Total Debt | $0.00 | $2.30B | $15.99B | $1.88B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $0.00 | $57M | $924M | $43M |
DXYZ vs HTGC vs ARCC vs GSBD — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Mar 24 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Destiny Tech100 Inc. (DXYZ) | 100 | 218.4 | +118.4% |
| Hercules Capital, I… (HTGC) | 100 | 87.5 | -12.5% |
| Ares Capital Corpor… (ARCC) | 100 | 91.3 | -8.7% |
| Goldman Sachs BDC, … (GSBD) | 100 | 61.9 | -38.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: DXYZ vs HTGC vs ARCC vs GSBD
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
DXYZ is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 399.8% 10Y total return vs HTGC's 171.6%
- +26.3% vs ARCC's +0.4%
HTGC is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and bank quality.
- Lower volatility, beta 0.69, current ratio 1.44x
- NIM 9.1% vs ARCC's 3.6%
ARCC carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure.
- Rev growth 32.9%, EPS growth -23.8%
- 32.9% NII/revenue growth vs DXYZ's -103.5%
- Efficiency ratio 0.1% vs HTGC's 0.2% (lower = leaner)
- Efficiency ratio 0.1% vs HTGC's 0.2%
GSBD is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and defensive is your priority.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 0.50, yield 20.3%
- Beta 0.50, yield 20.3%, current ratio 0.95x
- Lower P/E (7.5x vs 9.9x)
- Beta 0.50 vs DXYZ's 1.91
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 32.9% NII/revenue growth vs DXYZ's -103.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (7.5x vs 9.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.1% vs HTGC's 0.2% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.50 vs DXYZ's 1.91 | |
| Dividends | 20.3% yield, 1-year raise streak, vs HTGC's 8.6%, (1 stock pays no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +26.3% vs ARCC's +0.4% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.1% vs HTGC's 0.2% |
DXYZ vs HTGC vs ARCC vs GSBD — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
GSBD leads in 2 of 6 categories
DXYZ leads 2 • HTGC leads 0 • ARCC leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — HTGC and GSBD each lead in 2 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ARCC and DXYZ operate at a comparable scale, with $3.1B and -$12,698 in trailing revenue. HTGC is the more profitable business, keeping 62.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to DXYZ's -1372.4%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | -$12,698 | $547M | $3.1B | $242M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$14M | $381M | $2.0B | $165M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $23M | $289M | $1.1B | $112M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$8M | -$352M | $1.1B | $202M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | -1538.7% | +87.2% | +75.7% | +75.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -1372.4% | +66.7% | +69.7% | +98.4% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -1372.4% | +62.1% | +41.3% | +49.2% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -27.4% | -77.8% | +36.3% | +134.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +10.2% | -20.7% | -63.9% | -144.4% |
Valuation Metrics
GSBD leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 8.9x trailing earnings, HTGC trades at a 68% valuation discount to DXYZ's 28.1x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, GSBD's 12.6x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than DXYZ's 56.7x.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $988M | $3.1B | $13.6B | $1.1B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $988M | $5.3B | $28.7B | $3.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 28.11x | 8.86x | 10.19x | 9.65x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 8.36x | 9.94x | 7.52x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | 0.99x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 56.72x | 14.54x | 13.09x | 12.57x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | — | 5.61x | 4.33x | 4.62x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 6.99x | 1.44x | 0.93x | 0.81x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 2844.06x | — | 11.92x | 3.44x |
Profitability & Efficiency
DXYZ leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
DXYZ delivers a 33.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $33 in annual profit, vs $8 for GSBD. HTGC carries lower financial leverage with a 1.04x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GSBD's 1.32x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), GSBD scores 6/9 vs ARCC's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +33.5% | +13.2% | +8.1% | +7.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +32.8% | +6.4% | +3.8% | +3.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +21.3% | +6.6% | +5.7% | +5.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +27.9% | +8.8% | +7.5% | +7.0% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 1.04x | 1.12x | 1.32x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $0 | $2.2B | $15.1B | $1.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $0 | $57M | $924M | $43M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $0 | $2.3B | $16.0B | $1.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 90.58x | 4.34x | 2.98x | 1.05x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
