Real Estate - Services
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EXPI vs DOUG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Real Estate - Services
EXPI vs DOUG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Real Estate - Services | Real Estate - Services |
| Market Cap | $1.01B | $176M |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.77B | $1.03B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-23M | $15M |
| Gross Margin | 7.0% | 16.8% |
| Operating Margin | -0.4% | -5.9% |
| Forward P/E | 89.7x | 19.9x |
| Total Debt | $0.00 | $103M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $124M | $120M |
EXPI vs DOUG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Dec 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| eXp World Holdings,… (EXPI) | 100 | 18.6 | -81.4% |
| Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) | 100 | 18.2 | -81.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: EXPI vs DOUG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
EXPI is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 1.57, yield 3.1%
- Rev growth 4.5%, EPS growth 0.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 1.3%
- 6.6% 10Y total return vs DOUG's -80.7%
DOUG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for value and quality.
- Lower P/E (19.9x vs 89.7x)
- 1.5% margin vs EXPI's -0.5%
- +9.3% vs EXPI's -25.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.5% FFO/revenue growth vs DOUG's 3.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (19.9x vs 89.7x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 1.5% margin vs EXPI's -0.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.57 vs DOUG's 1.82 | |
| Dividends | 3.1% yield; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +9.3% vs EXPI's -25.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.2% ROA vs EXPI's -5.1%, ROIC -26.1% vs -15.3% |
EXPI vs DOUG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
EXPI vs DOUG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — EXPI and DOUG each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
EXPI is the larger business by revenue, generating $4.8B annually — 4.6x DOUG's $1.0B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 1.5% (DOUG) to -0.5% (EXPI). On growth, EXPI holds the edge at +8.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.8B | $1.0B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$12M | -$52M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$23M | $15M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $108M | -$17M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +7.0% | +16.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -0.4% | -5.9% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -0.5% | +1.5% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +2.3% | -1.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +8.5% | +0.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -24.4% | +10.7% |
Valuation Metrics
DOUG leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $1.0B | $176M |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $887M | $158M |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -44.86x | 11.71x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 89.71x | 19.90x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.21x | 0.17x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 4.13x | 0.97x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 9.28x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
EXPI leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
DOUG delivers a 10.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $10 in annual profit, vs $-9 for EXPI.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -9.4% | +10.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -5.1% | +3.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -15.3% | -26.1% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -9.6% | -16.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 4 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.56x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$124M | -$17M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $124M | $120M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $0 | $103M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 4.53x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
DOUG leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in EXPI five years ago would be worth $2,329 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,929 for DOUG. Over the past 12 months, DOUG leads with a +9.3% total return vs EXPI's -25.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors DOUG at -10.1% vs EXPI's -19.5% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -30.4% | -12.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -25.7% | +9.3% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -47.9% | -27.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -76.7% | -80.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +662.8% | -80.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -19.5% | -10.1% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — EXPI and DOUG each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
EXPI is the less volatile stock with a 1.57 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than DOUG's 1.82 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. DOUG currently trades 62.2% from its 52-week high vs EXPI's 51.3% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.57x | 1.82x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $12.23 | $3.20 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $5.66 | $1.53 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +51.3% | +62.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 47.1 | 51.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.0M | 761K |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates EXPI as "Buy" and DOUG as "Buy". EXPI is the only dividend payer here at 3.07% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $11.00 | — |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 5 | 1 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.1% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.19 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +5.6% | 0.0% |
DOUG leads in 2 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). EXPI leads in 1 (Profitability & Efficiency). 2 tied.
EXPI vs DOUG: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is EXPI or DOUG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, eXp World Holdings, Inc.
(EXPI) is the stronger pick with 4. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 8% for Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG). Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) offers the better valuation at 11. 7x trailing P/E (19. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate eXp World Holdings, Inc. (EXPI) a "Buy" — based on 5 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — EXPI or DOUG?
On forward P/E, Douglas Elliman Inc.
is actually cheaper at 19. 9x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — EXPI or DOUG?
Over the past 5 years, eXp World Holdings, Inc.
(EXPI) delivered a total return of -76. 7%, compared to -80. 7% for Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: EXPI returned +662. 8% versus DOUG's -80. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — EXPI or DOUG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), eXp World Holdings, Inc.
(EXPI) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 57β versus Douglas Elliman Inc. 's 1. 82β — meaning DOUG is approximately 16% more volatile than EXPI relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — EXPI or DOUG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), eXp World Holdings, Inc.
(EXPI) is pulling ahead at 4. 5% versus 3. 8% for Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Douglas Elliman Inc. grew EPS 118. 7% year-over-year, compared to 0. 0% for eXp World Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, EXPI leads at 1. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — EXPI or DOUG?
Douglas Elliman Inc.
(DOUG) is the more profitable company, earning 1. 5% net margin versus -0. 5% for eXp World Holdings, Inc. — meaning it keeps 1. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: EXPI leads at -0. 4% versus -5. 9% for DOUG. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — DOUG leads at 16. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is EXPI or DOUG more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Douglas Elliman Inc.
(DOUG) trades at 19. 9x forward P/E versus 89. 7x for eXp World Holdings, Inc. — 69. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis.
08Which pays a better dividend — EXPI or DOUG?
In this comparison, EXPI (3.
1% yield) pays a dividend. DOUG does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is EXPI or DOUG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, eXp World Holdings, Inc.
(EXPI) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (3. 1% yield, +662. 8% 10Y return). Douglas Elliman Inc. (DOUG) carries a higher beta of 1. 82 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (EXPI: +662. 8%, DOUG: -80. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between EXPI and DOUG?
Both stocks operate in the Real Estate sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: EXPI is a small-cap income-oriented stock; DOUG is a small-cap deep-value stock. EXPI pays a dividend while DOUG does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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