DXYZ leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in DXYZ five years ago would be worth $49,978 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $9,665 for GSBD. Over the past 12 months, DXYZ leads with a +26.3% total return vs ARCC's +0.4%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors DXYZ at 71.0% vs GSBD's 5.4% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +45.4% | -10.6% | -4.9% | +10.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +26.3% | +6.6% | +0.4% | +11.9% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +399.8% | +63.9% | +34.2% | +17.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +399.8% | +46.8% | +47.0% | -3.4% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +399.8% | +171.6% | +139.2% | +44.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +71.0% | +17.9% | +10.3% | +5.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — DXYZ and GSBD each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GSBD is the less volatile stock with a 0.50 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than DXYZ's 1.91 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. DXYZ currently trades 89.1% from its 52-week high vs ARCC's 81.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.94x | 0.68x | 0.75x | 0.46x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $50.50 | $19.67 | $23.42 | $12.03 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $19.71 | $13.70 | $17.40 | $8.66 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +89.1% | +83.4% | +81.0% | +82.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 79.5 | 64.7 | 56.7 | 68.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.9M | 2.5M | 7.5M | 1.4M |
Analyst Outlook
GSBD leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: HTGC as "Buy", ARCC as "Buy", GSBD as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 15.4% upside for ARCC (target: $22) vs -9.5% for GSBD (target: $9). For income investors, GSBD offers the higher dividend yield at 20.33% vs ARCC's 2.02%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Buy | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $18.63 | $21.88 | $9.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 31 | 32 | 9 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +8.6% | +2.0% | +20.3% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $1.42 | $0.38 | $2.02 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.2% | 0.0% | +4.7% |
GSBD leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Analyst Outlook). DXYZ leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 2 tied.
DXYZ vs HTGC vs ARCC vs GSBD: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is DXYZ or HTGC or ARCC or GSBD a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) is the stronger pick with 32.
9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -103. 5% for Destiny Tech100 Inc. (DXYZ). Hercules Capital, Inc. (HTGC) offers the better valuation at 8. 9x trailing P/E (8. 4x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Hercules Capital, Inc. (HTGC) a "Buy" — based on 31 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — DXYZ or HTGC or ARCC or GSBD?
On trailing P/E, Hercules Capital, Inc.
(HTGC) is the cheapest at 8. 9x versus Destiny Tech100 Inc. at 28. 1x. On forward P/E, Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. is actually cheaper at 7. 5x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — DXYZ or HTGC or ARCC or GSBD?
Over the past 5 years, Destiny Tech100 Inc.
(DXYZ) delivered a total return of +399. 8%, compared to -3. 4% for Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. (GSBD). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: DXYZ returned +506. 8% versus GSBD's +41. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — DXYZ or HTGC or ARCC or GSBD?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.
(GSBD) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 46β versus Destiny Tech100 Inc. 's 1. 94β — meaning DXYZ is approximately 321% more volatile than GSBD relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Hercules Capital, Inc. (HTGC) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 104% versus 132% for Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — DXYZ or HTGC or ARCC or GSBD?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) is pulling ahead at 32.
9% versus -103. 5% for Destiny Tech100 Inc. (DXYZ). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Destiny Tech100 Inc. grew EPS 521. 1% year-over-year, compared to -23. 8% for Ares Capital Corporation. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — DXYZ or HTGC or ARCC or GSBD?
Hercules Capital, Inc.
(HTGC) is the more profitable company, earning 62. 1% net margin versus -1372. 4% for Destiny Tech100 Inc. — meaning it keeps 62. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: GSBD leads at 98. 4% versus -1372. 4% for DXYZ. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HTGC leads at 87. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is DXYZ or HTGC or ARCC or GSBD more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.
(GSBD) trades at 7. 5x forward P/E versus 9. 9x for Ares Capital Corporation — 2. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ARCC: 15. 4% to $21. 88.
08Which pays a better dividend — DXYZ or HTGC or ARCC or GSBD?
In this comparison, GSBD (20.
3% yield), HTGC (8. 6% yield), ARCC (2. 0% yield) pay a dividend. DXYZ does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is DXYZ or HTGC or ARCC or GSBD better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.
(GSBD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 46), 20. 3% yield). Destiny Tech100 Inc. (DXYZ) carries a higher beta of 1. 94 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (GSBD: +41. 3%, DXYZ: +506. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between DXYZ and HTGC and ARCC and GSBD?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: DXYZ is a small-cap quality compounder stock; HTGC is a small-cap high-growth stock; ARCC is a mid-cap high-growth stock; GSBD is a small-cap high-growth stock. HTGC, ARCC, GSBD pay a dividend while DXYZ does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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